Radoslaw Sikorski is a Handsome, Urbane, Well-Educated Twat – The Ignominious Collapse of British Journalism

Uncle Volodya says, "Your values will not always be the object of public admiration. In fact, the more you live by your beliefs, the more you will endure the censure of the world. "

Uncle Volodya says, “Your values will not always be the object of public admiration. In fact, the more you live by your beliefs, the more you will endure the censure of the world. “

The British press has a well-earned reputation for being preoccupied with sex, scandal and celebrities to the exclusion of reporting on anything worthwhile. When it reports on a supposed affront to Britain’s sovereignty – such as the passage of the Russian cargo transport carrying helicopters for Assad’s Syria which had been retrofitted in Russia – it struts and whoops and preens itself as if the days of The Raj and Empire were still in full swing, when Britain’s mailed fist made the earth tremble. It is reliably Russophobic, with only the occasional startling article by the likes of Simon Tisdall bobbing like a carrot in the creamy chowder of hatred. When it settles upon a foreign leader it admires, it is as mawkish and grating in its unabashed admiration as if it were a teenaged girl; my dears, he’s positively dench! But every once in awhile, the British press turns out an act of public fellatio so brazen, so sycophantic, so…so…slutty in its self-abasement that it inspires a sort of grudging admiration for such a complete public abandonment of principles.

Such is The Telegraph‘s gushing tongue bath of Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski (thanks for the link, Al).  Plainly, The Telegraph is smitten; Sikorski is Bond, Disraeli and Ryan Reynolds all rolled into a smart-but-sexy package that has Cristina Odone’s ovaries rattling a romantic cantata with the beating of her heart. Perhaps her husband should be alarmed – but not a bit of it; when you are red-hot Russophobe and hunk of British beefcake Edward Lucas, you need fear no innocent flirtation.

Given the Poles’ jovial support to the Maidan protests, where they had a tent set up and were dispensing Polish goodies and friendly advice on the joys of EuroAssociation, it is unsurprising that they would be furious over the Russian incursion into the Crimea, since – as someone pointed out earlier – it will cut down on Ukraine’s coastal frontage and consequently its Exclusive Economic Zone, plus leave the Russian Black Sea Fleet in place. Considering Sikorski’s marital alliance with Washington Post journalist and fellow Russophobe Anne Applebaum,  it is a given he would be personally apoplectic, and promise a powerful reckoning consequent to his upcoming meeting with British  Foreign Minister William Hague, himself yet another steaming Russophobe. Russia will have no friends at that table.

But let’s get back to The Adoration Of Radek. Right away, we learn that his Oxford English is perfect and his tone is decisive – if Vladimir Putin could be immolated on the spot by pure tone alone, so that all that was left was his pointy little cloven-hoof slippers, smoking, Radek would be the man for the job. As if that were not enough, he proceeds to reduce Ms. Ordone to moist trembling with his casual segue into German. It’s only one word, but still; the dazzling cosmopolitanity of it just takes one’s breath away. Not for the clod Putin such heady pursuits, natürlich, the subtle beauty of Beethoven’s  language wasted on his pedestrian doziness.

Except that Vladimir Putin speaks fluent German, and could probably expand quite a bit on “Verboten”. But let’s not let facts get in the way of a good story.

Europe is all about overcoming borders, says Mr. Sikorski; not redrawing them. Quite so, and now Europe wants to overcome the borders of Ukraine so it can lie right up cheek by jowl against Russia. Mr. Sikorski’s loathing for Russia, sadly, is typical of Europe, all of which is dependent on Russian gas but hates itself for this weakness, and longs for the day when it can smash Russia into little statelets that will either be easily gobbled up or can be set to warring with one another. Until the dawning of that happy, happy day, Russia must be repeatedly put in its place until it understands its unfitness to pretenses of civilization.

So Mr. Sikorski and Mr. Hague are going to put together a package of sanctions that will really put the fear of God into Putin. I can’t wait. Poland’s government speaks brightly of Poland weathering any sort of economic storm Russia might unleash against it with a potential loss of 1% of GDP – but probably not even that, easy-peasy, we could take it standing on our heads. If Russia turned off the energy tap, it might hurt a little; but they won’t do that. Poland gets around 8% of its natural gas from Russia, and a bit higher percentage of oil. But if they lost that, so what? Even if Russia might do it, which they won’t.

Europe has been deadly accurate at predicting what Russia will do over the last 5 years or so, you notice. I’m being sarcastic. Besides that, somebody in the Polish government is secretly working for the Porkie Pies News Network (PPN), because Poland actually imports two-thirds of its gas and Russia supplies about 80% of that. Better get out the sunscreen, because the government is blowing a lot of sunshine up the people’s asses. Russia supplied 9 Billion cm of the 16.6 cm of natural gas Poland consumed in 2012: more than half. If Poland’s energy minister has managed to get that down to 8% in 2014, that’s one hell of an accomplishment. Additionally, Poland has been one of the most energetic – to say nothing of optimistic – proponents of shale gas fracking in Europe, which was supposed to bring an ocean of gas which would enable Poland to give Russia the finger. And look how that turned out. Since that report, ENI and Marathon pulled out.

Oooo…there’s a Radek tidbit I didn’t know – Mr. Sikorski “fought the Red Army” in Afghanistan – as a photojournalist. There’s no telling how many among the Russian infantry were evacuated to the rear with flash burns or double exposure thanks to his reckless gallantry.

And then off he goes into a meandering narrative which highlights how misinformed he is if he believes he has his thumb on the pulse of the problem – Russia is frightening people, he says, with bogey tales of Europe’s licentiousness, its penchant for gay marriage and its loose morals. In fact, Russia argued that the EU Association agreement was a bad deal for Ukraine on purely financial terms, and it was and it is. Ukraine will get locked into an IMF pay-to-play loop driven by austerity and reforms that children who are still learning to walk right now will be paying for.

“This crisis was all about Europe” he tells his breathless audience; “The Ukrainian opposition wanted to join Europe, which to them doesn’t necessarily mean full membership, but rather becoming part of a community which is democratic, free of corruption, less monopolistic, less oligarchical.”

That’s very interesting, Mr. Sikorski – where did you say that Europe was located, again? Because I might write to Mr. Harper, ask him if he’s interested in joining it, too. It sounds like a fabulous place, not at all like the Europe the rest of us know in which corruption is rampant and costs 120 Billion Euros a year.

But never mind that; Sikorski cuts quite a figure; handsome, simply dreamy on a motorcycle, dollinks, an updated Lord Flashheart. Poland, although a little piece of Eden, is too small to hold such a tearaway, and Sikorski is rumoured to be Brussels-bound. Let that be a warning to you, Putin, you grotesque little stink-doll. When Sikorski comes to town, some heads are gonna roll, and the first one in the basket will be your little ovoid troll turnip.

Completely absent from this stirring call to arms and passionate entreaty to the po-faced Brits is any specific mention of Crimea’s lunge for self-determination – or, more to the point, what Sikorski’s take on it might be. It’s all just a bunch of amorphous threats against Putin, who is apparently “getting away” with something, and if he does it will be all the fault of perfidious Albion, which seems to have been dozing when the squadron tannoy squawked, “tally ho, chaps – enemy in sight!!!”

Are you curious why Crimea was not mentioned in the hazy summation of Putin’s crimes? Perhaps it has something to do with the unilateral declaration of independence of Kosovo, which was greeted by the west with the sort of indulgent enthusiasm normally reserved for infant violin prodigies. And because the government advisory position on the international legality of its declaration – upon which turned its recognition by Poland, first of the Slavic countries to welcome it, was written by…Radoslaw Sikorski.

Poland, we hear, “viewed the Declaration of Independence [of Kosovo] of 17 February 2008 as an act that has not conflicted with any norm of international law.” International law, saith Mr. Sikorski, does not contain norms that would apply to the question of declaring independence; a state (pay attention, this is important) is commonly defined as a community which consists of a territory and a population subject to an organized political authority; that such a state is characterized by sovereignty…the existence of the state is a question of fact, the effects of recognition by other states are purely declaratory. You’ll want to keep that last phrase in your back pocket for when the west and its cronies uniformly refuse to recognize Crimea as a state. A declaration of independence, it is Poland’s official position, is merely an act that confirms these factual circumstances, and it may be difficult to assess such an act in purely legal terms.

For those who don’t recognize it, that is a defense of unilateral declarations of independence that squirms around the question of whether they violate international law, implying “No” because everybody on the Good Guyz side wanted Kosovo to be independent.

There’s much more – of course, it was written by a politician, and when have you ever known a politician to use ten words when ten thousand will do as well – but Poland relies heavily on the “unique status” of Kosovo, which, while subordinated to the Republic of Serbia and being represented in the Federation’s presidency, enjoyed full status of self-governance appertaining to the Republic, including even their own central banks.

The “strive” of Kosovars, we hear (that’s a little deviation from perfect Oxford English, Mr. Oxford graduate, into the realm of the purely made-up, it should have been “striving” or “struggle”) manifested itself through massive protests that were repressed by central authorities of Yugoslavia. The unilateral declaration of independence by the Crimea is about to manifest itself in a powerful referendum majority which will reflect the will of the people, and it has been repressed in advance by the unelected central government of Ukraine by an order to dissolve the Crimean parliament and preordainment that the results of any referendum instigated by that body will be irrelevant and ignored.

Mr. Sikorski, handsome piece of motorcycle candy though he may be, his fellow western political bobbleheads and the free world they represent are hoist by their own petard.

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579 Responses to Radoslaw Sikorski is a Handsome, Urbane, Well-Educated Twat – The Ignominious Collapse of British Journalism

  1. yalensis says:

    Good news if you are a Ukrainian!
    First Mrs. Nudelman and Lady Mac-Scottish-Person brought you tasty biscuits on the Maidan.

    Now Bardak O’Bomber will bring you some wholesome, nutritious army rations !

    Yummy!

    • marknesop says:

      They probably have a few boxcars of those MRE’s (Meals Ready to Eat, according to the manufacturer, although the military sometimes refers to them as Meals Ready to Explode) parked on a railway siding somewhere, left over from Iraq. I’ve never had the American ration-packs, although the U.S. military themselves are not very complimentary and I was told ours were the most popular in Afghanistan. I’ve had our own rations in field training (a long, long time ago) and they were pretty good; the banana pudding was particularly tasty, although the Army recommended at the time you not eat it because it would give you diarrhea. I guess I just had a strong constitution; I ate as much of it as I could get with no ill effects. The appeal varied; the scrambled eggs, for example, looked like somebody had already eaten them once and tasted like tofu-flavoured styrofoam. Awful. But all the pasta dishes were good, as well as the chili.

      They’ll have to keep a guard on them when Turchynov is around; he looks like a guy who likes his food – appetite comes with eating, did you know that? But I imagine Yats is a little disappointed; a couple of squadrons of bombers is more likely what he had in mind.

  2. Moscow Exile says:

    Deutscher Bundestag yesterday. Gysi of the “Left Party” gives it to them about the law, USA, NATO, the Ukraine:

    English translation here.

    The bloody Grauniad kills me!

    In its article about Gysi’s speech, the Grauniad states he addressed the “Reichstag”.

    Der Führer lebt noch!

    • yalensis says:

      I am glad that Gysi “went there” and let loose the “N” word (=”Nazi”), just laid it out how Svoboda are Nazis. Germans should be publicly shamed for their support of neo-Nazis in a neighbouring country, when in their own country they wouldn’t even allow this kind of hate talk and nazi symbolica.

    • Al says:

      I miss Oskar Lafontaine. He was equally outspoken.

    • marknesop says:

      Rock on, Gysi! Give it to them! I just have a couple of tiny objections; if none of humanity’s problems can be solved militarily, why do so many countries have military forces? It must be a pretty common belief that military force can solve a few problems, not least of which is being forcibly annexed by another country because they have one and you don’t. Also, he says both parties (Putin and the EU) said Ukraine must choose one or the other – Customs Union or EU association. I could swear that Putin proposed that Ukraine could be part of both, or suggested tripartite talks on how it might be made to work. Was that just my imagination?

    • SFReader says:

      Sie sind Faschisten….

      Faschistischen Swoboda Partei….

      Ja, das gut

  3. yalensis says:

    As in any divorce, Crimea experiencing some everyday life hassles .
    You know, just like, after you file for divorce, then you have to settle issues of the mortgage, property division, who gets the cats, etc. It isn’t easy, especially at first, until things settle down.
    And your ex-spouse might get really nasty and shut you out of the house, and change the locks, and then toss all your stuff out of the window, etc etc. (not that I would know what that’s like)

    For example, Orange Kiev has shut off Crimea’s legal databases. Due to this, Temirgaliev (Deputy P.M. of Crimean Autonomy) has announced that Crimea is temporarily unable to register marriages, or register new businesses, or conduct everyday legal contracts.

    Temir says Crimean and Russian officials are working feverishly to correct this glitch.
    Hopefully by next week, Crimea will have her own new legal databases, adapted to Russian law.

    • yalensis says:

      P.S.

      If I were somebody like Dick Cheney, I might refer to these glitches as “the growing pains of a fledgling democracy”.

    • marknesop says:

      And just the other day the Kyiv Post carried a story by their “war blogger” or whatever, to the effect that Putin was scaring schoolchildren because they might not graduate. And a whole lot of other guff about what an evil dwarf he is for messing with Crimea. I’m guessing he will pass right over this as if it never happened. However, Crimea should have known that was coming, Kiev threatened to do whatever it could to prevent the referendum from taking place, even though they have already taken the precaution of declaring it officially null and void before any votes were cast. What a bunch of clowns.

      When you get married, you should be careful to scope out your prospective wife’s likes and dislikes in advance, and court only women who like girlie stuff that does not interest you at all. Only a fool would marry a woman who loves fishing and hunting and camping and dirty movies, because then if you divorce, there goes half of all the best stuff. Men do not care if the wife gets all the pink eiderdowns and the portable nail salon. Are you writing this down?

  4. yalensis says:

    Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs placed this announcement on their official website.

    TRANSLATION
    On March 13 occurred very tragic events in Donetsk, blood was spilled.
    People protesters came out onto the streets of the city to express their attitude towards the destructive position of people who call themselves the Ukrainian government.
    These peaceful demonstrators were attacked by right-wing radical groups, armed with traumatic weapons and baseball bats, who had begun the previous day to stream into the city from others regions of the country.
    As a result of the ensuing clashes, there is a large number of wounded, and one fatality.
    We have declared many times that those who came to power in Kiev must disarm the militants and ensure the safety of the population, and the right of people to assemble for demonstrations. Unfortunately, as events in Ukraine have shown, this is not happening, the Kiev authorites are not in control of the situation in the country.
    Russia is conscious of her obligations (to protect the) lives of her fellow Russians and citizens in Ukraine and reserves the right to take these people under her protection.
    END OF TRANSLATION

    [yalensis: emphasis mine] !

  5. Moscow Exile says:

    The last confession of a Kremlin stooge

    Not what you think!

    It’s an op-ed off a Moscow News journalist who is going back home. Judging by her name, she might be one of Cher Bono’s kinfolk.

    She writes:

    “…I’ve always felt at home here, among British and American expats who had learned the hard way that there wasn’t a “right” place just across the ocean, that everything was messed up in a complicated way, that history was not necessarily moving towards a bright, predestined future full of democracy and puppies, if it was moving at all.

    She’s worked for 10 years here.

    And there you have it, from the horse’s mouth as it were!

    I wonder if she’s ever felt a little less ill at ease than I suspect she usually feels whenever in the company of the Orcs?

    As I once long suspected and now already known for many a year, foreign correspondents live in their closed, comfy little world, always on the outside looking in, even though they pretend that they are inside.

    I’ve seen and heard people like this over the years: their fellow expats are their comfort blankets, whom they cuddle up to and to whom they complain about the terrible existence they have to endure away from the bosom of their homeland, to which they always remain tied with an invisible umbilical cord.

  6. Al says:

    “As I once long suspected and now already known for many a year, foreign correspondents live in their closed, comfy little world, always on the outside looking in, even though they pretend that they are inside.”

    Exile, Moscow Exile,

    Are you perhaps describing a ‘bubble’ here? 😉 Maybe from a glass of champagne (you don’t have to be french!)? I suppose it is not done for such foreign correspondents with an eye to future careers to get too close to the great unwashed mass of Russians (who not so long ago were mere uncultivated peasants and are still to be tainted with having simple, peasant like minds because they vote for Putin) in case they become victims of the Moscow Syndrome – identifying with the trials and tribulations of normal Russian citizens!

    There are always a few good ones, though unfortunately they are drowned out by the poo flinging Madagascar monkeys around them working feverishly for the PPNN.

    • Moscow Exile says:

      The reason why I chose “Moscow Exile” is because of a conversation I had many years ago with an old workmate.

      I’d not long become computer literate and received an email from him asking me when I was going to come back “home”. I replied that I was in self-imposed exile and would only go back to my motherland after Thatcher had died.

      I had already played around with various “names” on the web before that: one was “Moscow Englishman”. It was after that email and my “exile” comment that I started calling myself “Moscow Exile”.

      I’m no longer in exile, though, and Thatcher is dead and gone.

      I shouldn’t really use the term because a few years ago my wife found out what “exile” means and she got upset because my name implies that I am here under duress. She pulled her face over this for a while.

  7. Al says:

    Tech note:
    Bing is now adding ‘image match’ to http://www.bing.com/images (I don’t see it yet) so now you have a second way (along with https://images.google.com/imghp? ) to check how kosher those photos are used by journalists and their editors, or simply to find better or similar pictures you already have.

    Add this to your list too – check if a photo has been modified or edited (don’t forget to look at the FAQs)
    http://imageedited.com/
    http://regex.info/exif.cgi
    http://fotoforensics.com/

  8. Al says:

    God help me for posting this but the comments to the article in the Guardian (member of the PPNN) say it all:

    Why the Crimean referendum is illegal
    Lea Brilmayer*

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/14/crimean-referendum-illegal-international-law

    *Lea Brilmayer is the Howard Holtzmann Professor of International Law at Yale Law School.


    No one is falling for it. Just how stupid do these ‘experts’ really think everyone is? It is quite hilarious of the Guardian to publish this piece that brings absolutely nothing to a decent analysis of what is going on.

  9. marknesop says:

    The big news today seems to be that the EU has frozen Russia’s pipeline construction. Closer examination reveals they have not actually frozen the construction – since they don’t own the pipelines – but have “delayed talks” on the completion of the project. Oh, you reckless gamblers, you.

    http://www.bne.eu/story5850/EU_freezes_talks_with_Russia_over_gas_pipelines_in_retaliation

    But the conversations discussed suggest a belief – or perhaps a hope expressed with greater confidence than actually felt – that “Russia remains overwhelmingly dependent on European customers, and has few other options for the meantime.” Therefore, goeth the belief, Russia needs our money more than we need their gas.

    Is that true?

    According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Russia sends about 76% of its natural gas exports to Europe. That is a lot.

    http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=rs

    However, the touted alternatives are increased production from Norway, and shale gas and LNG imports from the United States. Norway is already Europe’s second-biggest supplier. Russia’s exports are double Norway’s. Could Norway double their production quickly, to take up the slack? No, they couldn’t.

    http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?t=10&v=138

    Despite the USA’s purported eagerness to help with a flood of LNG exports, could they really do it? Well, no and yes. No because they don’t have the LNG terminals, and yes, if they wanted to sell at a loss so as to undercut Putin. Which, given the business ethic that made America great, is actually no and no.

    http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2014/03/putin_ukraine_and_energy_could_u_s_natural_gas_exports_alter_the_geopolitical.html

    Look at China, though. Although Russia is a major supplier of oil to China, it currently does not supply gas. A memorandum of understanding (MOU) was signed in 2006 with GAZPROM to supply gas by pipeline, and an amount was settled on in 2013 (1.3 Trillion Cubic Feet (Tcf/y)per year, but the countries are still negotiating over price. However, China’s natural gas demand more than quintupled between 2000 and 2012,

    http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=CH

    while demand overtook domestic production in 2009. China’s gas demand is forecast to double again by 2017.

    http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/chinese-natural-gas-demand-to-double-by-2017-1.1140697

    Could China absorb Europe’s gas, if Europe got snooty and said they didn’t want it? Not in the short term. But long-term, maybe. They could probably take a lot of it, if they could settle on the right price (China does not like to pay international rates). Something to think about, Europe.

    • Al says:

      Japan eyes bigger involvement in gas projects in Russia’s Far East
      Read more: http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_02_13/Japan-eyes-bigger-involvement-in-gas-projects-in-Russia-s-Far-East-2271/

      http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_02_13/Japan-eyes-bigger-involvement-in-gas-projects-in-Russia-s-Far-East-2271/

      Japan is set to expand its companies’ presence in liquefied natural gas projects on Russia’s Far Eastern island of Sakhalin and Vladivostok, a city in the Primorsky Territory, and to provide financial assistance to these projects, Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Toshimitsu Motegi told a meeting of the budget commission of the parliament’s lower house on Thursday.

      Read more: http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_02_13/Japan-eyes-bigger-involvement-in-gas-projects-in-Russia-s-Far-East-2271/

      Japan’s embrace of Russia under threat with Ukraine crisis
      http://news.yahoo.com/japans-embrace-russia-under-threat-ukraine-crisis-005929422–finance.html

      Closer ties are being driven by mutual energy interests, as Russia plans to at least double oil and gas flows to Asia in the next 20 years and Japan is forced to import huge volumes of fossil fuel to replace lost energy from its nuclear power industry, shut down after the 2011 Fukushima disaster.

      The real question is, ‘are American allies willing to take an economic bullet ?’
      Will Japan nix all its energy plans with Russia and talks on the Kuriles just to keep the Americans happy? What will the Japanese get in return? Maybe they should ask the Turks who got a bit of gratitude and were then blamed for the mess in Iraq war no.2, even though Iraqi Kurdistan is much, much better off than the rest of the country.

      Which numpty is going to pull the trigger? Any bets?

    • kirill says:

      Anyone who talks about LNG from the US as an immediate option is talking out of their ass. There is no preexisting LNG port infrastructure to replace Russian supply even partially. You don’t build LNG tankers and port facilities in a couple of months. It will take years (I think around four years would do it). Qatar has LNG ports and tankers but, again, there is not enough capacity to replace Russian supply and only to server the preexisting LNG market.

      The f*ckheads in the EU found a great time to wage economic war on Russia. In the next decade the decline of fossil fuel production will become quite severe. Peak oil (and gas) is being fobbed off as passe, but the development projects in the pipeline are spectacularly underwhelming. It is routine in the media to mix up various unrelated subjects such as talking about the Bakken and claiming that the Green River shale formation is the same thing. They are nothing alike aside from the fact that you need fracking to get to the dolomite oil-bearing layer in the case of the Bakken.

      The vaunted fracked gas plays are also a slowly moving flash in the pan. As has already been posted, the lifetime of an average fracked gas well is much shorter than a conventional gas well. For the obvious reason that conventional wells tap porous rock strata where the gas is mobile whereas the fracked wells require the physical disruption of the rock to access tight gas reservoirs. Also, the amount of tight gas in a volume of rock is much less than the case with conventional gas reservoirs. Finally, the cherry on top or the coup the grace, is that the total amount of tight gas in the USA is good enough for about 20 years of production *at current demand rates*. So any big plans to ship it to Europe would mean that the USA sacrifices quite a bit (compare what the US consumes in terms of gas and what Russia exports to Europe, it’s not a vastly larger amount).

  10. I’m still concerned about Crimea’s dependency on Ukraine in electricity, food and fresh water. I just read that most of the electricity, food and fresh water used by Crimean people come from Ukraine.
    If I was in charge in Kiev I would stop supplying Crimeans with fresh water and electricity as soon as Crimea votes for independence/joining with Russia. Nobody could blame Kiev if it did that (and I root for Russia in this case!).
    How is Russia suddenly going to replace the Ukrainian supplies to Crimea?

    • Moscow Exile says:

      The Crimean prime minister Aksenov in answer to this self-same question at a press conference this afternoon simply stated that the Crimea would continue to buy utilities off the Ukraine, reminding journalists that all the public utility suppliers in the Ukraine are privately owned, implying that the Ukraine’s and its oligarchs’ need for money would override all the bluster about embargoes. Other than that, Aksenov blithely stated that he was sure the Crimea would find a suitable energy supplier elsewhere.

    • yalensis says:

      Dear Karl:
      I am concerned about that too. It is the only real potential glitch in an otherwise brilliant plan.
      I hope Russia took this possible embargo into account and planned for it.
      I imagine so, since it looks like the planning for this operation has been in the works for quite some time!

      (possibilities: if Crimea gets put into blockade, then blockade would be partially broken via sea convoys? I think this happened during WWII as well…)

      • marknesop says:

        I don’t see a situation where “nobody could blame Kiev”. Of course they could – cutting people off from gas and electricity when it is still cold? Cutting them off from water when water is necessary for life, all because of a vote of self-determination? Kiev will certainly not be making itself look very sympathetic to human rights if it does any of those things, and will in fact confirm the suspicions of many in the East that Kiev will stop at nothing to bring them forcibly to heel. the threat will also harden the hearts of many Crimeans who might not have made up their minds yet.

      • Moscow Exile says:

        The Kerch Strait between the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov is only 3 miles wide. I was thinking it wouldn’t be such a big deal to link a submarine power supply from Port Kavkaz on the eastern Russian Krasnodar region side to the soon to be once more Russian side at Kerch in the Crimea.

        • marknesop says:

          A cable layer could do it easily. Provided Port Kavkaz has the generating capacity. If not, that would have to be built.

          • Al says:

            IIRC, the UK has at least one super high voltage DC cable (HVDC) running to the UK from the Continent and even a plan for Iceland to export electricity produced from its geothermal sources by HVDC to the UK. This is likely to be expanded to take in more countries. Considering the distances and the tech, it looks fairly straight forward for Russia to pipe some to Crimea, depending on availability etc. but certainly doable.

        • yalensis says:

          According to the wiki piece you linked, there is already a car-ferry and rail service between the 2 ports (Port Kavkaz in Russia and Port Krym in Crimea, which are only a few miles apart, as you say).
          So, there is already some infrastructure there, it may not be in good shape, but could be developed and expanded.

          In any case, any Ukrainian plans to blockade or starve out Sevastopol are doomed to failure.

          • marknesop says:

            That is detrimental to rather than supportive of cable-laying; it makes it more difficult to arrange cable-laying around the ferry schedule and it would make more sense for the cable-layer to take a different route, while the ferry probably leaves and arrives from the most built-up points where roads and such would make it easier to beef up power-handling capability. Also, the ferry probably already takes advantage of the shortest route. But I’m just guessing.

    • yalensis says:

      So… Russians captured the drone intact?

      • kirill says:

        http://www.gazeta.ru/politics/news/2014/03/14/n_6013177.shtml

        Yes, it was electronically hijacked. This is exactly the sort of activity that Russia needs to be engaged in to send a message to the lunatics in charge of the USA who still think that Russians can’t make microprocessors.

        • Warren says:

          Iraqi insurgents intercepted and hacked US Predator drones!

          Insurgents Hack U.S. Drones
          $26 Software Is Used to Breach Key Weapons in Iraq; Iranian Backing Suspected

          http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB126102247889095011

          • kirill says:

            This article talks about interception of the video feed. The control feed is encrypted and cannot be hacked for $26. I guess the video feed is not encrypted because it would introduce a serious lag in the transmission.

            • marknesop says:

              No, that’s quite right, the control link would be encrypted, but it could be interrupted without necessarily trying to duplicate it; airborne targets are the same – if they lose the control signal for more than a specified number of seconds, they will execute a “lost link” procedure, and those which contain a chute will pop it and shut the engine down. Mind you, targets are made to be recoverable, and there are good reasons why you would not want a drone recovered by anyone other than those who own it. The link for a drone would have to be mirrored by a repeater or a satellite, something like that, to get the range it does; the range for airborne targets is much less although you can increase it if you use a repeater or relay.

              A sufficiently powerful jammer will interrupt the control signal to anything, but there is a variety of other systems which are capable of intercepting, recording and retransmitting any signal provided it is not a random algorithm.

              Update: here is al-Arabiya’s piece on the same incident. They’re a little clearer that it was a military contractor who claims to have interfered with the signal so that the drone could be captured by self-defense forces. They are quite specific on the identity and ownership of the drone – although it is possible they could have gotten that from good photography without capturing it – but, significantly, there are no denials from the USA at this point.

              And here’s a Serbian News piece which includes some interesting information on the drone’s operating unit, as well as a bit more detail on the drone itself.

              • yalensis says:

                “Judging by its identification number, UAV MQ-5B belonged to the 66th American Reconnaissance Brigade, based in Bavaria,” Rostec said on its website, which also carried a picture of what it said was the captured drone.”

                BAVARIA?
                Germans still occupied by Americans 70 years later? Doesn’t that make them mad sometimes?

                • marknesop says:

                  Drone operations frequently do not have much of a footprint, and there are allegedly a lot of them.

                  Bavaria is not mentioned in this piece, and neither Ramstein nor Stuttgart is there. This story mostly covers drone bases in the Middle East and Africa. But there is a base at Gramisch; perhaps that’s the one. Some are just a trailer; as long as they have enough electrical power and room for computer equipment, they’re good to go and can control drones which are far, far away. The drones themselves, though, are usually close by to maximize time over the target area.

              • yalensis says:

                And Serbian piece adds that the American 66th Intelligence Brigade seems to have been relocated (earlier this month) from Germany to Ukraine (the city of Kirovohrad), whence they have been sending drones over Crimea.

                In conclusion, Americans have invaded Ukraine!

      • marknesop says:

        It sounds as if someone did, although it sounded more like the Crimean self-defense forces. I’m not familiar with the system they described which appears to have interrupted the control link and caused the drone to make an emergency landing, but the report suggested it was intact except for whatever banging about it took in the landing. Some of them pop a drag chute to make an emergency landing.

        I never heard of an autobaza system and am not sure what they are talking about, but Russia fielded an anti-aircraft EW system for Georgia called the Krasukha-4, which includes a device that simulates the jammed signal. Therefore, theoretically, it would be able to block the link from the controller to the drone, but also supply an alternative signal so that the controller would receive false location information. The drone itself executes a “recovery” mode if its link signal is interrupted for more than the default, usually around 10-15 seconds. I suppose if the U.S. loses enough of them they will equip them with a destruct package so that they will explode or burn up if they go into recovery far from their own base. Perhaps it could be interrupted electronically, against the danger it would blow up when its own crews were recovering it.

        Anyway, it’s unsurprising to see drones in Ukraine because the USA has come to love them and rely heavily on them. It’s also unsurprising that other nations are developing countermeasures against them, because it looks as if they are here to stay. The Krasukha-4 is supposed to be effective against anything that uses a satellite signal for navigation.

        • patient observer says:

          A few thoughts – Wouldn’t a drone return to its base if the control link were lost using either GPS or inertial guidance to navigate home? If so, this would suggest that the drone did not realize its link was hijacked.

          If it realized the control signal was comprised in some way, it would have the courtesy to explode especially if over “enemy” territory.

          So, not only did the hijacker use a proper encryption, they also knew the proper commands and how to avoid various security checks in the drone’s system. That seems like a huge technical accomplishment.

          But what really caught my attention was that the drone was apparently armed. Has the drone king Obama gone off his rocker? Are they trying for an assassination? Or creating a false-flag incident?

          Perhaps it should not be surprising that the US would resort to its favorite foreign policy cure-all and Obama’s “equalizer”. I can imagine the spineless Obama getting off as he watches the video monitors as another person dies. Perhaps Hilary is rubbing his shoulders as she whispers into his ear “See, it gets better every time my love, we are gods and with you at my side, the world will adore and fear us!” Then Michele bursts into the room… (to be continued).

  11. yalensis says:

    Crimean roadmap into Russia:

    Vladimir Konstantinov, Speaker of the Supreme Soviet of Crimean Autonomy, says Crimean leaders are laying out a 4-year roadmap for Crimea to integrate into Russia:

    Step #1: Within 2 weeks after Sunday’s referendum, assuming everything goes as predicted, then Crimea will be a part of Russia. However, this is a longer-term project, and will take up to 4 years before Crimea is fully sufficient.
    (speaking to above-commented concerns about Crimea’s infrastructure: water, gas, etc.)

    For starters, Crimea/Russia will fully absord the oil and gas company “Chernomorneftegaz”.
    Also wine-making enterprises.
    Also, the children’s store “Artek”.

    Within 2 weeks after Referndum, Crimea will seek representation in all organs of power of Russian Federation, including the Soviet of Federation, in which Crimea seeks to become a powerful lobby for the interests of the peninsula citizens.

    According to Konstantinov, dual citizenship will become the norm in Crimea: Russian and Ukrainian citizenship.
    This will allow Ukrainians to migrate to Crimea, if they are being persecuted.

    Of most importance, the 4-year roadmap will include the construction of a transport hub across the Kerch bay. (Which links the Russian mainland to Crimea.) This project will take 4 years to build, but will secure access to fresh water and electrical energy. The transport corridor will include railroad and automotive transportation facilities.

    Konstantinov added that Crimea is preparing a blacklist of people who will not be allowed to cross the border from Ukraine into Crimea. This includes criminals who attacked Berkut, and those who espouse Nazi ideology. Turchynov and Yatsenuk will be included in this list, it goes without saying.
    “They are dead to us,” he said.

  12. kirill says:

    https://plus.google.com/101175546080106411874/posts/gZGv9sfue9G

    The regime-allied mayor of Kharkov greets Right Sector thugs shortly after they killed 2 and injured 5 anti-Maidan protestors. Kernes needs to swing from a lamp post with piano wire.

  13. kirill says:

    Beginning of the End? Oil Companies Cut Back on Spending

    The above blog-post covers the looming oil crisis. The bottom line is that it is now too expensive for oil majors to discover and develop new fields. This is a geology driven effect and not some market fad. It means that the supply of oil on the market in the next 10 years will start to decline in a major way. All oil fields decline in production, so that to maintain enough global supply new fields have to be brought online continuously.

    • marknesop says:

      Holy shit. That’s quite a statement. And quite an explanation. When shale oil and gas production in the USA begins to fall off to a degree that it cannot be manipulated, panic will set in, because an entire generation has become wedded to the notion that happy days are here again and the USA is not only energy self-sufficient, it is a net exporter. When the truth sinks in that it has become an imported-energy-dependent nation again – never was entirely anything but – the reaction will be unpredictable. Especially if it has completely alienated the world’s largest producer, although as frequently discussed you cannot cut somebody off from a product that is bought and sold on the global market. But U.S. influence is bound to decline.

      • kirill says:

        The problem is that this is a global phenomenon. So America will not be saved by imports. This is on top of the fact that rising consumers like China and India are now bidding for that international oil supply. It is looking really bad. I can sort of see a motivation for war in all of this. WWI and WWII were resource wars with a heavy layer of other motivators.

        • robert says:

          http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/the-crocodiles-of-reality.html

          When you insist on splashing in the waters of denial sooner or later you attract the attention of the crocodiles of reality.

          As the planet’s reserves of fossil fuel diminish there could be a zero sum conflict between the West and China for the remaining reserves. Could it lead to war? Quite possibly. So driving Russia into the Chinese camp is not especially clever.

          Had the West treated Russia decently after the Soviet collapse Russia might have become an ally and a friend of the United States the way Germany did after the war. The looting of Russia in the Nineties was the triumph of short term greed over long term interest.

          • rkka says:

            “The looting of Russia in the Nineties was the triumph of short term greed over long term interest.”

            Afraid not. The US government has been waging cold war on Russia ever since the USG decided to become a world power in the 1880s and started its steel navy to replace the wooden navy built during the Civil War. Alfred Thayer Mahan, the seapower guru, called for an alliance between the US, the British Empire, Germany, and Japan against Russia to contain Russia until she collapsed. Teddy Roosevelt, who despised Russia, encouraged Imperial Japan, then a US protege, to institute “a Monroe Doctrine in Asia.” What followed was 8 February 1904, a date that certainly has not lived in infamy.

            This US cold war on Russia was interrupted by WWI and WWII, but piche\kd up immediately after each, and continues to this day.

            • kirill says:

              I should have read this post first. Thanks for the info. I wonder where this American hate for Russia comes from. I don’t quite think that it’s pogrom fleeing Jews setting the tone. I think it is just that the US elites view Russia as a serious competitor for global preeminence. Of course they would never openly admit that to their public to which they feed tales about Russian genetic inferiority.

              • Moscow Exile says:

                And all this after Alexander II had sent a Russian Imperial Navy squadron to the USA during the Civil War to show France and the UK that foreign intervention was out. So whereas certain elements in Europe were waiting feverishly in the wings for the end of the USA during (from the Union’s point of view) the darkest days of the war, namely up to Gettysburg in July 1863, those wicked Russkies were offering a helping hand.

                And there’s the thanks they got for it.

                Possibly because Mahan knew full well that the Monroe Doctrine was only viable as long as the Royal Navy controlled the waves and that British governments from almost as soon as the War of 1812 had ended had decided that the USA could not possibly be an enemy, no matter what the Whigs in the UK thought of the Confederacy.

                The Guardian, by the way – the Manchester Guardian to be more exact – as the mouthpiece of 19th century British entrepreneurs, most noticeably the cotton mill-owners of Northwest of England, supported the Confederacy right to the end, maintaining its venom for Abraham Lincoln even when he was assassinated.

                Liverpool is in Northwest England as well: it was the entry port for southern cotton, which was transported to the Manchester mills along the first railway, as we now define them, in the world: the Liverpool & Manchester Rlwy, opened 1830. No surprise then that the Confederate commerce raider CSS Alabama was built on the banks of the River Mersey “across the water” in the shipyards of Birkenhead that face the Liverpool shore.

            • Warren says:

              Theodore Roosevelt was a fascinating character, I was aware that he held contemptuous and hostile views of Russians. Teddy “Rough Rider” Roosevelt was the first US President to embrace the “Special Relationship” with the old country, Teddy Bear completely bought into ideology of the superiority and brotherhood of the English speaking Anglo-Saxon peoples.

              Regarding the US origins of the hostility to or rivalry with Russia, I was not aware that the Grand US strategist Mahan believed in containing and opposing Russia. This is news to me. With Mahan’s alleged Anti-Russian views and Roosevelt (Teddy) known prejudice towards Russians. It seems very odd that US mediation of the Russo-Japanese war, was so favourable towards Russia. After all despite “losing” the war, Russia did not pay reparations to Japan, nor was Japan’s demand for more territory that of annexing ALL of Sakhalin Island under the Treaty of Portsmouth (1905).

              It is important to remember that during the US Civil War, Russia unlike Britain and France supported or sympathised with the Union/North. Whereas the British and French made no secret their sympathies lay with the Confederates. Russian fleet visited New York and San Franscisco in 1863 during the height of hostilities.

              The Bilateral Effect of the Visit of the Russian Fleet in 1863

              http://www.loyno.edu/~history/journal/1983-4/delehaye.htm

              The 150th Anniversary of this event was completely ignored in the MSM and among “official” sanctioned historians in the US.

              • kirill says:

                In the racial superiority ranking the yellow people would come after the slavs. Perhaps there was some lobbying by the British Royals in favour of Romanovs.

                • Moscow Exile says:

                  When he was tsetsarevich, the future Nicholas II was sent on a world tour by his dad, Alexander III because of his son’s scandalous behaviour (he was shagging a Polish ballerina at the Bolshoi). When in Japan, young Nicholas, whilst being pulled along in a rickshaw, was attacked by a knife-brandishing Japanese nationalist fanatic.

                  After that, Nicky really, really didn’t like the Japanese, whom he often referred to as “Yellow monkeys”.

                  In fact, during the Pacific War 1941-45 Americans openly used the same racist term. However, when the epic Hollywood reconstruction of the Pearl Harbor attack was made in 2001, PC stepped in and there were token lines in the film stating that the “Japanese boys” were brave and that they had their own belief systems that should be respected. There is even one cloying scene that shows a Japanese dive bomber circling over a school as its pilot is frantically waving at the kids in the school-yard in order to warn them of the great danger that they are in.

                  Pity that Obama’s drones can’t do that.

              • marknesop says:

                I don’t know that Mahan was so much anti-Russian as he was pro-American and obsessed with the mechanics and leverage of sea power in his time. He perceived that it was essential to establish American bases throughout the world in order to project power, because otherwise you would have to rely on the goodwill of other nations rather than bending them to do what you wanted them to do. To a certain extent, NATO follows the same strategy today.

              • Alec says:

                American mediation in that war wasn’t nearly as sympathetic to Russia as it seemed. Russia didn’t know it, but Japan had come to the limits of her resources and had no more troops to send to the mainland. Contrary to public perceptions following her naval victory at Tsushima, Japan needed to extricate herself from the war fast.

                So Theodore Roosevelt got Japan out of a very tricky spot. He and his government had been rooting for a Japanese victory right from the start, and welcomed a Japanese presence in Korea to hold off the Russians while they and the English penetrated China. The idea that Japan might not in the end be content with the role of guard-dog for British and American empires, and only opposed Russia because she was blocking “them” in China, and above all that Japan could be a rival to themselves one day, didn’t seem to occur to them.

                Some think that America’s subsequent dispatch of the “Great White Fleet” around the world was to work out solutions to the logistical problems the Russians had had in sending half their Baltic fleet to the Pacific. To go round the world and into a war zone without time to recuperate meant they weren’t in the best shape to fight. Had they slipped through to Vladivostok and been able to recover, things might have been very different. The Battle of the Yellow Sea, after all, when the Port Arthur fleet tried to break through to Vladivostok, had been a very close-run thing and one can’t help thinking the Japanese were luckier than they deserved.

                The Japanese government took the most enormous gamble in their surprise attack on Russia in 1904, and even after the destruction of the Russian fleets they were overextended and out of options on the mainland, where the Trans-Siberian railway could still bring much larger Russian reinforcements. So Japan was not actually able to demand very much at the peace conference, except Russian withdrawal from Manchuria: the eventual annexation of Korea was not at this point a foregone conclusion. Without the discontent at home to distract her, Russia would actually have been in a position to demand better terms than she got. In fact, Nicholas II’s first instinct (overruled by his advisors) that the domestic fallout might be better were he to delay peace until a few land victories had been achieved was in hindsight probably a correct one.

                Even so, Russia’s position in the far east remained largely intact, with her fleet rebuilt and modernised, and (with the completion of the trans-Siberian railway) her communications were better than they had been before the war. It was the deteriorating situation in Europe and Russia’s lack of bandwidth (and indeed the other powers too) that really strengthened Japan’s situation in the far eastern mainland, and it was World War One (and Russia’s temporary collapse as a result of revolution and civil war) that left Japan as almost the sole regional power, and in a position to make new demands from China; and incidentally, one of the inflationary consequences of the war was to dilute the value of the currency (sterling) in which Japan had much of her debt.

                The Japanese people were not aware of their country’s weakness at the end of the 1904-5 war (for obvious reasons, telling them the truth during peace negotiations would also have enlightened the Russians), nor of the gamble their government had made, and so after the fall of Port Arthur and their visible victory at Tsushima they expected substantial gains from the war after the casualties they had taken, and when these were not forthcoming, there was intense public anger and the government of Katsura Taro fell.

                • Moscow Exile says:

                  The Japanese were on a hiding to nothing unless they made a peace treaty. The Russian steamroller was trundling towards them across Siberia and Roosevelt pulled their chestnuts out of the fire for them.

                  (Run out of metaphors now. 🙂 )

                • marknesop says:

                  That is an excellent – and informative – analysis of a pivotal point in history. God bless anyone who knows history well and writes it in a cause-and-effect style which is also unbiased, because in my experience the great majority of people do not know history very well and sometimes not at all, and the overwhelming tendency is to believe the first version which is explained in a format they understand and in which the relationships become clear. The latter is something which really requires the analysis of years afterward, because if you read accounts written at the time you will not know effects which accrued later that people of the age had no way of forecasting.

              • rkka says:

                “It seems very odd that US mediation of the Russo-Japanese war, was so favourable towards Russia. After all despite “losing” the war, Russia did not pay reparations to Japan, nor was Japan’s demand for more territory that of annexing ALL of Sakhalin Island under the Treaty of Portsmouth (1905). ”

                Japan’s economy was on the verge of collapse, Witte played the ‘Christian Russia’ card in the US media with considerable skill, the Russian gvt refused reparations point blank, and new Russian armies had been mobilized and were being transferred East.

                The Treaty of Portsmouth reflected these facts.

  14. Fern says:

    Some interesting stuff picked up from ‘Moon of Alabama’. Paul Vickers is a British university lecturer who’s been living in western Ukraine for a couple of years. His latest blog post describes post-coup life there. Although there’s sotto voce resistance to far-right groups, local media are normalising their activities. He post describes a society which is inevitably succumbing to mob rule.
    “Speaking to the press, the Self-Defence issued a statement stating that they do not want to have in a position of authority in the police a man who refuses for now to undergo lustration, i.e. a check on his past. Shortly afterwards, the new head of the regional administration agreed to make all administration workers undergo lustration and barred any ex-Party of Regions figures from taking up posts. Then a little bit later, the new head of the regional administration found that his office had been blockaded by Self-Defence and ‘local businessmen’, according to this report. Together they made a series of demands, including cancellation of certain taxes on wealth and various aspects of certification for motor vehicles and business-related issues. There was ‘Tax Maidan‘ in November 2010 which saw the small-and-medium-sized business community protest against a new tax code, so this protest in Ivano-Frankivsk could be seen in that context.”

    Right Sector march through the city, the police HQ is blockaded, plus a local news update

    Russia may get repayment of its $3 billion bond purchase sooner than expected thanks to an unusual clause in the fine print:-
    Startlingly, the notes are governed by U.K. law and subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of British courts. And most crucially, there is an odd clause in the bonds that has a direct impact on European and American taxpayers, as CNBC learned through a review of the bond agreement:

    Paragraph 3 (b) under Covenants:

    (b) Debt Ratio So long as the Notes remain outstanding the Issuer shall ensure that the volume of the total state debt and state guaranteed debt should not at any time exceed an amount equal to 60 percent of the annual nominal gross domestic product of Ukraine.

    The implications of that clause are that the minute the West or the International Monetary Fund extends a large loan to Ukraine, that country will almost certainly have a debt-to-GDP that exceeds 60 percent, immediately putting the Russian loan into default. That gives Russia the right to demand immediate repayment. And because the bonds are governed by British courts — which, presumably, neither Ukraine nor Russia can manipulate — it would be extremely difficult for Ukraine to avoid making the payment, using its new bailout money.”
    http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/ukraine-crisis/3-billion-ukraine-aid-would-go-russia-n52056

    On the Ukrainian military strength front, The Saker has an analysis suggesting that while Ukraine is clearly no match for Russia, it does have enough hardware and probably enough people with the will to use it to crush resistance to Kiev in the southern and eastern regions. The main strategy surely has to be to stage the sort of terror attacks that will provoke a Russian military intervention in the hope that all hell will break loose.

    • marknesop says:

      An amazing comment full of startling information – great research! I can’t imagine what brilliant mind thought to couch the Russian loan to Ukraine in British law; what a remarkable piece of forethought. I wonder if the U.S. government is aware that their entire aid donation will go to Russia? Well, no, I suppose it wouldn’t, because it would not rise to the requisite proportion of GDP, but still, if Ukraine is in any wise successful it must repay the money.

      I really wish that you would settle on a subject and do a post on it; your writing is easy to understand but very educated and skillful, you are an excellent researcher and narrator and have a great eye for interesting stuff as well as an ability to draw startling deductions from it. It’s just a matter of expanding your material to maybe three times the size of a comment; something that is not difficult if the subject is captivating, and it seems to be our luck to have stumbled into captivating times. Please consider it; we’ve had some great guest writers here and everyone seems to enjoy them, while nobody wants to listen to me waffle on all the time.

      • yalensis says:

        I suggest Fern expand on that bit about the loan/London court thing, with additional research and links.
        Would make a great blogpost!
        It’s very interesting, and I have not seen that information any place else.

      • Fern says:

        Mark, thank you for your kind words but I’m just a browser and clipper – a ‘cut n’ paste’ kinda gal.

        • yalensis says:

          What’s wrong with that? It’s called RESEARCH.

          • Moscow Exile says:

            Is Fern a woman?

            We’ve already got one, haven’t we?

            Fair’s fair chaps, but don’t you think two women on the committee is a bit too much?

            🙂

            • marknesop says:

              I wondered, when you said “at least one woman”. You thought a man would be named “Fern”? Maybe if he wanted to fight his way out of every place he ever had to present ID.

              I think rkka is a woman as well. That’s just a guess.

  15. Moscow Exile says:

    This clip was shot in Kiev last October.

    And there are some who say that Svoboda and other similar “political parties” are not fascist.

    Whatever: Svoboda seems to attract fascists as does a piece of shit flies.

    The man who likes dressing up as a Nazi is Russian. When asked if there will be a “Reich”, he replies that there will.

    “And what then will be the fate of the Ukraine”, he is asked further. The Nazi-wannabe replies: “The Ukraine’s fate will be as in Hitler’s Plan-Ost“.

    In Moscow there is a smart-arse group of young “radicals” of the guitar-strumming on Chistiy Prudy Bulvar variety, the café bourgeois layabout type who have rich daddies and have done a bit of travelling and who wear white ribbons on marches, who like to utter such inanities as “If we had lost the war, we’d all be driving Mercedes now and drinking Bavarian beer now”.

    That’s their idea of the results of “Generalplan Ost” if it had achieved success.

    Which may well be right – except for one important thing that they seem to have overlooked: those driving the Mercedes and drinking Bavarian beer after the implementation of the plan most certainly would not have been Russian – or, for that matter, Slavs of any description.

    These pampered bourgeois youths (and quite a few not so young as well) seem to think that in their fantasy Plan Ost dream world they would enjoy even more privileges than they now enjoy – such as not working to name but one – thanks to their superior intelligence and artistic “creativity”.

    They also seem to forget that Untermenschen, such as would have existed as a result of Generalplan Ost, would have enjoyed no rights and privileges whatsoever, albeit that they certainly would not have worked for a living, rather they would have been worked until dead.

    • marknesop says:

      He wants to lay off the wurst and bread for awhile; I’m pretty sure your tunic is not supposed to look like a pregnant sow is wearing it, like there is a double row of teats underneath it. I’d be nervous if I were the videographer; if one of those buttons lets go…

      You’re right; as Fern’s comment corroborates, what we are seeing in the press is the normalization of mob rule, not to mention the continuing denial of reality that says extremists do not have any real influence in government or any powerful positions – that they were thrown a few token ministries as a sop for their reckless courage and the contribution it made to the overthrow of the government.

      Which highlights the atmosphere of unreality in which the unelected puppet government is operating. I don’t believe Yats is actually a fascist; he probably fancies himself rather more a pragmatic member of the intelligentsia, and I am curious as to how he reconciles what he sees around him with his vision of himself at the helm of Ukraine’s destiny. You know as well as I that it is fairly easy to discern when someone is going through the motions of obeying your authority, but is actually amused that you think you’re in charge. If Yats is anything like as smart as he is reputed to be, he must sense it, too.

    • Warren says:

      Ukrainian “nationalists” are a strange bunch, for a group that professes pride and devotion to all things “Ukrainian”. Why do Ukrainian “nationalists” adopt a German ideology (Nazism/Fascism) even though under that ideology Ukrainians would be classified as untermensch, parade with German symbols (Wolfsangel & Old Germanic Runic alphabet) and wear German clothes (Flecktarn Bundeswehr camouflage)?

      I think these Ukrainian “nationalists” are suffering from profound cultural insecurity and identity crisis! These Ukrainian “nationalists” are counterfeit Krauts! No disrespect to my Germanic brethren, you know I love you all!!

      • yalensis says:

        They are celebrating that part of Ukrainian history in which their ancestors fought alongside their dear allies, the Nazis.

  16. Some Russian posters in Militaryphotos think that situation in Eastern Ukraine is not similar to Crimea. Even the murders in Kharkiv by pro-Maidan thugs don’t seem to get big crowds protesting and forming self-militias like was done in Crimea. Like one poster said “[i]some radical pro-Russian local activists facing some radical Ukrainian nationalists with almost zero interest from other parts of local population.[/i]”

    • marknesop says:

      I wouldn’t go that far, because the unrest in the East receives almost no coverage; it is mentioned far more often by bloggers, mostly referencing the Russian and East-European press. But I agree it is a movement that is likely to run out of steam and be put down without direct Russian intervention, and that is unlikely to happen. I think the most likely outcome will be that Russia takes the Crimea, and much of the Eastern Ukraine’s population will emigrate. There is also the possibility that nearby cities to the Crimean peninsula will wish to secede as well, although it would be considerably more difficult if they were not autonomous.

      I disagree with the characterization that unrest is not widespread in the East; it simply suits the western media to characterize it that way, the same as they characterized the unrest in Moscow as “massive demonstrations”. The media are masters of the adjective, and downplay or magnify as it suits their purposes according to their political affiliation. But I do agree it is unlikely to result in Russia absorbing all the East or even part of it. Still, it will provide fertile ground for continued discontent with the central government in Kiev and I believe its entire tenure, for so long as it lasts, will be stormy and counterproductive.

      • yalensis says:

        I predict that many ethnic Russians will emigrate from Eastern Ukraine, so as not to have to live under the Banderite/Fascist Reign of Terror. Other Russians, who are not able to emigrate, will have no choice except to settle down and live under the Banderite/Fascist yoke, at least for a while.
        If enough Russians emigrate, then ethnic Ukrainians might become the majority, and they will probably feel more comfortable than Russians under the Banderite fascist system, even if they don’t agree with it politically, but at least they won’t be the persecuted ethnic group.

        I also predict, though, that the resistance to Banderite/Fascist government will continue over time, breaking out sporadically, especially as the Kiev government becomes more oppressive, and as an economic conditions deteriorate. Eventually there may be general strikes which bring the Banderite government down.

        That’s all my crystal ball has, for now.
        Viva La Resistance!

        • yalensis says:

          P.S.
          I also predict that conflicts will break out AMONG the various Banderite factions, as they strive for more power. That’s already starting to happen in Western Ukraine. And since these militias are armed and not exactly debating clubs, then it goes without saying that the Banderite factions will start to shed each others blood.

        • marknesop says:

          The Banderites are not the government; not really, they have some power but not the highest offices, which leads to this weird duality where there are actually two leaderships working in parallel – the one recognized and giving the orders, the other unrecognized but there nonetheless, manipulating the situation to its own advantage. That could go on for quite some time, but the biggest single factor which will sink Ukraine is money. It needs such a staggering amount, and neither Europe or the USA has that kind of money to throw around. I’m sure there will be some kind of effort to generate income from it – not much use in establishing a free-trade agreement if you do not mean to do any trade – but Europe has so many problems of its own right now that it cannot afford to dedicate much effort to fixing Ukraine. But that’s not why it wanted Ukraine in the first place – it wanted to prevent Putin from getting it.

      • It does not feel right if Eastern Ukrainian population would just abandons their land and emigrate to Russia without a fight. Hopefully they will be able to resist. Otherwise it would be a great victory for the maidanites, who would have succeeded in driving out the local “Russian” population out of their lands and securing their living space and natural resources.

        • marknesop says:

          The most positive thing I can think of happening would be for a strong presidential candidate to arise from the East who would win an election, then be met with scorn and rage and noises about secession from the West and perhaps some of the centre, whereupon he would graciously agree and let them go, off to attach themselves to Poland or something, and form a strong association with Russia that could not be easily interfered with by the meddling west. It could still happen; it’s quite likely Putin will win another term so long as his health holds up and he does not make any serious mistakes.

  17. Moscow Exile says:

    There’ll be three marches and meetings today in Moscow: В субботу в Москве пройдет три шествия и митинга

    The fors and againsts will intersect.

    The city authorities have agreed that on March 15 three events will take place in the city centre. One is called the “Peace March”: it has been organized by the “opposition” in order to protest against there being a war with the Ukraine. The assembly of participants is to be within Strastniy Boulevard at 13:00 . The march is scheduled to start at 14:00 .

    Activists will go along the left-hand side of the the road to Sakharov Avenue … where a rally will take place from 15::00 to 18::00. Organizers have announced that there will be 50 thousand people there.

    Another municipality approved procession is one organized by the Sergey Kurginyan’s Orthodox Movement “The Essence of Time”. Participants will assemble at Tsvetniy Boulevard… the march will last from 14:00 to 15:00 and finish on Revolution Square ( 15:00 to 17:00 ). Organizers have promise to raise up to 2 thousand people.

    Participants at the third event ( a meeting of representatives of the Orthodox community in support of Russians in the Ukraine) will not move anywhere . The action will take place in Novopushkinsky Park from 13:00 to 15:00.

    Wonder if Navalny will attend the first of the above marches?
    .

    • yalensis says:

      I notice the Russian liberal intelligentsia (Navalny/Nemtsov, the usual white-ribbon types) has suddenly become PACIFISTS.

      In 2008 they were also pacifists. Remember Yuri Shevchuk and his famous song “Don’t shoot!” , calling on Russians to give peace a chance instead of pushing Gruzia out of South Ossetia.

      Now they are pacifists again, because they don’t want Russians to fight back against the Banderite-Nazi reign of terror in Ukraine.

      I don’t respect the “pacifism” of these types. They’re not Quakers, nor are they always peace-loving. They have supported ALL of America’s wars and foreign adventures. Remember how Chirikova was collecting donations for the Syrian insurgents? And how Pussy Riot was calling for an “Arab Spring” to take place in Russia?

      Pacifism, my ass.

      .

      • yalensis says:

        P.S.
        the purpose of the “pacifist” march is to oppose the Crimean Referendum.
        ’cause, see, the Referendum is too radical, it upsets the West, and could lead to war of Russia vs. Ukraine, and the pacifists cannot bear the thought of ANY war… [except when it’s an American invasion of some sort]

        More Puppet Theater, sponsored by the good old USA.
        .

      • Why does Russia have such a rotten “opposition” that hates its own country?
        Here in Finland we don’t have many people like that who would support anything that goes against Finland’s interests?

        What made did this self-hating Russian opposition born?

        • patient observer says:

          Nutjob+NGO

          • kirill says:

            This foaming at the mouth “opposition” is formed much like the Al Qaeda recruiting. They are not civil society members, they are fanatics. Of course the western MSM paints them as soft and cuddly bunnies much like they have been doing in Ukraine. The only thing the west cares about is that they be “pro-west” and “anti-Russian”. The cold war never ended.

            • But who do thousands of Russian citizens seemingly hate their country enough to align themselves with Russia’s greatest enemy? Only money?

              • kirill says:

                Out of 143 million people even 100s of thousands is round off noise. I bet one can find 100s of thousands of America haters in the USA and that is in a country where everyone is brainwashed from birth to hate foreigners and love America.

                • patient observer says:

                  All they need are some NGOs to give their hatred a direction and a “higher purpose” and you have a vocal cadre of US haters (plus the usual assortment of opportunists and professional contrarians). Actually our ghettos (and more surprising placed) are full of them and they do have a legitimate basis for their feelings. Perhaps there is no underclass in Finland,

                • yalensis says:

                  America is more like Russia, in being chock full of potential Fifth Columnists. All they need is some external encouragement, and they could run wild in the streets.

                  You don’t believe me? America has literally hundreds of thousands of potentially violent gun-toting people who belong to irregular militias, and who would overthrow the Federal government in a heartbeat, if they had the chance.

                  So, I would imagine that is a potential source of “traitors” (or “patriots”, depending on one’s POV). An enemy country could potentially fund these militias and attempt to use them for regime change. If Russia were evil and wanted to do, she could. Fortunately for American government, Homey don’t play dat.

        • yalensis says:

          Dear Karl:
          I do think that Finns as a whole are morally superior to Russians in many ways.
          (I’m not being sarcastic, I actually believe that.)
          The other factor is that Finns don’t have the United States as an enemy, whereas Russia does. I think that factor counts for a lot!

        • Moscow Exile says:

          Self hatred caused by rejection, real or perceived or chosen.

          This rejection is because of the “system” which the dissident does not want to be part of and in rejecting it or being rejected by it, the self pity turns to hatred of the system and a deeper, subliminal, hatred of himself.

          That’s what this woman has.

          A good description in the link of диссидентство as well.

          Doktor Isaak Moskauexilmann
          Psychoanalytiker
          Wien

  18. Al says:

    Did anyone notice earlier this week when Russia stated that they may suspend verification of the START treaty? A few days later there was a small press conference with the American verification team who said that ‘everything is running normally’. Curious, no? The Russians have clearly signaled to the West that all options are on the table if they think that they can impose economic sanctions on Russia wily-nily which makes me wonder if it all simply isn’t just a great son-et-lumiere performance by the West and that they have all come to some sort of agreement behind closed doors that sanctions will only go so far (i.e. to look arguably credible) but no further?

    I also spotted a headline in the FT that ‘Russians are pulling billions from London’ but didn’t see anything further. Maybe the sheer threat of sanctions by the West has already caused damage to itself (as above, movement of large capital away) which also shows how the sanctions gambit is a sideshow?

    Re the talks that go nowhere between Kerry & Lavrov. If that is in fact the case and we are told in shrill terms that Russia and the West are ‘on a collision course’, then why exactly did the talks last for three hours?

    Kerry: Will you surrender?
    Lavrov: No!
    Kerry: Goodbye!
    Lavrov: Woof!*

    That’s not three hours. As Alice Liddle would have said, ‘Curiouser and curiouser…’

    *His dog, speaking on his behalf.

    • yalensis says:

      They could have just played cards for 3 hours, making it look to the world like they were doing something.

    • marknesop says:

      This is probably the FT story – note how Americans are congratulating themselves on how they can cause financial chaos simply by suggesting they will apply sanctions, with that prick Strobe Talbott giggling over how Russia’s expansion into international banking makes it “more vulnerable, a good lever for applying pressure”. He may be laughing out the other side of his face soon, and I doubt there is as much joy in Europe as there is in the USA, which does little direct trade with Russia although its companies have some significant exposure. Dinks like Strobe Talbott are frequently shortsighted, and all self-congratulatory when they are causing havoc, but when it begins to rebound on them, of course the enemy is “playing dirty”.

  19. Al says:

    One more technote.
    If you keep loosing your comments one way or another, Lazarus form recovery is quite good.

    Chrome:
    https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/lazarus-form-recovery/loljledaigphbcpfhfmgopdkppkifgno

    Firefox:
    https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/lazarus-form-recovery/

    Make sure you look at the settings because it will keep everything..

  20. yalensis says:

    As usual, Gazeta has the best coerage and to-the-minute transmittal of the 3 marches taking places right now, even as we speak.

    The Pacifists March is led by the usual suspects, Ilya Yashin and Boris Nemtsov.
    In addition to chanting pro-Ukraine slogans, these types are also tossing in “Free Bolotnaya Prisoners of Conscience” type slogans.

    • yalensis says:

      Some estimated numbers: Kurginyan’s march supporting Crimea and opposing fascism = 15K. White ribbon pacifist march = 3K.

      Third march is pro-Kremlin, also pro-Crimea – no numbers yet.

  21. yalensis says:

    Meanwhile, the Banderite/fascist reign of terror continues in Kharkiv.

    Right Sector fascists opened fire on anti-fascist demonstrators earlier today, killing two people.
    As Saker noted, life is going to be very hard for anti-fascist people in Kharkiv and Donetsk. The fascist junta in Kiev has appointed loyal pro-fascist governors to crush the people of Kharkiv and Donetsk. Attempts to drive these governors out and replace them with “people’s governors” have failed.

    Anti-fascists and ethnic Russians are fighting back, but they will not be able to get the same kind of help that Crimeans got. As Saker noted, they will probably be crushed under eventually by the fascists. However, resistance will probably go underground and continue, as it did when those parts of Ukraine and Russia were occupied by the forces of the Third Reich.

    So, in a way, what is happening now is like a repeat of WWII, with the fascists ascendant in much of Europe, and the anti-fascists driven into underground resistance. There are not going to be any more democratic elections in Ukraine, so people will not have an opportunity to vote the fascists out. In any place where fascists took power, they never got voted out in an election. [somebody correct me if they can think of a counter-example].

    Which is not to say that Russia cannot help these people more substantially. Russia can’t just move troops in, like they did in Crimea. (Well, they could, but probably won’t.)

    Hence, in the coming months, Russia could provide substantial covert support to the Resistance in places like Donetsk and Kharkiv.
    Russia can also help people by taking in refugees from those areas which are under the fascist yoke.

    • “Attempts to drive these governors out and replace them with “people’s governors” have failed.”

      They have failed because people in Eastern Ukraine have not been either willing or able to form self-militias who would go against pro-Maidan militias and Right Sector.
      Crimeans acted with enough passion and order and were able to form self-militias even before Russian intervention happened. Eastern Ukrainians were too passive and now they have to pay the price for their own passivity.

      • yalensis says:

        Dear Karl:
        It isn’t really that clear cut. Anti-fascists in Eastern Ukraine ARE forming self-defense militias, and they are fighting back. It’s just that they are out-gunned. Due to geographical, legal, military, and other reasons, they can’t shut out the UNA-UNSO and other CIA-paid goons squads, the way the Crimeans were able to.
        Plus, the Crimeans were fortunate enough to have the support of a world-class army behind them.
        In the end, it is really all about what Russia is able and willing to do for her friends.

        • Russia should give more weight to those self-militias. If and when terror becomes even worse Russia has no other choice than to publicly support them or intervene directly.
          If UNA-UNSO goons are CIA paid it means that this is a proxy war against Russia in Russia’s doorstep near Russia’s heartland. It would be an equivalent of Russia directly supporting anti-American terror groups in Canada.
          Russia should find a way to transport weapons to Eastern Ukrainian militias, but I guess that is not so simple because the Ukraine-Russia border is controlled by Kiev.

    • Fern says:

      I think you’re right, yalensis. People opposed to Kiev who’re seen as leaders or even potential leaders in the south and east are likely to be imprisoned, if they’re lucky, or injured and killed, if they’re not. These tactics will probably intimidate the majority of people who may be hostile to what’s happening in Ukraine but are inherently passive. The Maidan protestors, after all, had the entire western world helping them by ensuring Yanukovich could do nothing effective to restore order. There will be no such intervention on behalf of pro-Russian protestors – reports of deaths and injuries will barely surface in western media and if the numbers are too large to ignore, they’ll be written off as a regrettable response to Russian agents provocateurs.

      I suspect that the people who’re currently sufficiently ‘non-passive’ as to be taking part in marches and protest movements will vote with their feet and leave Ukraine whereas their more passive compatriots will wait until the austerity programmes kick in – either way, within five years, much of the Russian-speaking population in the south and east will be gone.

      • yalensis says:

        a de facto ethnic cleansing…

      • kirill says:

        Eastern Ukraine is not Kosovo or any of the other ex-Yugoslavia flash points. There are 10 million ethic Russians living there and most of the local Ukrainians are pro-Russia. Remember the 3 million soldiers allegedly called up for duty by the Kiev regime? Where are they? The regime MOD admitted that 6000 could be called up from 41000. The regime is trying to set up a National Guard or in reality the Ukrainian Tonton Macoute composed of Right Sector and Svoboda goons. This force of 60000 is supposed to ethnically cleanse eastern Ukraine?

        What is more likely to happen is that any attempt to pull a Haiti on eastern Ukraine will be met with a paramilitary response (with full Russian backing). The passivity of eastern Ukraine is all about trying to avoid civil war. It is up to the Kiev regime to keep itself in check in order that this passivity remains in place.

  22. yalensis says:

    Another drama to watch for today:
    The UN Security Council is meeting in emergency session today. In New York City it is currently around 7:00 AM. Approximately 4 hours from now, at 11:00 AM, the emergency meeting will convene.

    U.S. and Western countries will propose a vote to condemn the Crimean referendum and refuse to recognize its legitimacy.
    The vote will obviously not pass, since Russia has a veto.

    However, the true drama will be on what China does.
    Americans are frantically trying to get China to abstain. This would take such abstention as victory and crow that Russia is “completely isolated” on the world stage. Practically a rogue nation.

    Hence, everybody should watch what China does.

    • Sam says:

      China abstained. It’s smart from their side since they have no skin in the game in this whole Ukraine/Crimea crisis and Russia has veto power anyway , but I still hoped they would vote against in solidarity with Russia.

      • yalensis says:

        Yeah, I figured China would abstain, but was still disappointed. I guess I was hoping for a miracle.
        With them abstaining, the U.S. can go around trumpeting its propaganda meme that Russia is an isolated, rogue nation.
        Oh well, could have been worse. China could have voted WITH the Western powers.

        • yalensis says:

          Speaking of China, does anybody have any theories about this extraordinary round-the-clock coverage (in American press) of that Malaysian airline crash?
          Seems to me it should have been worthy of a headline for one or two days, but not a whole week.
          Seems to me this tragic event should be of importance only to China and Malaysia.
          Just curious why American MSM give a hoot and give this story round-the-clock coverage.

          • Fern says:

            I read somewhere (sorry, can’t remember the source) that there were three Americans on board. Apart from that, it is pretty strange that no wreckage has surfaced.

            • marknesop says:

              There was a brief story that the plane’s engines had run for hours after it disappeared; there is a monitoring program that sends routine data such as hours run and temperature readings, things like that which might help engineers reconstruct an accident, which are actually transmitted by the engines back to the company that made them. Malaysia apparently did not purchase this feature with its package, but even so the engines send out a brief recognition signal at intervals, much as your cell phone does even if it’s off (which is how police can follow you around through your service provider). Although both Boeing and Rolls-Royce said the last data they received from the engines was some 20 minutes before the plane disappeared from radar, there is still a lot of talk that these recognition signals persisted for several hours after the plane disappeared, indicating the engines were still running.

          • marknesop says:

            Because of the mystery, likely; there are a lot of suggestions the plane was deliberately diverted and that the pilot or someone else with malicious intent merely shut off the IFF transponder so they would disappear from radar. They could be anywhere now, the plane could actually have landed somewhere. Unlikely, but possible.

          • Jen says:

            There is the issue also that two passengers on board are known to be travelling on stolen passports. Apparently they are “Iranian-looking”.

            I should think that by now, whenever we hear stories of passports being stolen, our minds automatically think of just the one intelligence agency that specialises in nicking passports for the purpose of identity theft. Although last time I looked, it was nicking New Zealand passports, not Italian passports.

            There might be a possibility that someone with a pilot’s background deliberately reset the co-ordinates after the flight crew set the route the plane was supposed to follow. Once the plane was in the air high above the clouds and the crew put the plane on autopilot, the plane then diverted from the route to Beijing. The Malaysian authorities are now investigating the likelihood that the plane was hijacked and that it could have been diverted to follow a route to the Middle East or Kazakhstan.
            http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/03/14/malaysia-airlines-search-heads-toward-indian-ocean/

            The majority of passengers on board the plane are Chinese or Malay. China is under pressure to use its abstention vote at the UN Security Council meeting on the legality of Russia’s actions in Crimea and near the eastern Ukrainian border. In 2011, a tribunal in Kuala Lumpur used Nuremberg principles and found George W Bush and Tony Blair guilty of war crimes in invading Iraq. As far as I know, the tribunal was planning to go after Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and others in the George W Bush administration of 2001 – 2005 as well (but I do not know how far that has gone). Is there a possibility that the Malaysian Airlines jet was hijacked to put pressure on Malaysia to stop the Kuala Lumpur War Crimes Tribunal from going ahead with its case, even though its decisions are not binding on the US, and at the same time to pressure China into backing away from supporting Russia?
            http://www.salon.com/2011/11/23/bush_and_blair_found_guilty_of_war_crimes_for_iraq_attack/

            • yalensis says:

              That was what I was partially hinting at. I mean, the possibility that evil-doers brought down the plane as a way of punishing (or warning) China (or, possibly, as you mention, Malaysia?) Like maybe CIA warn China not to veto their Crimea resolution, or you’ll get more like this? Or something very sinister of that nature…

              People misunderstood my above comment, it wasn’t that the missing airline story is not interesting or tragic in and of itself, just why is American MSM is obsessing about it 24/7 as if they were personally injured to the core and nothing else is happening in the world? In the sense of Shakespeare’s “What’s Hecuba to him, or he to Hecuba?”

              • marknesop says:

                It’s certainly possible, but I would be very careful of antagonizing China. Especially after American diplomats just spent a week or so stroking them and trying to influence their vote, and especially considering the mountain of American debt they are holding. I doubt the disappearance of a hundred or so of their citizens would be a powerful persuader.

  23. Moscow Exile says:

    The Russians are coming! The Russians are coming!

    Ukraine Foreign Office statement:

    Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine expresses its strong and categorical protest against the landing on March 15, 2014 near the village Strilkove, Kherson region of troops of the Russian Federation Armed Forces in a number of 80 military personnel, and seizure of the village Strilkove with the support of 4 helicopter gunships and 3 armored combat machines.

    Ukraine Foreign Ministry declares the military invasion by Russia and demands the Russian side immediately withdraw its military forces from the territory of Ukraine.

    Ukraine reserves the right to use all necessary measures to stop the military invasion by Russia.

    The Americans are with us!

    The Americans are with us?……

    • kirill says:

      I hope this really did go down. Russia needs to “invade” eastern Ukraine and establish facts on the ground. Unlike the West Bank or Gaza, the locals will not be fighting the “occupants”. Seriously, if the west is going to fling all the poo it can over Crimea, might as well make it worthwhile and grab all the serious assets that Ukraine holds. NATO can go and eat the Iodine deficient soil from western Ukraine.

      • yalensis says:

        I double-checked the map. Strilkove/Kherson looks to be part of Crimea, not Eastern Ukraine. Although it’s somewhat off the coast.

        • yalensis says:

          Oh wait! here is more on that Strilkove story.
          From the context, it seems like Strilkove is considered part of Ukrainian mainland (even though map shows it is just offshore of Crimea).
          Anyhow, according to the NPR story, Russians say Ukes tried to sabotage a gas pipeline that delivers gas from Ukrainian mainland into Crimea.
          This attempted sabotage forced Russian/Crimean troops to enter into Strilkove from the South and secure the gas distribution station.

          This fits in with what we have commenting about, above, namely, Crimea’s vulnerability to having energy and water supplies cut off by Kiev junta.
          Russia showing determination to secure Crimean infrastructure.

          • yalensis says:

            Quote from Crimean Prime Minister Aksonov:

            “Crimea is preparing for the possibility that Ukraine could cut its gas, water, and electricity, the prime minister said. He added that the peninsula has 900 diesel generators and enough water for more than a month.”

            Hence, that buys Russia one month to build a bridge or set up convoys, or do whatever they need to do…

            • kirill says:

              Yes, the Kiev regime will try to blockade Crimea as much as it can. I am glad that Russian forces are proactive against this.

          • marknesop says:

            What a laugh. McCain does not even know where the Baltics are. Why is more not being made of Kiev’s attempt to coerce the Crimea to remain within Ukraine by threatening to cut off its power and water and gas, and apparently taking concrete steps to do it? Would the USA approve of Crimea cutting off electricity, gas and water to the rest of Ukraine in an attempt to get free of it, were they capable of doing so? Apparently anything their pet puppet government does meets with their approval.

            The movement of Russian troops outside Sevastopol requires permission from the Ukrainian government. Is there a Ukrainian government? Yes, an unelected one which seized power in a violent coup. I can just imagine the United States seeking permission from such a government in Bahrain, were the rebels to prevail over the monarchy, to move naval forces at its Bahrain facility.

  24. Fern says:

    This article by Daniel McAdams – who’s done sterling work as a guest on RT’s news and other programmes, particularly ‘Cross Talk’ – is the first I’ve seen exploring the idea that sanctions threatened against private individuals who, this time, happen to be of Russian, are actually a threat to everyone;-
    “The stage is being set to silence dissent. It sounds alarmist to read this, agreed.
    Probably the president will not use his Executive Order to seize the assets of Americans who disagree with his Ukraine policy. But he says he can.
    Careful what you say.”
    https://www.lewrockwell.com/2014/03/daniel-mcadams/will-obama-seize-your-assets/

  25. Moscow Exile says:

    The British ambassador to the UN Lyall Grant has addressed the security council:

    Resounding message from today’s vote is that Russia stands isolated in this Council & in the international community

    • Moscow Exile says:

      Lyall Grant continues with his twitter pontification:

      Russia alone is prepared to violate int’l law, disregard the UN Charter & tear up its bilateral treaties…

      Position of int’l community is clear. If referendum is held tomorrow it will have no validity, no credibility & no recognition …

      We heard clear message from Ukraine PM that Ukraine is willing to engage in dialogue with Russia to address stated concerns…

      If Russia seeks to take advantage of this illegal referendum, will lead to further escalation of tension & further consequences for Russia…

      We ask Russia to take the decision to work with Ukraine & with rest of the world to find a peaceful solution …

      • kirill says:

        Drivel. What about Crimea’s autonomy? It pre-existed the breakup of the USSR. Kiev cannot willy nilly take it away. What does international “law” have to say about that. Let’s see the self-proclaimed “international community” enforce the so-called “international law”.

      • marknesop says:

        “Work with Ukraine” means, “give up and go away”, because there is absolutely nothing to gain for Russia in “working with Ukraine” except to give them the free gift of recognizing their government, and then to be asked how much they will give in a donor’s conference to help build a strong European ally which will be an implacable enemy of Russia. I doubt Russia cares anything about international recognition of the Crimea as being Russian, but it will be a fact nonetheless, although Russia will have to be prepared to defend it militarily. South Ossetia and Abkhazia will never be recognized internationally either, because that’s just the way the west works, but they are facts nonetheless, and unless Ukraine foreswears any further claim to the Crimea it can never join NATO because it will constitute an unresolved boundary dispute.

        If the west gets all of Ukraine it will likely lead to war eventually as they seek to bring Ukraine into NATO and expand NATO ever closer to Russia, so it might as well be war now as war later.

    • Al says:

      Just heard him on BBC news. He does sound remarkably pompous banging away about the inviobility of sovereignty etc. with such conviction. Does he know about mass, instant communications that tell an entirely different story coming from the likes of people like him not so very long ago? It’s bloody pantomime, but it’s neither funny nor has any good singing in it. I think I’m just a bit depressed since Sacha Baron Cohen dropped out of playing Freddy Mercury in the proposed biopic last year. I’ve heard the new muppet movie is good though.

      • Al says:

        An ‘expert’ on the Beeb claims China’s abstention is a victory for the West and bad news for Russia, but then it is explained that the Resolution didn’t even mention Russia and was so watered down so that China wouldn’t use its veto either. Schizo!

        Xi Jinping is in Europe next week. I guess there will be behind the scenes pressure from China on Europe not to do anything stupid. Let’s see from the leaks.

  26. Dear Yalensis,

    “I do think that Finns as a whole are morally superior to Russians in many ways.
    (I’m not being sarcastic, I actually believe that.)
    The other factor is that Finns don’t have the United States as an enemy, whereas Russia does. I think that factor counts for a lot!”

    Finns are a more monolithic as a nation than Russia. We basically have only one ethnicity, language and religion. And we also have a “one big common enemy” which is Russia. I certainly don’t view Russia as “Finland’s main and only enemy” (and not an enemy at all) but a big portion of the population does. This is a big unifying factor in Finland, being a small nation near a giant neighbor with a lot of bad things happened in the history.

    Finland has opposition parties but they are all pro-Finland as are our government parties. The fifth column just does not exist here. Our opposition has the best interest of the country in their hearts. The only exceptions are a few Europhiles who are more pro-EU than pro-Finland, but they are not pure traitors and self-haters or foreign stooges like Navalny.

    Russia is different. There is a substantial fifth column inside Russia which receives generous funding from abroad. And from my understanding they are not only after money, but they really do genuinely hate their own country. This is what is interesting. What brought up this hatred? Is it the Soviet past? Does the opposition consist of different ethnicities who feel “oppressed”? I understand that there are a lot of Jews in the Russian opposition (I am not an anti-Semites but I have learned that a lot of Jews hate Putin and current Russia. Maybe it is because most of the original oligarchs were Jewish and Putin made a lof of them flee Russia and lose their fortune).

    Another thing I have noticed is the lack of patriotism among the Russian ruling elites. These people own expensive houses abroad. They keep their money abroad. They raise their children abroad. Some of Russia’s top politicians and richest oligarchs do this. These people are supposed to be the ruling elite of Russia. This makes Russia vulnerable to foreign pressure, because so many Russian owned assets and Russian money is in fact controlled by Russian enemies.

    Gennadi Timchenko is one example. He is a friend of Putin but has a Finnish citizenship, lives in Switzerland and keeps his money in Switzerland. How much has he invested his money in Russia? Or does he just profit from oil sales and takes the money out of Russia? What good are these kind of people for Russia? Putin’s inner circle has more people like this. A part of me hopes that the West really freezes the assets of rich Russians in the West, because it would show these people that their money is never safe in Western banks. But I doubt the West goes very far with this, because they do also realize that it would only alienate rich Russians from the West and the money flow from Russia to West would stop. I think the West is trying to come up with sanctions that hurt the general Russian population and middle class, not the rich Russians, because it would be far more threatening for Putin.

    • rkka says:

      “Russia is different. There is a substantial fifth column inside Russia which receives generous funding from abroad. And from my understanding they are not only after money, but they really do genuinely hate their own country. This is what is interesting. What brought up this hatred? ”

      It seems to go with the territory. Recall that the opposition to Tsarism was just as fanatical, sterile, politically clueless, and Russia-hating as any of the 5th Column today. And more terroristic in fact.

      • kirill says:

        It was being cultivated by the same western countries as today, namely the British and the Americans. There is a lot of evidence that the 1917 revolution was a US project. Trotsky’s North America junket to raise cash was successful. The Germans sent in the useful idiot Lenin to get the ball rolling. Supposedly the Germans and Americans were on enemies at the time. But in reality they are all allies against Russia and all the time. Nobody supports a fanatical opposition in the west so it never gets any weight. In fact, both the governing and the opposition parties depend on corporate money and are beholden to big capital (just like during the 1800s and earlier). So the bottom line is: no money, no funny. Without sponsors the 5th column would barely exist.

  27. Moscow Exile says:

    Well who’d’ve thought!

    The LA Times agrees that there are unsavoury elements in the Ukraine: Ukraine’s threat from within

  28. Another thing that came in my mind.
    If this crisis escalates what kind of a security risk it would be for Russia? Are the Right sector people able to launch terrorist strikes in Russia?
    Russia also has a sizable Ukrainian minority. I would guess that many of them are working in high security sectors like for example nuclear sector. If the current events escalate is it possible that some of them will become radicalized and try to carry out some kind of a sabotage?

    • yalensis says:

      I suppose it could happen that neo-Nazis within Russia could launch terrorist bombings or sabotage, in solidarity with Right Sector. It is definitely a risk. However, I would not imagine that such attacks would be suicide bombings, which are the worst kind, because the most difficult to prevent. Neo-Nazis are violent towards others but don’t commit suicide. (that I know of…)

  29. Moscow Exile says:

    This great Ukrainian victory at Strilkove: I double-dog dare anyone to find mention of it on the web apart from what’s reported by the Ukrainian News Agency.

    • Moscow Exile says:

      And that Ukrainian territory from which the Ukrainians have sent the Russkies a-fleeing is a spit of land alongside the Crimea coast proper.

      Reports are coming in now that the Russians are still on the spit.

      The Guardian jumps in first time with bulletins from Kiev and puts them on the front page. The “victory” at Strilkove story was one such hastily posted bulletin. And every hour it seems there is a new Grauniad article reporting the so-called Ukrainian president warning all of an imminent Russian invasion.

      • Al says:

        According to this story

        Ukraine: Russian assault pressed back in the region where US forces are allegedly stationed

        http://inserbia.info/news/2014/03/ukraine-russian-assault-pressed-back-in-the-region-where-us-forces-are-allegedly-stationed/

        “..On Friday, the US 66th Military Intelligence Brigade is reportedly appeared in the Kherson region, in the area of the Crimean roadblock Chongar…”

        Coincidence?

        • Moscow Exile says:

          Российскому десанту не удалось закрепиться на Арабатской стрелке

          Russian Paratroops fail to Establish Themselves on Arabatskaya Spit

          On Saturday, March 15, villagers on the narrow Arabatskaya spit witnessed the landing of unidentified armed men without any insignia. It is reported that more than fifty paratroopers arrived by helicopter.

          The locals have suggested that the armed men were Russian military. They first stopped and checked cars before checking the spit and then went to a gas distribution station situated at the back of all the boarding houses and recreation centres. The military then took up positions there and checked all passing cars . According to the villagers, helicopters with red stars on them circled over the place of their landing.

          The chief of the Genichesky police came to see the paratroopers as well as the prosecutor and the chairman of the Strelkovskaya village council. After talking with the military, they went to the checkpoint on the Ukrainian border .

          The Ukraine Defence Ministry has reported on the immediate implementation of resistance: “Russian troops returned to their original location”. An attempt at penetration by RF Armed Forces in the Kherson region along the Arabatskaya spit has been foiled by the Ukraine Army Air Forces and an airmobile battalion.

          Or as the Ukraine MoD would like to say: Russian invaders routed!

          • Moscow Exile says:

            So the USA has invaded the Ukraine!

            I mean, if they weren’t invited there – and there are no reports that they were – then they must have come without permission.

          • marknesop says:

            I’m sure I don’t have to point out how simple it would be to stage a “Russian invasion” by men who wear no insignia on their uniforms in a country where almost everyone can speak Russian. All they really have to go on here is some helicopters with red stars on them. I also don’t need to remind anyone how desperate the Ukrainian fake government is for western military help, or how many times it has resorted to spin before.

          • kirill says:

            This story is absurd. There is basically no army of Ukraine. So we are supposed to believe that Russian forces were driven back without any bodies left on both sides? Since when do military engagements have no casualties? So whatever this was, it was not what it was being painted as.

            I suspect that Russian special forces visited the location of the US intelligence battalion and withdrew. They weren’t going to attack the Americans were they? And I have not seen any plans to grab a buffer space around Crimea just yet.

            • Moscow Exile says:

              Have none of you folks got Google Earth? You should take a look at the lie of the land round there.

              I tell you.It’s as flat as a pancake and you don’t know where the land ends and the sea begins. There are creeks and inlets and big inland salt water lagoons called limany everywhere. And beach houses and little boarding houses. It’s ramshackle but homely.

              You can’t drink the water at all from the lagoons: it’s too saline. No fish, nowading birds, geese, ducks – no nothing in or on them. And there’s a a slimy white mud in the lagoons that they say is good for mud baths and it cures all sorts of things. And bloody snakes – water snakes!

              I feel like going there this summer again after seeing all these pictures of the place.

              Oh yeah! And down the coast, heading for Kerch, you come to that place of iniquity and debauchery known as KaZantip. (It’s cool to use a big “z” in “Kazantip”: it means you’re one of the debauchees.)

            • marknesop says:

              I suspect there were never any Russians there at all, and that it was a provocation arranged by Ukraine to try and convince western governments that “the invasion” was starting and that they should send troops. Of course, the U.S. and UK play straight into their hands with all their bellicose statements about defending Ukraine “with whatever means are necessary”. This whole regime-change operation has been spin from the beginning, and now whenever anything happens in Ukraine, I expect spin.

              • kirill says:

                http://vz.ru/news/2014/3/15/677250.html

                So there was an incursion and it was to secure a natural gas pumping station that services all of Crimea. There was an attempt to cut off the gas flow. So the real story is that a sabotage attempt was prevented by “evil” Russians. The Kiev regime is spewing “information” like Baghdad Bob.

              • Fern says:

                I expect (and really, really hope) that the US Joint Chief of Staff, General Dempsey, has a direct line to his Russian counterpart and these guys have an understanding not to bulls**t each other over their side’s respective military manoeuvres. So when possible false-flag operations happen, Dempsey can get Russian assurances that it ain’t them or an explanation that forces, possibly self-defence units, possibly not, are securing essential utilities against sabotage and once this is done, they will withdraw.

        • yalensis says:

          “According to the report, at the beginning of March, the American brigade was relocated to the Ukrainian Kirovohrad, from where drones commit reconnaissance raids in the direction of Crimea and Russian border areas.”

          In other words, within seconds of the fascist junta seizing power in Kiev, American troops moved into Ukraine. Ukraine doesn’t have its own army any more, they have America and NATO.

          • kirill says:

            NATO had big plans to stir up ethnic strife in Crimea to create various pretexts to paint Russia black and deny them the chance at annexation. But Stalin Putler was too quick for them. Now all they can do is try to fly drones. If shooting starts, then I hope that a nice salvo of surface to surface missiles will be launched at the American positions.

            • marknesop says:

              I think the far more interesting item is the capture of the first drone. If indeed these drones can be captured by being forced into a lost link reaction, it is a tremendous vulnerability, because they are not particularly fast and carry little or no equipment which would warn them of impending attack against themselves, and generally fly a straight and relatively predictable course relying on their height and small size to evade detection. The USA has gone into drones in a big way and has largely handed over its entire real-time air surveillance capability to them. It would be no surprise to see other nations who do not wish to be spied upon at will developing an anti-drone capability, such as better radars and electronics capable of interfering with their signals.

            • Jen says:

              There have been reports that junior and senior high school students in Iran are being taught by the Revolutionary Guards to hack and bring down drones.
              http://www.smh.com.au/world/iran-to-teach-dronehunting-to-school-students-20130819-2s7pz.html

              Drone Wars UK has a database recording crashes of drones around the world since 2007.

              A Century of Drone Crashes

          • marknesop says:

            And if Russia backed off and just let them take Ukraine, NATO would invent a pretext to ask for basing rights whether Ukraine was ever accepted as a NATO member or EU member, or not.

  30. According to this source Ukraine has started to blockade Russia’s access to Transdnistria: https://www.facebook.com/MIDRussia/posts/467396186693161?stream_ref=10

  31. Moscow Exile says:

    And another former German Chancellor, this time Helmut Kohl, criticizes the US-NATO Diktat to Go to War with Russia.

    Helmut Kohl quoted in Bild Zeitung: March 12, 2014

    “There has been from the West in recent years, major omissions here . The mood in Ukraine was no longer wise. Similarly, there is lack of sensitivity in dealing with our Russian neighbors, especially with President Putin.

    “We could be much further today. Things cannot be solved overnight. We need time and above all prudence. This applies to all pages and all questions. We must not forget that war is a means of politics . We want peaceful and trusting coexistence in Europe. The peaceful coexistence between different peoples and religions has to be possible even within a country.
    The crisis surrounding the Ukraine makes – unfortunately – even more clear that we are not allowed to feel safe here in Europe. War is not necessarily a question of the past.

    War is not necessarily a question of the past. So we have Europe deepen and expand and thereby heed : Europe and foremost remains a work of peace – with all that that entails . Beside the peace , the freedom , democracy , self-determination of people, prosperity and the rule of law.”

    So that’s Schröder and Kohl against and Merkel for.

  32. yalensis says:

    Here is Eduard Limonov on Saturday’s “March for Peace” in Moscow. Limonov correctly calls this a “march of prostitutes” and unleashes his bile on this pack of traitors and liberasts who “give themselves like masochistic prostitutes” to the Banderite junta in Kiev.

    To put in context, one has to recall that Limonov himself is an Oppositionist who bears no love for Putin. But he is also a Russian patriot and has pretty much had it with the Navalny/Nemtsov type of open traitors and Fifth Columnists.

    Coverage of this fifth-columnist march (which was applauded by Banderite junta in Kiev, and praised in Western media like NPR) indicates that it numbered no more than 3000 people. Although the marchers themselves (and Western media) insist that it was 50K.

    Even GAZETA, which is traditionally pro-Opp/pro-Navalny, indicated that the numbers were pretty much the same as all the recent Opp marches, for example, the one to “protect Russian orphans”, etc.
    And all the usual suspects, even Pussy Riot, were there to cheer on the Banderite junta and demand “hands off Ukraine”, yada yada… These were exactly the same people who supported the “Arab Spring”, the Al Qaeda victory in Libya, and American attempts to overthrow Assad in Syria.

  33. Al says:

    BBC World News is now running a loaded Panorama documentary on Ukraine & Crimea right now. They dealt early on with the snipers from Hotel Ukraina and aired an unverified recording of what they claim is Berkut telling snipers to take position on the top floor of the hotel and simply haven’t questioned its veracity. It doesn’t really get any better with the BBC guy going to Crimea and the base commander confronting the masked troops (clearly because he has made the calculation that he will not be shot dead live on tv).

    It’s not that I think that all journalists are f甑àng stupid, ignorant bastards, editors have a serious responsibility here and are known to butcher good reporting, but what happened to presenting a properly balanced analysis of the situation without leading the viewer or listener with smoke and mirrors, and letting them make their own up mind, FFS? Those fuezing twats who want to ‘tell the story’ in an emotional and attached way serve nothing but their own egos inthat they think they are doing something. Leaving a mark on the world. Making a difference. How fuceing deluded is that when any normal person knows that foreign policy is simply straightforward amoral interest led state policy and totally controlled by the political class who are never effected by any reporting unless it can be selectively taken advantage of and coinciding with the state policy. Big media and journalism mostly deserves to die, but they don’t give a sh*t. It’s a career, innit? /rant

    Fortunately, I know the other 99% of rest of us are normal.

    BTW, BBC just tied itself up in contradictory liberal knots:

    Daily Fail: ‘Britain’s first and only Muslim drag queen’ banned from discussing homosexuality in BBC ‘Free Speech’ debate in mosque

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2580999/Britains-Muslim-drag-queen-banned-discussing-homosexuality-BBC-Free-Speech-debate-mosque.html

    Forgive me for posting anything from the Fail, but it is hilarious!

    • kirill says:

      So, some recording is produced to reconcile the contradiction, eh? Hotel Ukraina was occupied by Right Sector during the sniper attack. Even one of the BBC reporters on the team that shot the video saw what one of the shooters from the window was wearing. And it wasn’t a Berkut uniform but the standard Right Sector improvised military-wannabe garb.

      Anyway, funny how the west never considers motive when dealing with alleged crimes of governments who are disloyal. WTF would Yanukovich order a pretext against himself after months of bending over backward to please the west? A proper crackdown would have been to send in the army to clear the militants out and not to create martyrs out of them. The western media spew insults the intelligence so much that it hurts.

      • Al says:

        “…Even one of the BBC reporters on the team that shot the video saw what one of the shooters from the window was wearing. And it wasn’t a Berkut uniform but the standard Right Sector improvised military-wannabe garb. ”

        Maybe he’ll be found dead from Bollockium* poisoning personally applied by Putin!

        *Bollockium has yet to be added to the Periodic table. Discovered by Sir David Bollockius or St. Sloppy’s College, Oxford, it is uniquely found in concentrations around government and media sources. When brought in to contact with other sources of Bollockium (more government ministers or journalists for example; but other sources are possible) , it propagates exponentially until either it eats itself, or, someone flicks open a zippo to light their self produced methane and accidentally ignites the Bollockium, causing it to disappear after a brief and bright flash that leaves a slight tingling in the left elbow.

    • cartman says:

      Makes sense. Hillary – a self-proclaimed gay rights champion installed a regime in Honduras that murdered several of its LGBT activists.

      http://www.huffingtonpost.com/kevin-a-lees/honduran-lgbt-activists-f_b_4661499.html

      American gays will still lick it all up and support the Wicked Witch.

  34. Drutten says:

    Can somebody explain to me what exactly is going on here?

    • Drutten says:

      I screwed up the linking.

    • kirill says:

      The caption says that the villagers stopped a Ukrainian military column and forced to go back. They do not want war and bloodshed.

      Frankly, Ukraine does not have enough military to actually do anything to Russian forces. All these troop movements are either pointless posturing or actually aimed at suppressing local dissent.

    • yalensis says:

      Yeah, what Kirill said.

      Looks to be ethnic-Russian villagers (waving Russian flags) stopping a Ukrainian military column headed for Crimea.

      I like one of the comments to the video, the one who said:
      “Yeah, these people make more peace than those Russian musicians who made a clip against war…”

      Well said.

      • yalensis says:

        P.S. on closer glance, the “peaceful villagers” are backed up by some military types with automatic weapons.

        Probably local pro-Russia militias.

        • yalensis says:

          P.P.S.
          which proves the point I was trying to make to Karl, that the local ethnic Russians in East Ukraine ARE organizing their own self-defense.
          However, sadly, they don’t often have the ability to stop an armoured column without extra assistance. In this case, maybe the column wasn’t too keen on fighting in Crimea and was willing to listen to reason. However, it could have gone the other way, and the column just rolled on over the “peaceful villagers”. But maybe didn’t, because of the armed guys, and because the armoured column knew that the armed guys were just the tip of the iceberg, and another much bigger army waiting in the wings… (?)

          It’s a fairly simple point, but wasn’t this something that Samantha Powers discovered in her youth? That whole R2P thing? Wasn’t that, like, her Doctor’s Dissertation, or something? (She re-discovered things that were known to infants in the time of Frederick the Great.)
          About how local oppression and genocide can only be stopped by a world-class military stepping in to protect the victims? Something like that?

          Sauce for the goose…

  35. Southerncross says:

    Between the Transnistria blockade and the upcoming pogroms in the east, the endgame is no longer in doubt. Ukraine is now a terrorist state, and Russian security demands that it be disarmed. War is inevitable, and quite possibly before the end of the month.

    One might have expected the Ultras to wait until their National Guard became battle-ready, but instead it seems that they mean to force the issue sooner. Their arrogance is truly breathtaking – Mr Lavrov might have meant the Crimea action to be a “cold shower” for the Ultras, but their ardour appears entirely undamped. They want war and they will have one.

    Their cargo cult version of National Socialist ideology prevents them acting any other way. How can they hold back when they believe that they have a monopoly on human courage and resilience? How can they see any danger in the anti-Maidan protests when they’ve spent their whole lives thinking that only they are free men, and that Russians are merely passive slaves? How can they take the Russian military seriously when they’ve been bred to believe that the enemy is a colossus with feet of clay, and doomed to fall after one sharp blow?

    They didn’t fight merely to depose a President. They didn’t rip up the streets of Kiev so that Timoshenko could achieve her life’s ambition, or so that Poroshenko could play Willy Wonka to Ukrainian oompa-loompas. They didn’t beat, burn and shoot all those policemen just to let Crimea or half of Ukraine walk away. They fought for their National Revolution, and they haven’t been this close to ultimate victory since Petliura’s day. How could they possibly accept a compromise? How could they go back to their old lives now that they’ve tasted power? The only thing worse than failure is regret. Do Tyahnibok and Yarosh want to spend their twilight years brooding on what might have been?

    I doubt it. The coming pogroms will force Putin to act. The Ultras will find that guts and Goebbels quotations are no substitute for guts and heavy weapons, and Ukraine will be defeated. Washington will fume and splutter, but will do nothing more. Russia will have to occupy all of Ukraine to defeat the inevitable Ultra insurgency. What then? Ukraine has only two possible rationales for existing – either as a bridge between east and west, or as an anti-Russian garrison state. The former option is dead in the water – Yushchenko’s official promotion of Banderite ideology, and the growth of ultranationalist political and military power have seen to that.

    Any Ukrainian rump state will be even more susceptible to Ultra subversion and violence than the 1991 republic. It will be like Chechnya in the 90s – an open wound, bleeding crime and terror onto Russian territory and beyond. There is only one solution: the three branches of historic Rus’ must be reunited. Putin won’t want to, it will go against every political instinct he possesses, but he will have no other choice. Bat’ka will get his wish.

    • kirill says:

      Good analysis. The only solution to the Banderite disease is ethnic cleansing. They can all move to NATO and live the life of freedom there. But this is not something Russia will pursue. It is not even clear that it will intervene in eastern Ukraine. The locals are not really showing with their feet that they want Russian help. And from what I have heard, most actually think Russia should not meddle. I guess they are deluded and think the previous conditions will prevail. But those conditions were a combination of Russian subsidies and internal Ukrainian accommodation to Russia’s interests. Now all bets are off.

      • Fern says:

        Kirill, back in the 1970’s, there was a terrible air crash in Tenerife – bear with this preamble, it is leading to a relevant point – which was one of, if not the world’s worst air disasters, certainly at that time and probably since. Two Boeing 747s, one belonging to KLM and the other to Pan-Am crashed on take-off in what was a perfect storm of adverse conditions. Bad runway layout much criticised by flight crews, fog so dense the planes couldn’t see each other or the control tower and vice-versa, poor radio communication and garbled and misunderstood instructions that left the pilots of both planes with the understanding they had been cleared for take-off. So both planes thundered down their respective runways directly into each other’s path. The Pan-Am pilot saw the KLM jet at the last possible moment and made a desperate attempt to get out of its way. The KLM plane exploded killing everyone on board and its wing hit the Pan-Am plane, sheered off the roof and killed many of those on the upper deck. Most of those on the lower deck, however, survived the initial impact. They had a couple of minutes to get out of the plane before it caught fire – not much time but enough to escape through various tears in the fuselage. Sadly, not many did get out and psychologists have studied the actions and behaviours of the survivors to try and understand what differentiates those who survive this sort of catastrophe from those who don’t. What they found was that the ‘tail-end of the bell curve’ people either went into a state of heightened awareness where they were able to process what had happened and make the right decisions to give themselves the best chance of survival or recognised that something dreadful had happened but became paralysed either by panic or, more likely, by an inability to process often highly contradictory information about what to do for the best. The response of most people, however, was a passive waiting for “the restoration of normalcy”. Survivors of the Pan-Am flight recall running past rows of people who were just sitting calmly in their seats – they weren’t screaming or yelling, or trying to unfasten seat-belts etc, they just sat there making no attempt to escape.

        I suspect that the overwhelming majority of people in Ukraine who are either hostile or luke-warm to the new governing authorities in Kiev are waiting for the “restoration of normalcy”. Which probably ain’t gonna happen since why would those behind the putsch bother if its results could be overturned the next time the nation gets to vote? Crimea (or possibly Russia on its behalf) has recognised that something has fundamentally changed in Ukraine and a reset is unlikely and have taken action to protect their own interests. Those in the rest of the country, however, are in a real bind.

        • kirill says:

          This is a very good point. Humans predict the future based on their past experience. In some ways this is a useful evolutionary trait, but it is mostly done automatically and not really making realistic projections based on complex modeling. There is also the “entry barrier” or “startup costs” with doing something to break out of the business as usual mode. Starting a revolution in eastern Ukraine means hardship and bloodshed. People want to avoid this.

          If you stand back and look at Yanukovich’s government, aside from the corruption which is rampant amongst all sectors of Ukrainian society, it was a very soft and naive “regime”. People in eastern Ukraine are also much too nice and do not want to create trouble for themselves and for others.

          I feel sorry for Ukrainians from east to west. They are being victimized by meddling lasting centuries. It was previous occupations by Catholic kingdoms (Poland, Lithuania, Austro-Hungarian Empire) that created the Uniate minority. They are like Croats and Serbs, split by religion and associated culture. This cultural fission creates an insecurity syndrome where the minority feels that it will lose its identity in a larger sea. This insecurity leads to conflict and in the case of western Ukrainians to collaboration with the genocidal Nazis.

          I think that Ukraine has failed as a stable project. It needs to be split like Croatia and Serbia. If these two distinct Ukrainian communities and their historical baggage are forced to live under the same roof, it will only lead to more conflict. Russia is a litmus test for the mentality of these two communities. The western one loathes Russia (mostly due to indoctrination starting in their churches) and the other feels a high level of affinity for Russia. The western minority will always feel insecure and actually resents the “russified” southern and eastern Ukrainians. I doubt that the majority of Ukraine will submit to cultural assimilation by western Ukraine. Even if they are now deluded about what is going on and how bad it really is.

        • yalensis says:

          Dear Fern:
          That is an excellent psychological analysis.
          I had read a similar study somewhere about a different disaster (a capsizing ferry).
          Once again, most of the people just sat very quiet and calm (paralyzed), waiting for somebody to tell them what to do, and for the safety/rescue system to work. They even congratulated themselves on their lack of panic. These were the people who died. (Sometimes this is the right response, if there is a system in place, but in this particular case there was not actually a system in place to save them, they didn’t even have enough life jackets for everyone, so this response did not work.)

          The ones who survived the ferry capsizing were the ones who “panicked” in a sense. They went into hyper-activity immediately, rushed about, grabbing things, trying to get to the other side of the boat, etc. I forget the details, but many of the “hyperactive”, “panicky” people were the ones who survived. This seems counter-intuitive. i guess the moral of the story is that they were psychologically able to recognize, in a heartbeat, THAT SOMETHING HAD CHANGED, and that that something, anything must be done IMMEDIATELY.

          Within this context, I believe that Putin (and/or the people around him), even while they were sitting at the Olympics watching ice dancing, they realized that something had really changed, the Banderite/fascist junta was really going to seize power in Kiev, it was really happening, no denials. Just need to act NOW! and DO something. And what they did was Crimea. Which is why they will go down in history as leaders who really know how to act quickly in a crisis.

          • Jen says:

            Worth remembering also that the office workers who survived the World Trade Center attacks in 2001 were those who insisted on leaving the buildings though they had been told by their managers that they should return to work. Those people who did return to work paid for their compliance with their lives. The fact that planes had crashed into the buildings and by that alone constituted a potential hazard to workers, let alone the presence of fires being fuelled by spilling jet fuel or any damage caused to any building structures, should have been warning enough. The crashes themselves create potential crime scenes.

            Since the WTC attacks, it’s now standard in office building fire drills to impress upon fire wardens that their commands must over-ride those of the managers and directors of companies working in the buildings, even if the fire wardens are their employees.

            There might also be a bystander effect: people usually check out other people’s behaviour during an emergency as a guide to how they should react. I’ve been guilty of this myself just recently – I was in an arcade once on the second floor when the fire alarm went off and I looked down into the main part of the arcade and saw people just standing around but not actually doing anything. So I just stood about myself!

            I’ve been told too that the usual reaction of people in a room where a fire breaks out is to go over and look at the fire, rather than run for the fire extinguisher or fire hose … or just run.

            • yalensis says:

              It seems like human nature itself (maybe us being herd-type animals) is not always conducive to surviving extraordinary situations.
              This is why it is important to have lots of drills and safety training. And disaster planning of every contingency. The point of drilling and training is to break people out of habitual thinking and get them to form new habits that will kick in when needed.

              • yalensis says:

                P.S. I have worked in hospitals, and the basic protocol what to do in a fire is, in this order or priority:

                (1) Rescue patients and get them out of the fiery area,
                (2) Sound the fire alarm,
                (3) Everybody escape, and if possible try to contain the fire, e.g., by closing doors in your wake, and
                (4) If possible try to extinguish the fire, e.g., by using fire extinguishers. It not possible, then just run and wait for fire trucks.

  36. marknesop says:

    Latest – that I’ve seen – on the missing Malaysian flight is that they are now willing to acknowledge the plane flew on for hours after it disappeared from tracking devices (probably because its IFF transponder was deliberately switched off, and I meant to mention at the time of discussing it that there is a switch setting for “hijack” which the pilot would set in that event which would broadcast to the world that the aircraft had been hikacked). So now the police are searching the homes of the flight crew for clues that they may be involved.

  37. marknesop says:

    Just ahead of the Crimean referendum, it’s looking like even if everybody backed away right now, the economic damage would already be severe, and as discussed earlier, if it goes to the next stage of sanctions the relationship between Russia and the west will never be the same again. Russia has tried to do things the west’s way for the sake of peace for the last time. Western companies exiting Russia to protect their assets might as well search for new markets, because I don’t think they’ll be going back to Russia.

    • Ali Cat says:

      So what you are saying is that Russia might face economic collapse soon? I’ve been really worried about that. Seems for the link you posted that Russia is bleeding money and will continue to do so. And its going to be even worst if economic sanctions are imposed. Or maybe Im wrong and i have nothing to worry about it.

      About Crimea, I found a post about the industries that Crimea has:

      http://englishrussia.com/2014/03/11/what-will-russia-gain-from-incorporating-crimea/

      Doesnt look great but doesnt look so bad either, well in my opinion.

      I saw a post on the blog from Anatoly Karlin from Russia: Ohter points of view that after the referendum Russia will do nothing, at least until things are cooler, which I dont think will happend soon, violence is spreading on the suthern part of Ukraine, but maybe waiting is not a bad idea, since the IMF austerity meassures will be set soon, maybe people will realice that it aint that good after all. And about what you said about relationship between Russia and USA if the sanctions come in, I personally belive that it doesnt matter, I dont think russians will ever trust americans again, doesnt matter if this mess has a solution.

      Anyway, I really like this blog, I come here 3 or 4 times a day to get new info, you guys rock !!!! Thanks for keeping me updated and to provide some translations of the news that are not in english, unfortunately if I look for info in spanish, since I live just next the US, the only thing that I have found is Russia is bad and Putin is like Hitler or worse and poor Ukraine is being bullied, and there are no neo-nazis is Ukraine thats just russian propaganda. Im just tired of that shit. Anyway take care all 🙂

      • marknesop says:

        Hey, Ali Cat; thanks, and good to see you again. No, I don’t think Russia will face economic collapse any time soon, although it might undergo a period of struggle while it reorients its markets somewhat more toward Asia. Europe’s markets are not going to be lost to Russia whatever happens, because Europe simply cannot find the gas supply anywhere else and converting to coal again would be suicidal while converting to electricity would not work – the plants would have to be gas-fired. The more likely knock-on effect for Europe will be fury at the Americans for pressuring them into this situation, which will cause enormous damage to their own economy, while America suffers very little itself since it does little direct trade with Russia and buys almost none of its energy from Russia (although disruption in the energy market will also hurt America, indirectly, as the world price will rise regardless the point of origin).

        American companies are going to be hurt, though. They will have had enough warning to get most of their assets out before any Russian sanctions take hold, but the markets will be closed to them once things settle down, if indeed they do and the world is not actually prepared to go to war over Ukraine. It seems crazy, but you never know and quite a lot of political figures are proceeding from the premise that Russia’s armed forces are decrepit and rusting and rotten, and that one good puff will blow them over. There’s nothing like the prospect of an easy win and fantastic rewards to tempt idiots into war. But if there is no war – which I think is the most likely scenario – even when things settle down it is never going to be business as usual between Russia and the west, in our lifetimes.

  38. Moscow Exile says:

    The Grauniad is going full steam ahead now!

    Tin-Tin is in Kiev and his colleague walker is in Simferopol.

    Here’s what I presume Walker wrote about yesterday’s incident at Strilkove, which Ukraine MoD announcements described as a repulsion of the Russian invaders:

    Early reports suggested that Ukrainian forces evicted them, but the Russian contingent still appeared to be there on Saturday night. A spokesman for Ukraine’s border guard service, Oleg Slobodyan, said the Russian soldiers had taken up positions next to a gas production facility, backed by three armoured personnel carriers. Ukrainian troops had reportedly retreated to a nearby crossroads.

    Ukraine’s foreign ministry dubbed the incursion a “military invasion by Russia”. It demanded that Moscow withdraw its forces and said Ukraine “reserves the right to use all necessary measures” to stop the invasion. The area, Arbatskaya Strelka, is a long section of land running parallel to Crimea. Since independence it has been in Kherson province, but the land was originally part of Soviet Crimea and Vladimir Putin may be attempting to restore this Communist-era border.

    That’s Walker’s conjecture at the end: that he has absolutely no idea what the Russian president may be planning is of no importance it seems, but in his factual reporting (The facts are sacred!) Walker, like the rest, has to give his opinion.

    What Walker says is the reverse of what Kiev said: rather than the Russians retreating, they are still there and the Ukrainians had retreated.

    Walker writes of a “gas production facility”. (So they make the gas there?)

    Here’s the article on the event that I thought I had earlier linked above (it didn’t link for some reason):

    Российскому десанту не удалось закрепиться на Арабатской стрелке [Russian paratroops fail to establish themselves on Arabat spit].

    In the article there is a map that can be blown up. You can see that the spit is in reality part of the Crimea coastline, but the Kherson administrative region of the Ukraine extends down it. The spit is only half a mile wide along most of its length, salt-water lagoons to its landward side and the Sea of Azov to the east. The whole spit is administered by the Genichesky district of the Kherson region of the Republic of the Ukraine. At the village of Strilkove (transliteration from Ukrainian; “Strelkove” is the transliteration from Russian; “strelka” means “spit” in Russian, as in a spit of land) the spit narrows from a width of two and a half miles to half a mile and then continues to run south-eastwards along the Crimean east coast. At Strilkove there is, apparently, a газораспределительная станция. Walker says that this is a “gas production facility”. It is not: it is a gas-distribution station where, I should imagine, there are valves controlling the distribution and pressure of gas that proceeds from the station in various pipelines after having arrived at the station in a gas main running from the Ukrainian mainland.

    The main line followed in today’s breathless reports from the Grauniad’s dynamic duo in the war-zone is that all the incidents in the east and the Crimea are Russian provocations.

    See: Ukraine’s president fears Russia could invade after Crimea referendum

    For the past couple of days the Guardian has had lead stories emanating from Kiev, namely that “Ukraine’s President warns of Russian Invasion”, that the “Ukrainian President says Russian Invasion Imminent” and this morning “Ukraine’s president fears Russia could invade after Crimea referendum”.

    Gosh!

    • kirill says:

      Unelected, self-designated Ukainian “President”.

      Anyway, trying to produce good optics for the west is a waste of time. As with Sochi, the western media will filter any image and corrupt it. And the lemming western masses will lap it up since they think that the media only tells them the truth. Sort of like believing in a free lunch…

  39. Sam says:

    Boris Nemtsov’s speech yesterday at the so called “March for Peace”:

    «Я долго думал, какие есть аргументы у Путина для того, что так себя вести, хоть какие-нибудь. Самый простой ответ такой: он — больной человек, он очень психические больной человек. Институт Сербского, Кащенко, врачи, санитары, уколы с утра до вечера — вот что нужно.»

    ” I’ve been thinking for a long time, what are the reasons for Putin to behave this way. The simplest answer is that he is a sick man, he is a very mentally-ill man. The Serbsky Institute (a famous psychiatric hospital in Russia), Kashchenko (another psychiatric hospital), doctors, nurses, injections from morning till night – that’s what he needs. ”

    Wow, injections from morning till night! What a peaceful call from the Pacifist marchers! I wonder whether this constitutes a threat against the President and thus a felony, or whether it falls under “free speech”. Even Dozhd who was live-broadcasting Nemtsov’ speech cut him off.

    • marknesop says:

      Boris Nemtsov found his niche in life while he was still young and vigorous – lifetime opposition. Whatever the government proposes, Boris Nemtsov is against it; if the government agrees with something Boris Nemtsov proposes and promises to implement it, the process of implementation is corrupt and too slow, or something, so that he can object to that, too.

      I am waiting for the government to table a “Please do not give Boris Nemtsov a wedgie, mess up his hair and then throw him into the thornbushes” bill, to see if he will object to it and insist on that treatment.

  40. yalensis says:

    As usual GAZETA has the best coverage of Crimean Referendum.
    With Gazeta online coverage, you need to read from the bottom up, they place most recent updates at the top of the piece. Need to refresh constantly to get the latest news.

    All indications are that people are showing up in droves to vote. From the minute the polls opened, people were waiting in line. And within the first 2 hours, already 25% of all eligible voters had cast their votes. This despite bad weather, rain and snow.

    The only real drama is what is happening with Tatar voters. Pro-Ukrainian Tatar leaders (and Ukrainian junta) had initially called on Tatars to boycott the vote. But nobody is showing any signs of boycotting. In Tatar areas like Bakhchisarai, people are rushing to the polls in huge numbers.

    It is expected that majority of Tatars will vote AGAINST unification with Russia. Tatars are around 15% of the population of the Crimea. They figure they can get a better deal with Ukrainian junta. Given this, and that ethnic Ukrainians will probably mostly vote AGAINST, then I am going to make a prediction that the vote to join Russia will pass by something like 80%.

    • yalensis says:

      Two corrections:
      (1) opinion polls taken earlier show a number more like 70%. So, my estimate of 80% might be a tad high.
      (2) Tatars maybe not so unified against Russia as I assumed. This piece says that Crimean Tatars fears were assuaged by talks with Russian officials. In fact, Russia has bent over backwards to reassure Crimean Tatars and offer them more rights than they ever dreamed of in the last 70 years; and certainly more rights than they could expect from hitching their wagon to Ukrainian junta.

      Tatar activists saying that they met with Russian officials at the highest level, were given guarantees of political representation in the new Crimean government. [yalensis: doesn’t say in this piece, but I saw elsewhere that Tatar mejlis also offered handsome economic development package from Russia]. And pro-Russian Tatar leaders within Russia also frantically lobbying their cousins in Crimea.

      Given all this, it might be telling that the Tatar show in the referendum is extremely high.
      Pro-Kiev Tatar leaders told their people to stay home and boycott. Instead, Tatars are flocking to the polls. This either means that they are voting in large numbers FOR Russia; or maybe ANTI Russia; or maybe splitting their vote; either way, they are going out to vote, which is good.

      • Southerncross says:

        The Tatars have seen how the Ukrainian nationalists deal with ethnic minorities. And they could expect much worse given how the Ukrainian nationalists feel about Asiatics and other non-Aryans.

        • Moscow Exile says:

          Moscow-Tatarstan relationships have been up and down over the years and there is a small independence movement there that has little support. A running dispute with Moscow was over the desire to have the Tatar language written in Latin script. That was forbidden by federal law. There have been sweeteners – subsidies – and 7 years ago the biggest mosque in Russia was completed inside the Kazan kremlin: it stands next to the Russian Orthodox Cathedral there, which was constructed after Kazan fell to Ivan IV’s (the Terrible) armies in the 16th century.

          Recent debates between Moscow and Kazan have been strained as regards possible future mergers of ethnic republics with other federal entities and discussion of a bill to define Russian national identity. In 2006 a plan was reportedly prepared by the think-tank the Council for the Study of Productive Resources which proposed a series of mergers, including the merger of Tatarstan with Ulyanovsk Oblast to create a ‘Volga-Kama Province’. Tatars voiced opposition to any such initiative.

          In 2007, the State Duma endorsed a Kremlin-backed agreement that allows the Tatar authorities to have stronger control over economic, environmental, cultural and other issues. Tatarstan President Shaimiyev hailed the agreement as very ‘substantial’ and said it was a ‘first’ in Russian history.

          Generally speaking though, outside their autonomous republic, Tatars are well integrated in Russia: they’re the 2nd biggest ethnic group in Moscow after Slavs (Russians, Belorussians and Ukrainians) – after all, they’ve been here for over 500 years. Even the boss of the Federal Bank is Tatar and nobody – but nobody – messes around with Elvira, who is, by the way, not from Tatarstan but Bashkotorstan.

          Tatarstan and Bashkortostan Tatars are generally classified as Volga Tatars, some of which Tatars preferring to be known as Volga Bulgars.

          My neighbours in the country are Tatars and we get on fine. Apart from the grandparents of the clan saying “Praise be to Allah”, you would never know they were Muslim, let alone Tatar. Some have Tatar names, but others have Russian ones. They don’t pray 5 times a day and the older women just tie their hair back with a little headscarf. The great-grandaughters don’t cover their heads at all.

          • yalensis says:

            Federal law forbids writing Tatar in Latin letters? Sheeeeeeesh! Get a life, people!
            I say, let ’em write it in Latin letters if that’s what they want! Or both! (Like Serbo-Croatian.)

            I get SO aggravated when people argue over alphabets!
            Maybe it’s just my linguistic training, but I think very little of alphabets. Letters are not magical runes with inherent meaning or power, they’re just arbitrary symbols. Chicken scratches in the sand. The important thing is the LANGUAGE itself. Alphabets are just a means to communicating that language..

            It’s like going to war about writing the number 7 with or without a bar through it.
            Once again, SHEEEEEESH!

            • Moscow Exile says:

              I think putting a bar across a seven is totally depraved and foreign.

              • marknesop says:

                I used to think that, too, but it is common for the Russian post office to mistake an unbarred seven for a one. While my wife was still living in Russia, I sent a lot of mail and gifts, and quite a lot of it went to the wrong address. Since she lived in a fairly small town, it usually got sorted quite quickly, but I learned to bar the seven to avoid confusion, and have never had anyone here in Canada ask “what the hell does that mean?” I also learned in the military to put a stroke through zeroes so they will not be mistaken for “o”, and doing so now is automatic.

                • Moscow Exile says:

                  Yes, I long ago started barring sevens through necessity as well. I’ve gone the whole hog now, though, and put a long upward stroke on a 1 as well, which upward stroke necessitates a bar on a 7 because a quickly written 1 and a 7 without a bar are sometimes hard to distinguish from each other. The printed 1 has a little stroke, but in Germany and Russia, quickly written ones sometimes look like upside down Vs.

              • Portuguese legend says that the bar on the 7 means that the 7th Commandment should not be followed.

    • kirill says:

      I see various self-anointed voting experts on the web are attacking the vote because the ballot boxes are transparent. These morons don’t even know that this is to prevent claims of ballot stuffing. And it is up to the voter to fold his/her ballot if they want to hide what they voted for. They also don’t leave a signature on the ballot.

      Another snipe that can be dismissed outright is that there is no 3rd option to join Ukraine as a non-autonomy. This would be a stupid thing to put on a ballot since it would split the pro-Ukraine vote. It is also inconsistent with the legal position of Crimea as an autonomous republic. One would have a second vote to revoke the autonomy later. But clearly this path is not going to be traversed anyway.

      • yalensis says:

        Other Western reporters are huffing and puffing about how Crimean voters are allowed to show up and vote with no identifying documents OTHER THAN A PASSPORT (!)
        God forbid! “We would never allow this in the U.S.”

        Yeah, that’s because in the U.S. they have everything rigged so that only the “right” kind of people can vote, depending on which district belongs to which party.

      • marknesop says:

        The two choices are an association with Russia or a return to the 1992 Constitution. The day after the Constitution referred to was adopted, a sentence was inserted in it by the Crimean Parliament, affirming that Crimea is a part of Ukraine. A vote that went this way would therefore affirm Crimea as a part of Ukraine. They’re never going to get anything closer than that; as you say, Crimea is not going to cast away what autonomy it has, and ask to become an integral part of Ukraine, there was never any appetite for that. Why put ridiculous choices on the ballot?

        As far as the transparent ballot boxes go, this is “a fundamental instrument in conducting good elections at polling station level.”

  41. Moscow Exile says:

    Australian academic’s Russophobic article:

    Russia reveals both its strength and weakness in the invasion of Ukraine

    Russian-Aussies’ response:

    We, people of former USSR republics, want a public apology…

    Lynch comes out with all the usual shite: fracking, collapsing economy, demagogic crisis etc., but this kills me:

    Imagine Germany’s Angela Merkel declaring the end of Nazism as ”the greatest geo-strategic catastrophe of the 20th century”. And yet this was Putin’s interpretation of the collapse of the USSR“.

    It’s that favourite misquote taken out of context again!

    Lynch has given it a new twist this time, though: the catastrophe, according to Lynch, was described as a “geo-strategic” one.

    Clearly he hadn’t checked this out: President of Russia, Addresses to the Federal Assembly, April 25, 2005

    or the Russian original: Президент России, Послание Федеральному Собранию Российской Федерации, 25 апреля 2005 года

    And if he did, then that means he’s a lying twat!

    • Southerncross says:

      Learned everything he knows about the former USSR from Australia’s thriving Banderite population no doubt. Aussie has always been a favourite bolthole for Eastern European Nazis who wanted a little sunshine to raise their spirits. The Ukrainian Youth Association in Geelong outside Melbourne still celebrates Stepan Bandera day every year.

      There’s also a nice big Ustasha community downtown, so veterans of SS Galizien and the Black Legion, or UNA-UNSO and the HOS can meet at the Katarina Zrinska restaurant, and swap war stories over a bottle of Rakija.

      Hell of a thing, to go to Melbourne and hear “Evo zore, evo dana” instead of “Waltzing Matilda”. Maybe now the Aukrainians at least will oblige us by going home and dying for their beloved fatherland.

      • kirill says:

        What is it with the British English-speaking colonies and eastern European Nazis. Canada is a Banderite hive as well. It was also a Sikh separatist terrorist hive as well (recall the downing of the Air India flight in 1985).

        • Moscow Exile says:

          Because they know that British-style justice is best.

        • yalensis says:

          And to think I used to believe that all the Nazis had flocked to Brazil.
          See, they saved Hitler’s brain in a jar and kept it in the Brazilian jungle.
          And then after that they wanted to clone an army of hitlers.
          Was I misinformed?

          • Jen says:

            I heard Hitler went to Argentina in a submarine and lived out his remaining years at Bariloche in the Andes. Although his brain could have been taken to a secret lab in the Amazon jungle later.

            Didn’t that story about the army of Hitlers come from an old episode of Wonder Woman on TV?

            • marknesop says:

              What, The Boys From Brazil?

              I remember when it came out; it was quite a big film, nominated for lots of awards, but I never saw it.

              • Jen says:

                (Smack on forehead with palm of hand)

                Of course! Why didn’t I think of that? I’ve always been curious to see that film myself.

                • Fern says:

                  The film isn’t that good but I’d recommend the novel of the same name by Ira Levin – he does a good job in making the idea plausible.

                • marknesop says:

                  Me, too, but maybe I will just see if I can find the book at the library as per Fern’s recommendation. As I say, I remember the film coming out – the 70’s were my years of awareness – and the trailer seemed terrifying although I am sure it would be pure schmaltz now. I’ll have to look for it on YouTube.

  42. Warren says:

    Published on 15 Mar 2014
    James Henry: European banks in countries like Germany and Austria have a vested interest in a stable Ukraine because of trillions in outstanding debt

    • yalensis says:

      If this report is true, then Ukraine is the iceberg that will bring down the Titanic of European banks.

    • marknesop says:

      Sobering indeed, or it should be. But not enough people watch such networks; most – especially in the USA – get their news from FOX and NBC and CNN, all of whom are crowing about sanctions and punishment and what the United States “owes” strugglers for freedom like Ukraine. Meanwhile, the cold-blooded planners in the USA probably would not mind seeing Europe – especially “old Europe” – taken down a peg or two economically, or the recovery losing momentum, so long as the USA continued on more or less unaffected. I am confident the USA will go ahead with its sanctions, starting tomorrow, and that Europe’s pain will not deter them.

  43. Moscow Exile says:

    BBC looks inside Crimea polling station

    So tell me: where are the men with the guns?

    On and and on it has gone all week in the Western media that one reason why this referendum is illegal is because it will be held “under gunpoint”?

    So I ask again: where are the guns?

    Where are the looks of of fear on the faces of those coerced into voting.

    The BBC journalist in the Simferopol polling station says, “Turnout has been really high”. Why is that? Why do these people seem so willing to become helots of Mordor?

    And where are the terrified Tatars? Where are the crosses painted on their houses that have been reported?

    • marknesop says:

      How dare Russia sponsor a vote by the people in their own determination, without permission and approval from the west? Bring on the sanctions, boys, and watch Billions in wealth disappear on both sides. Don’t think you’re going to get off free yourselves. And the chances of sanctions forcing Russia to deviate from its course are exactly zero, so it is just masturbation by the west, chiefly the USA since it stands to be hurt the least. You could tell Germany was the most reluctant, so they will probably suffer the worst. Of course short-term gas solutions can be found elsewhere to ease the pain somewhat, but nobody should be fooled into thinking that those will be free or even cheap; this is going to cost a lot of money, and might even tip the world over into another financial crisis. If so, we can thank the USA for both of them.

  44. Moscow Exile says:

    Meanwhile, as the Western media howls about the illegality of the 16th March Crimea referendum and Russophobes worldwide call Russia a fascist state, likening its president to Hitler, there took place on the very same day a memorial parade: В Риге 1,5 тыс. человек прошли по улицам города в память о латышских легионерах SS [In Riga 1.5 thousand people paraded along the city streets in memory of the Latvian SS-legion]

    The article states that there also took place on the same day in Riga another event, but this one was in protest against Nazism: there were 20 participants.

  45. yalensis says:

    Meanwhile, Eastern Ukraine is in ferment and continues to resist the Banderite/fascist occupiers.
    In Donetsk today demonstrators tried once more to storm the Prosecutor’s office and free Pavel Gubarev.

    While in Kharkiv a mass meeting is taking place which demands a referendum. To federalize Ukraine and give the regions more autonomy.

    (which, by the way, is maybe one of the possible ways out of this mess…)

    • yalensis says:

      Also, there are several incidents of local residents turning back Ukrainian armoured columns. The latest incident occurred Sunday in Luhansk .

      A Ukrainian convoy with tanks approached the railway station of Kondrashevskaya-Novaya, located 10 km from Luhansk. Residents of Luhansk rushed out and literally stood in front of the convoy, to stop the tanks.

      • Moscow Exile says:

        Published on 15 Mar 2014

        Жители Станично-Луганского района блокируют разгрузку военной техники и баррикадируют подъездные пути

        На станции «Ольховая» в Луганской области более 300 местных жителей продолжают блокировать разгрузку бронетанковой техники. Люди стоят живой стеной на пути эшелона. Железнодорожные пути забаррикадированы.

        [Residents of the Stanichno-Luhansk district blocking the unloading of military equipment and barricading sidings.

        At the Olkhovaya station in the Luhansk region more than 300 local residents continue to block the unloading of armoured vehicles. People are standing as a human wall in the path of the squadron and railway tracks have been barricaded.]

        I take it that the armed and uniformed men are soldiers of the Ukrainian army.

        If they just stand by watching civilians making such a token obstruction of their movement, I fail to see how they would be willing to engage with the Russian army if ordered to do so.

        I’m not saying they’re afraid: it’s just that their hearts are not in it.

        Those bastards in Pravy Sektor wouldn’t stand by and watch though.

  46. yalensis says:

    Also in Kharkiv on Sunday, pro-Russian demonstrators destroyed the HQ of the Right Sector, on Rymarskaya Street.
    The demonstrators marched to the Right Sector office, stopping briefly at the Polish consulate, but weren’t able to attack that, since it was protected by police. So, they moved on, attacked Right Sector office, and totally messed it up, destroying all their stuff and setting their literature on fire.

  47. yalensis says:

    Yatsenuk, wearing a delicious-looking tie, announces to Ukrainian people, that he must drastically cut social programs, in order to increase (by factor of 10) the military budget.

    Hi-ho, hi-ho, it’s off to war we go….

    • Moscow Exile says:

      Tasty looking tie. I’m sure he’s the tie-chewing type.

      He loves Yulia! He really does!

      Don’t know what she thinks of him though.

    • marknesop says:

      Just what every poor starving country needs; a big shiny military. Does Yats, with his extensive military experience, think that’s going to happen overnight? Given the current state of the Ukrainian forces, this is the work of years, and Ukraine is already massively in debt.

      Somebody should send him a copy of “Civilization”, and he should be forced to play it at least twice a day until he realizes you cannot double the size and assets of the police without the money coming from somewhere else. I wonder how the citizens of Kiev are enjoying these developments, along with seeing their streets policed by bat-wielding goons in tatterdemalion uniforms. Great decision-making, boys and girls. And it’s not like you weren’t warned. The last real money that came into Ukraine to pay fading salaries and pensions was Russian, and it arrived promptly within days of the deal being negotiated, with no strings attached. Bet that would look pretty good about now. Welcome to the new world order.

  48. Drutten says:

    Just noticed that the ARK Supreme Council has made some changes to their website. Before and after:

    I was actually waiting for that to happen. 🙂

  49. Moscow Exile says:

    WARNING! PLEASE HAVE A VOMIT BAG CLOSE AT HAND.

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