What Does Freedom Mean to You? Putin at Valdai, 2016

Uncle Volodya says, "The right thing to do and the hard thing to do are usually the same.”

Uncle Volodya says, “The right thing to do and the hard thing to do are usually the same.”

American protest songs, lyrically at least, showcase that as an expression of national consciousness, Americans lost their understanding of what freedom means somewhere in the early 1970’s. Sentiment against dictatorships and enslavement of populations gave way to more America-centric problems, dominated by the war in Vietnam and, to a lesser extent, national race relations and the problems associated with getting a job. In latter decades the media honed its skills at what has become known as the politics of division, and became adept at turning whole segments of the population against one another, always dangling the illusory concept of freedom just out of reach.

What is freedom, really? Is it the liberty to make mistakes while pursuing greater goals, knowing that you still must bear responsibility for the consequences – unintentional and potential – of those mistakes? Or is it simply the removal of all restraints on one’s personal behavior, as Jen suggests here?

This and other issues is discussed here in a provocative guest post by the inimitable Aussie contributor, Jenifer Hor, in her analysis of Putin’s speech to the attendants of the final plenary session of the Valdai Discussion Club at Sochi, last month. For me, it reaffirms that Vladimir Putin remains committed to a united global problem-solving approach which emphasizes frank and open discussion of world problems, while the west remains mired in creation of wedge issues for its own benefit and discrediting all sources which do not correspond to its worldview. Permit me to offer my accolades in advance for a solid and perceptive first-line analysis. Take it away, Jen!

Vladimir Putin’s Valdai Speech at the XIII Meeting (Final Plenary Session) of the Valdai International Discussion Club (Sochi, 27 October 2016)

As is his usual custom, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered a speech at the final session of the annual Valdai International Discussion Club’s 13th meeting, held this year in Sochi, before an audience that included the President of Finland Tarja Halonen and former President of South Africa Thabo Mbeki. The theme for the 2016 meeting and its discussion forums was “The Future in Progress: Shaping the World of Tomorrow” which as Putin noted was very topical and relevant to current developments and trends in global politics, economic and social affairs.

Putin noted that the previous year’s Valdai Club discussions centred on global problems and crises, in particular the ongoing wars in the Middle East; this fact gave him the opportunity to summarise global political developments over the past half-century, beginning with the United States’ presumption of having won the Cold War and subsequently reshaping the international political, economic and social order to conform to its expectations based on neoliberal capitalist assumptions. To that end, the US and its allies across western Europe, North America and the western Pacific have co-operated in pressing economic and political restructuring including regime change in many parts of the world: in eastern Europe and the Balkans, in western Asia (particularly Afghanistan and Iraq) and in northern Africa (Libya). In achieving these goals, the West has either ignored at best or at worst exploited international political, military and economic structures, agencies and alliances to the detriment of these institutions’ reputations and credibility around the world. The West also has not hesitated to dredge and drum up imaginary threats to the security of the world, most notably the threat of Russian aggression and desire to recreate the Soviet Union on former Soviet territories and beyond, the supposed Russian meddling in the US Presidential elections, and apparent Russian hacking and leaking of emails related to failed US Presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton’s conduct as US Secretary of State from 2008 to 2012.

After his observation of current world trends as they have developed since 1991, Putin queries what kind of future we face if political elites in Washington and elsewhere focus on non-existent problems and threats, or on problems of their own making, and ignore the very real issues and problems affecting ordinary people everywhere: issues of stability, security and sustainable economic development. The US alone has problems of police violence against minority groups, high levels of public and private debt measured in trillions of dollars, failing transport infrastructure across most states, massive unemployment that either goes undocumented or is deliberately under-reported, high prison incarceration rates and other problems and issues indicative of a highly dysfunctional society. In societies that are ostensibly liberal democracies where the public enjoys political freedoms, there is an ever-growing and vast gap between what people perceive as major problems needing solutions and the political establishment’s perceptions of what the problems are, and all too often the public view and the elite view are at polar opposites. The result is that when referenda and elections are held, predictions and assurances of victory one way or another are smashed by actual results showing public preference for the other way, and polling organisations, corporate media with their self-styled “pundits” and “analysts” and governments are caught scrambling to make sense of what just happened.

Putin points out that the only way forward is for all countries to acknowledge and work together on the problems that challenge all humans today, the resolution of which should make the world more stable, more secure and more sustaining of human existence. Globalisation should not just benefit a small plutocratic elite but should be demonstrated in concrete ways to benefit all. Only by adhering to international law and legal arrangements, through the charter of the United Nations and its agencies, can all countries hope to achieve security and stability and achieve a better future for their peoples.

To this end, the sovereignty of Middle Eastern countries like Iraq, Syria and Yemen should be respected and the wars in those countries should be brought to an end, replaced by long-term plans and programs of economic and social reconstruction and development. Global economic development and progress that will reduce disparities between First World and Third World countries, eliminate notions of “winning” and “losing”, and end grinding poverty and the problems that go with it should be a major priority. Economic co-operation should be mutually beneficial for all parties that engage in it.

Putin also briefly mentioned in passing the development of human potential and creativity, environmental protection and climate change, and global healthcare as important goals that all countries should strive for.

While there’s not much in Putin’s speech that he hasn’t said before, what he says is typical of his worldview, the breadth and depth of his understanding of current world events (which very, very few Western politicians can match), and his preferred approach of nations working together on common problems and coming to solutions that benefit all and which don’t advantage one party’s interests to the detriment of others and their needs. Putin’s approach is a typically pragmatic and cautious one, neutral with regards to political or economic ideology, but one focused on goals and results, and the best way and methods to achieve those goals.

One interesting aspect of Putin’s speech comes near the end where he says that only a world with opportunities for everyone, with access to knowledge to all and many ways to realise creative potential, can be considered truly free. Putin’s understanding of freedom would appear to be very different from what the West (and Americans in particular) understand to be “freedom”, that is, being free of restraints on one’s behaviour. Putin’s understanding of freedom would be closer to what 20th-century Russian-born British philosopher Isaiah Berlin would consider to be “positive freedom”, the freedom that comes with self-mastery, being able to think and behave freely and being able to choose the government of the society in which one lives.

The most outstanding point in Putin’s speech, which unfortunately he does not elaborate on further, given the context of the venue, is the disconnect between the political establishment and the public in most developed countries, the role of the mass media industry in reducing or widening it, and the dangers that this disconnect poses to societies if it continues. If elites continue to pursue their own fantasies and lies, and neglect the needs of the public on whom they rely for support (yet abuse by diminishing their security through offshoring jobs, weakening and eliminating worker protection, privatising education, health and energy, and encouraging housing and other debt bubbles), the invisible bonds of society – what might collectively be called “the social contract” between the ruler and the ruled – will disintegrate and people may turn to violence or other extreme activities to get what they want.

An English-language transcript of the speech can be found at this link.

 
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2,432 Responses to What Does Freedom Mean to You? Putin at Valdai, 2016

  1. Moscow Exile says:

    When shall Russia be rid of this filth within?

    “The Ministry of Defence has called the Charlie Hebdo cartoon of the Tu-154 crash ‘shit that has been forced out under strain’. I don’t understand whether they are talking about the cartoon or their Tu-154.

    My, what an old card Venediktov is!

    So drole!


    Venediktov and chums at the office, Moscow


    We are are going to make up a selection of Charlie Hebdo covers and, as a sign of solidarity, post them up on our site.

    Why don’t you just fuck off and die, Venediktov?

    • kirill says:

      Their t-shirts read: “Je suis MERDE”

    • et Al says:

      Better the filth within than without. Much easier to keep tabs on (ask British Intelligence except when they totally cock it up, which is not that unusual). This is infuriating but harmless. Like Pussy Rot, kreakls live on the reaction because everything else they do is ignored. As for the frogs & CH, they are their own worst enemies and they don’t even know it. I just wonder how many French civilians have to die because the DSG is letting French jihadis run loose before frenchies start looking closer to home?

    • Cortes says:

      Better out than in, ME?

      Let them expose themselves as the arsewipes they truly are.

    • Fern says:

      These Kreakily folk aren’t very bright, are they? I mean not if they want to win friends and influence people so to speak. I’m generally baffled by Charile Hebdo’s covers since I tend to think the word ‘satire’ so often applied to the magazine, has something to do with humorously criticising either ideas or powerful people and I really can’t see any wit, sharpness, humour or criticism of the powerful in its output.

      Any person with average sensibilities finds nothing funny in an air crash that killed nearly 100 people, many of them young artists. What is it about this state of affairs that the Kreaklys don’t get?

      Back to that French ‘satirical’ magazine again, I am pretty sure that if an Israeli plane had gone done carrying nearly 100 Jewish artists, Charlie Hebdo would not have dared to produce a similar cartoon.

      • Jen says:

        You nailed it there, Fern … Charlie Hebdo always goes after the easy victims who can’t fight back because they don’t have the money or the power. The one time CH came close to criticising Jewish power and influence in France, when one of Nicolas Sarkozy’s children married a Jewish heiress, the editor ordered the cartoonist to apologise. He refused so he was sacked.

    • marknesop says:

      Whatever the Russian mainstream is against, he’s for it. How can you be a dissident if you share the same values as the bydlo? The more in bad taste it is, the better; kreakly thrive on outrage, and are always testing just how far freedom of speech will let them go.

  2. Warren says:

    Why 2017 is the most dangerous year for Britain since the Cold War: With the US and France both set to be run by Putin acolytes, it will fall to us to defend the Baltic states if Russia strikes. Yet we’ve cut our military to the bone…

    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4071968/Why-2017-dangerous-year-Britain-Cold-War-France-set-run-Putin-acolytes-fall-defend-Baltic-states-Russia-strikes-ve-cut-military-bone.html#ixzz4UFHag6WN
    Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

    • Moscow Exile says:

      If Russia strikes ….

      Always striking against and invading poor defenceless countries is big bad bogey-man Russia: Georgia, South Ossetia, Abkhazia, the Ukraine, the Crimea, Germany…

      As regards the last, didn’t Yatsenpuke tell them on German TV how he and the rest of the Ukrainians empathized with the poor old Germans, who knew full well, as did the Ukrainians, what horrors are associated with a Russian invasion?

      • et Al says:

        If the UK had ended up as SS-GB or Fatherland, I don’t think too many people would have been upset, least of all the Royals. As long as all the Brits turned in all the undesirables, they would have had a good life.

    • marknesop says:

      Why don’t they just make Edward Lucas an honourary Defense Minister and give him the authority to raise an army to defend the Baltics? Have done with it, for Christ’s sake. See how many would join. I’d love to see how he performs at anything else besides running his mouth.

  3. Warren says:

    Published on Dec 28, 2016
    The number of Americans choosing to retire outside the United States is growing, according to the Social Security Administration. In fact, more than 400,000 retirees have done it so far and many have plans in the works. RT America’s Alex Mihailovich joins Manila Chan to discuss.

  4. Warren says:

    US expels Russians over cyber attacks

    US expels 35 Russian diplomats in wake of cyber attacks

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-38463025

    • marknesop says:

      Well, they could hardly do otherwise, could they? I mean, with defenders of the Free World John McCain and Lindsey Graham pounding the table and calling for blood? And so what, say I. Expel all the American diplomatic staff from Russia, including the Ambassador, because anything the USA and Russia need to say to one another, they can say over the phone.

      George W. Bush is tough to beat, but Obama has been a worse president by far. And I was once a fan.

  5. Warren says:

    US expels 35 Russian diplomats, closes 2 compounds – official

    https://www.rt.com/news/372190-us-expels-russian-diplomats/

    • Moscow Exile says:

      WASHINGTON, December 29. /Offset. TASS Andrey Shitov/. The state Department declared persona non grata 35 Russian diplomats. This is stated in the official statement issued on Thursday by his press service.
      This automatically means expulsion from the country of the specified persons listed in the statement.

      “These actions are taken in response to the persecution by the Russians of American diplomats and actions on the part of these diplomats (Russian – approx. TASS), which, in our estimation, do not meet the diplomatic practice,” – said previously to Reuters , a senior us official.

      Подробнее на ТАСС:
      http://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/3916858

      This is the way Obama leaves,
      This is the way Obama leaves,
      This is the way Obama leaves;
      Not with a bang but with a whimper.

      Apologies to T.S. Eliot.

    • Northern Star says:

      For those who need a little refresher as to just how full of absurd shit the FBI/CIA are on this Russian hacking cyber chimera:

      Here’s the Public Evidence Russia Hacked the DNC — It’s Not Enough


      Remember the Gulf Of Tonkin???
      “To enhance his chances for election, [Johnson] and McNamara deceived the American people and Congress about events and the nature of the American commitment in Vietnam. They used a questionable report of a North Vietnamese attack on American naval vessels to justify the president’s policy to the electorate and to defuse Republican senator and presidential candidate Barry Goldwater’s charges that Lyndon Johnson was irresolute and “soft” in the foreign policy arena.
      For his part, McNamara never admitted his mistakes. In his award-winning 2003 video memoirs Fog of War, he remained unapologetic and even bragged of his ability to deceive: “I learned early on never answer the question that is asked of you. Answer the question that you wish had been asked of you. And quite frankly, I follow that rule. It’s a very good rule.”
      http://www.usni.org/magazines/navalhistory/2008-02/truth-about-tonkin

      After edit and update:
      To explain the defeat of Killary, Obongo and the CIA/FBI/neocon warmonger caucus deceived the American people and Congress about events and the nature of the alleged hacking of American entities. They used a questionable report of the self serving CrowdStrike ..a collection of self proclaimed cyber sleuth gurus to indict Russia and Russians with alleged attacks on American DNC and WH servers to justify the president’s policy of sanctions against the Russians with zero proof. Also to confuse and dupe the electorate to frustrate PEOTUS Trump and make his assuming office as difficult as possible. All this amidst charges from warmonger Republican senators Graham and McCain that Trump is irresolute and “soft” in the foreign policy arena when it involves Russia.
      For her part, neither Obongo nor Killary admitted their mistakes.They remained unapologetic and even bragged of their ability to deceive:
      “I learned early on never answer the question that is asked of you. Answer the question that you wish had been asked of you. And quite frankly, I follow that rule. It’s a very good rule.” That was McNamara then…but it could have been either of the two now…

    • Moscow Exile says:

      I was only thinking of that propagandist the other day, thinking of how she had suddenly gone completely out of the limelight notithstanding her so heartfelt video that went viral amongst those whose hackles rise at every perceived social injustice, the “injustice” in this instance beig those awful, awful Russians denying those so loveable Ukrainians the right to determine their own future, their right to freedom and democracy and all the usual razzamatazz.

      And I thought: She’ll be on the make, somewhere in Banderastan.

    • yalensis says:

      ” in the weeks since Marushevska stepped down on Nov 14, the Odessa region had increased its customs revenues by 30 percent, or 300 million hryvnia ($11 million).”

      From November 14 to today, is almost exactly 6 weeks.
      With revenues up by $11 million since she stepped down, and doing the math —
      Was this girl pocketing around $1.85 million American dollars per week?
      Not a bad haul!

    • marknesop says:

      They’re all so crooked, it’s hard to know who is telling the truth. Looks good on her, though. Why did they make her a Customs official in Odessa if she was from Kiev? And although the lot of them are as crooked as a dog’s hind leg, it seems a little odd that revenues have increased significantly after she left. Or perhaps that’s actually not true, either. It’s hard to know anything.

      • yalensis says:

        I suspect the girl was simply incompetent and in over her head, rather than crooked.
        Didn’t know anything about customs.

        From what I intuit, the Odessa customs has always been a loosey-goosey type operation. Corruption is always there, but is factored into the accounting. A competent and experienced customs official can look the other way, but still manage the show with one hand tied behind his mind, and still earn good revenues for the state.

        The girl just didn’t know what she was doing.

        Arguing the other point of view: Recall that Saakashvili put her into that job.
        And he must have put her there for a reason.
        Possibly somebody was pocketing big sums, if not necessarily the girl herself.

        • marknesop says:

          Agreed; I’m suggesting it would be highly unusual for criminals to put back $11 Million in stolen money simply to make a short-term YouTube-sensation nobody look bad.

  6. Moscow Exile says:

    US declares 35 Russian diplomats persona non grata


    So precious!

    Официальный представитель МИД РФ отметила, что “уходящая администрация США не оставляет надежды напоследок успеть сделать еще что-нибудь плохое для отношений с Россией, которые она и так обрушила”.

    The official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry has said that “the outgoing US administration has not given up hope of having one last go at managing to do something else that is bad for relations with Russia, which relations have been so ruined by that administration”.

  7. Warren says:

      • Patient Observer says:

        Whew! Did anyone watch this? As we used to say back in the 70’s – what an ego trip!

        • Moscow Exile says:

          This hatred for Russia and Russians must be the reason why the majority of Ukrainians who have left their fictive land have decamped to Russia, and no, they are not all east Ukraine “Sovoks” who have done this.

          Remember that actress whose picture taken on the Maidan went viral, the young woman who held a silly poster saying how she preffered EU lacy panties to a Russian customs union? She moved to Russia. Last I heard a long time ago was that she was seeking employment as an actress in the black heart of Mordor.

          And I do believe that she mouthing it off in the video above has also moved to Rashka.

          Россия — Украина: жалость против ненависти

          Russia and the Ukraine: Compassion vs. hatred
          11.08.2016
          The more news reports we hear from the Ukraine about anti-Russian hysteria, the more strange it appears when dealing with the opposite attitude to Ukrainians on Russia’s part. For example, when the Ukraine destroys and renames everything that is at least somehow related to the USSR and Russia, Russia opens a monument to one of the ideologists of Ukrainian independence, the poet Shevchenko, in Novosibirsk.

          In the Ukraine, they ban Russian films and dismiss those who congratulate other people on the Day of the Defender of the Fatherland (aka Red Army Day – ed.). In Russia, there is a whole network of popular Ukrainian restaurants called “Taras Bulba Tavern.” If a Russian citizen supports the Ukrainian revolution, he can freely express his opinion on the subject without fear of any sort of retaliation for his words. [Well, fear of physical retaliation at least, but most Russians have become totally pissed off with such folk, mostly “kreakles” such as Makarevich — ME]

          The presence of many millions of Ukrainian guest workers in Russia is yet further evidence that proves Russia’s quite friendly attitude towards her neighbours. At the same time, the above-mentioned facts could serve as a seemingly ideal “target” for the righteous wrath of Russian patriots over the crimes of the Nazi regime in Kiev against the Russian-speaking population of the south-east of the Ukraine. Indeed, even if a Ukrainian has a very good knowledge of Russian, he can easily be identified as a Ukrainian national because of his specific Ukrainian accent, which Ukrainian visitors do not even notice. However, Russians do not insult Ukrainian guest workers, nor do they want them to go home.

          It is not only natives of the Donbas who want to come to Russia in an attempt to find better lives and higher salaries (compared with the tiny salaries in the “Great European Power”). The number of Ukrainians coming to Russia from the central and even western territories of the Ukraine is a lot larger, even though those territories can hardly be referred to as “Russia-friendly”.

          Finding work is not the only reason those Ukrainians go to Russia for. Another reason is to avoid army service. Many Ukrainians hide under the wings of the “Russian aggressor” as soon as they smell army boots on their doorstep. Finally, there are Ukrainians who miss normal everyday life — they go to Russia as well so as to strike the recent two years out of their past.

          In fact, this is a typical picture for the entire period of Russian-Ukrainian relations. Hetman of the Right Bank Doroshenko killed many Moscow-friendly Cossacks from the West Bank and eventually surrendered to Russian troops. He was neither dismembered nor impaled, even though those were typical executions that he resorted to in order to kill his enemies. Surprisingly, Doroshenko was appointed a commander in the Russian city of Vyatka. He is also known as the great-great grandfather of the great Russian poet Alexander Pushkin (on the female line).

          Why do Ukrainians flee to Russia? What about the “fashion” for Zaporozhye Cossack traditions among the nobility of the Russian Empire in the XVIII century? The all-powerful favourite of Catherine the Great, His Serene Highness Prince Potemkin-Tavrichesky was known by his Cossack nickname as Gritsko Neches.

          It is worthy of note that the founder of Novorossiya (New Russia) was bearing the title of a Zaporozhye Ataman even after the elimination of Zaporizhian Sech. The elimination of the camp of Zaporozhye Cossacks was peaceful. All the surrendered Cossacks, with the exception of a handful of elders, were released. They were even allowed to join the Russian Army.

          As we can see, the generosity of the Russian people towards their neighbours is an irrefutable fact. The fundamental basis for this phenomenon is something that one may call the “bright imperial idea”, whereby a powerful state does not strive to enslave others, but protects them from external enemies instead.

          This was the case with the Ukraine since the very beginning of its existence. In the XVII century, its Left Bank part was enjoying peace and stability under Russian patronage (as far as it was possible at all in the vicinity of the predatory Crimean Khanate that would constantly attack the Russian land). The Right Bank part of the land was known as the Ruin during the same period of time — even anti-Russian Ukrainian historians acknowledge this. The population of the Right Bank region decreased tenfold over 30 years. Such a dramatic decrease in population did not occur because of the Ottoman Empire, Rzeczpospolita or the Crimean Khanate. It became possible because of its own hetman and destructive, bloody civil wars.

          As history repeats itself, we can see a similar situation unfolding before our very eyes in today’s Ukraine. We can see that every Ukrainian oligarch has his own army under the guise of “voluntary”, “territorial” and other types of battalions, let alone criminal gangs, such as the Right Sector and the like.

          Ukrainian nationalists are unable to curb their ego that starts to devour both the state and the society from within. The zeal with which politicians of Maidan embezzle the Ukrainian treasury surprises even their Western patrons, who thought that they were accustomed to the level of corruption in the Ukrainiane.

          Meanwhile, normal, every-day Ukrainians, poisoned with nationalist propaganda, continue daydreaming about an EU level of salaries and pensions.

          They do not seem to understand that selfishness and hatred are inherently destructive. We can see the independent Ukrainian state destroying itself for the third time in history. Creation and development requires different qualities — altruism, love for others and self-sacrifice.

          Therefore, there is nothing surprising about the fact that the Russians treat their “we-will-never-be-brothers” with love and care, albeit with a dash of pity. This is a typical attitude towards a seriously ill relative who stubbornly refuses to be treated and gets offended by those who offer such treatment.

      • Jen says:

        I guess a people are never more enslaved when they’re convinced (or trying to convince themselves) that they’re completely free.

    • marknesop says:

      What a joke. When ‘more than 1000’ demonstrators rallied in front of Parliament on December 8th, they ‘chided lawmakers’; give me strength. When they were jumping up and down on the Maidan, were they ‘chiding’ Yanukovych? Of course not – they were demanding freedom and democracy. But RFE/RL just cannot bring itself to say that they despise Poroshenko every bit as much as they did Yanukovych, and feel they have to pretend that demonstrators want to lovingly remind him of his responsibilities rather than cut his giant head off.

      And they stopped using Russian gas over a year ago. Okay, RFE/RL – whatever you have to tell yourself. They just buy Russian gas from someone else, at a cost of an extra $70 million or so. But they don’t pay for it, and the EU is happy to lend them the money to buy reverse-flowed Russian gas at a markup. But it says Ukraine must get control over its corruption. Ha, ha!!!

      There’s a nice little example of don’t-do-as-I-do-do-as-I-say, if ever there was one: the EU leaned hard on every Ukrainian leader since Yushchenko to force him to remove gas subsidies the government paid to keep costs low for Ukrainians, which cost it millions every year in a hit to its GDP. But the EU now happily transfers the money of its taxpayers to Kiev, then pockets it minus whatever Kiev skims off the top, in the form of increased gas costs for reverse-flowed Russian gas so Ukraine can say it has weaned itself off Russian gas. There’s not much you could teach Brussels about corruption.

  8. Warren says:

  9. Warren says:

    Published on Dec 29, 2016
    Former FBI whistleblower Coleen Rowley says the evidence the Russian government hacked and interfered with US elections must be made public
    Help support The Real News by making a donation today: http://therealnews.com/donate

  10. marknesop says:

    Ukraine’s Valkyrie has landed on her feet; after being expelled from Yulia Tymoshenko’s Batkyvschina :Party and PACE (after she quit the former months ago, that couldn’t have been very good press), she has started a new ‘movement’; RUNA. She says it is not a political project, and that is actually pretty believable because she does not seem very well-suited to politics. But it’s a hell of a lot easier than finding a job, especially in Ukraine these days.

    I notice that now she is more of a curiosity than a serious political player, she has been demoted from ‘pilot’ to just ‘aviator’. Meanwhile, she has actually accomplished more than Porky.

  11. marknesop says:

    Well, shit a brick. Just look at this. Because America cannot admit it effed up everything to do with Ukraine, it gets Poroshenko’s early and enthusiastic supporter, Viktor Pinchuk, to announce the zrada in the most privileged of conservative American fora – the Wall Street Journal. Allow me to summarize:

    1. Forget about joining the EU for the present. It will take 20 hard and painful years to rebuild the country; how ’bout let’s do that, and then offer ourselves. Just as an aside, Pinchuk will not suffer at all – he’s very, very rich. But he got that way by being an industrialist and philanthropist; he’s not an oligarch, oh, no.

    2. Stop bitching about Crimea. When Ukraine is the Shining City On A Hill, the Crimeans will come crawling back. I understand why he had to say that, but Holy Mary, Mother of God.

    3. Accept local elections in the Donbas. Get on with Minsk, because we have to.

    4. Forget about joining NATO. Brussels was not so overwhelmed with our cuteness in saying we would hold a referendum to see if we would allow NATO to welcome us to overlook that you have to be invited, and we won’t be. Not now, not later. Pursue an ‘alternate security arrangement’ (intriguing), and accept neutrality. Which is quite a lot like ‘neutered’.

    5. Accept an incremental rollback of sanctions on Russia.

    Forgive me for noting this does not sound like the proposals of a victorious nation. I once again caution Russia to box clever, and don’t give away the store. Washington would not even allow this to be printed unless it had a reason. Tread carefully.

  12. Moscow Exile says:

    Кремль обещал, что ответные меры России принесут США «существенный дискомфорт»

    The Kremlin has promised that Russian retaliatory measures will bring “considerable discomfort” to the USA

    To which KP article (linked above) a commentator responds:

    сегодня 08:35
    Увы
    Пока что Кремль «существенный дискомфорт» приносит только гражданам России!

    today 08:35
    Alas
    Up to now “considerable discomfort” has been brought by the Kremlin only to Russian citizens

    which comment, I should imagine, reflects a typical kreakl mindset, namely that the “considerable discomfort” from which Russian citizens allegedly now suffer is not the result of US foreign policies and US and EU sanctions against Russia, the result of which actions having long since been clearly stated by Obama being that “the Russian economy is now in tatters”, but is, on the contrary, the result of “Kremlin” policy — read: Russian aggression, war against th Ukraine, support of Assad, invasion of the Crimea etc., etc,

    Who shall rid Russia of this filth?

  13. Moscow Exile says:

    «Обама оставляет за собой шлейф конфликтов»

    Obama leaves behind of himself a long trail of conflicts

    Официальный представитель МИД России Мария Захарова в ответ на введение новых санкций против России со стороны Белого дома на своей странице в фейсбуке назвала администрацию президента США Барака Обамы «внешнеполитическими неудачниками».

    «Мы говорили об этом несколько лет подряд: люди, обитавшие 8 лет в Белом доме, — это не администрация, это группа внешнеполитических неудачников, озлобленных и недалеких. Сегодня Обама признался в этом официально», — сообщила Захарова.

    On her Facebook page, the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, in response to the introduction of new sanctions against Russia by the White House, called US President Barack Obama’s administration “foreign policy losers”.

    “We have spoken about this for several years in a row now: those people who have been resident for 8 years in the White House are not an administration, they are a group of foreign policy losers, angry and short-sighted people. Today, Obama has officially admitted this”, said Zakharova.

    • Moscow Exile says:


      Now you just cut that out, Mrs. Zakharova!

      🙂

    • marknesop says:

      It’s unusual for the Kremlin to be so direct. Masha’s colloquial English is really getting a workout. Likely Bammy is just trying to poison the well for Trump, so that he has no choice but to enter on a sawtooth wave of adversarial one-upmanship.

      • Moscow Exile says:

        That’s Moscow Exile’s colloquial English above!

        Zakharova writes on her Facebook in Russian.

        For example, as regards CNN lies about the evil Russians closing the Anglo-American school in Moscow in retaliation for the soft-arse actions of Washington (see below), she wrote on her Facebook page:

        Американские официальные лица «анонимно пробрифинговали» свои СМИ о том, что в качестве ответной меры Россия закрыла американскую школу в Москве. Это ложь. Видимо, Белый дом совсем обезумел и начал придумывать санкции против своих же собственных детей.

        American officials “anonymously informed” their media that Russia had closed the Anglo-American School in Moscow as a retaliatory measure. This is a lie. Apparently, the White House has completely lost its senses and begun inventing sanctions against its own children.

        Her expression “This is a lie” has, however, most definitely crossed the red line as regards the protocol of diplomacy.

        Lavrov has also, I think, changed his register as regards diplomatic protocol with the outgoing US administration.

        If I really entered my colloquial style, I would have had her say in English: This is a dirty fucking bastard lie, you lying twats!

        However, I should imagine that the delightful Maria would never dream of saying such a thing.

        • marknesop says:

          I’m sure she would not. But it is unusual for Russian diplomacy to go so far beyond mild mockery to express its complete contempt for the Obama administration. Which it richly deserves, I might add. What a disappointment for so many Americans, and what a bitter legacy as the first black President.

    • Lyttenburgh says:

      Yeaaaaah! Murika! Obama Stronk! This will show those Ruskis how to mess with Freedoom and ‘Mockracy! USA! USA! USA!

      P.S. Peto Poroshenko is especially grateful. He thought that nothing will prevent him from attaining the august title of the |Most Pathetic Leader of the Year” title (again) but Friend Barack saved Petya! SUGS!

      • Moscow Exile says:

        Reebok was founded in 1958 in Bolton, Lancashire, England. The firm originally was a cobbler’s, who specialized in making running shoes for the local harrier clubs..

        The original firm was not far from where I was dragged up and I bought my trainers there. That was when folk used to train in trainers and not “dance” in them. But then they started wearing them at discos and they became an expensive fashion accessory.

        The original Reeboks had a British union flag on the label, which disappeared when the firm was taken over by a US one.

        Fuck yeah!

        • Lyttenburgh says:

          “Reebok was founded in 1958 in Bolton, Lancashire, England.”

          You understand that this might sound like a blasphemy for any red-blooded self-respectin’ ‘Murican? What’s next – “hamburger invented by some German”?!

  14. Moscow Exile says:

    Russia announces 35 US diplomats persona non grata

    MOSCOW, December 30. /TASS/. Russia announces 35 US diplomats persona non grata – these are 31 personnel of the embassy in Moscow and four of the consulate general in St. Petersburg, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Friday.

    “We, of course, cannot leave unanswered insults of this kind: reciprocity is the law of diplomacy and foreign relations”, he said. “Thus, the Russian Foreign Ministry and officials of other authorities have presented to the Russian president suggestions regarding announcing persona non grata 31 personnel of the US Embassy in Moscow and four diplomats from the Consulate General in St. Petersburg.”

    The Russian Foreign Ministry has also submitted a proposal to the president to ban US diplomats from using two facilities in Moscow: a vacation house at Serebryany Bor and a warehouse on Dorozhnaya street, according to Lavrov.

    Washington’s accusations that the Russian state was behind attempts to meddle in the US presidential election are groundless, Lavrov said.

    “The outgoing US administration of Barack Obama accusing Russia of all mortal sins, trying to blame us for the failure of its foreign policy initiatives, among other things, has put forward additional accusations without any grounds whatsoever that the Russian state was behind attempts to meddle in the US election campaign, which led to the defeat of the democratic candidate” Lavrov said.

    [Small changes in punctuation, demonstrative adjectives, prepositions and article usage made — ME]

    You tell ’em Sergey, old lad!

    • Moscow Exile says:

      Fast rewind to 2009:

      Who was laughing at whom?

      The then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton greeted Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in Geneva with false smiles and jocularity whilst presenting him with a small, beribboned gift box.

      Lavrov opened the box and inside there was a device with a red button. The device had the Russian word “peregruzka” printed on it.

      “I would like to present you with a little gift that represents what President Obama and Vice President Biden and I have been saying, and that is: ‘We want to reset our relationship, and so we will do it together'” …

      “We worked hard to get the right Russian word. Do you think we got it?” she asked Lavrov, laughing.

      “You have got it wrong”, said Lavrov, as both diplomats laughed.

      “It should be ‘perezagruzka'”, said Lavrov. “This says ‘peregruzka’, which means ‘overcharge'”.

      Clinton gave a quick response: “We won’t let you do that to us, I promise. We mean it and we look forward to it”.

      Was she being truthful?

      A few minutes later, Clinton’s senior adviser, Philippe Reines, sent an e-mail message to reporters covering the Secretary of State.

      “Since we’re all learning a little Russian today, ‘opechatka’ is Russian for ‘typo’”, he wrote. “So the ‘opechatka’ is being fixed: the gift will correctly read ‘Perezagruzka’ by the time of the joint press conference. If any of you travel with label-making devices equipped with a Russian spell-check, please do let me know…”

      As regards the jolly picture above, if one could insert thought bubbles, what words would one place in them?

      I should insert for Clinton: “Dumb Russian!”

      For Lavrov: “Lying bitch!”

    • Moscow Exile says:

      RUSSIA WEAK!!!!!

      Putin decides not to expel US diplomats from Russia

      MOSCOW, December 30. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin has made a decision not to expel any US diplomats from Russia in retaliation for Washington’s latest sanctions against Moscow.

      “The Russian diplomats returning home will spend the New Year Holidays with their relatives and dear ones. At home. We will not create problems for US diplomats. We will not expel anybody”, the Russian presidential press-service has said.

      Putin also said that Russia would not prevent the families and children (of diplomats) from using the customary rest and leisure facilities and sites during the New Year holidays.

      “Moreover, I am inviting all children of US diplomats accredited in Russia to the New Year and Christmas parties in the Kremlin”, Putin said.

      Weak! Weak! Weak!

      How about inviting my kids to the Kremlin Yolka and not those rich US diplomatic corps brats?

      😦

      • et Al says:

        Well, after eight years as President of the United States,Obama proves that he has learned nothing. A lot of promise, very little delivery. As wot they say in the UK, fine words butter no parsnips!

        May I suggest a Diplomatic version of the BBC’s ‘Strictly Come Dancing’:
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strictly_Come_Dancing

        Diplomats fresh out of diplomat school are taken under the wing of a professional diplomat and each twosome has to handle a tricky diplomatic mission successfully to go through to the following week, the bottom pair of diplomats (as voted by the public and following points being given by a panel of senior diplomats as judges) facing ‘a diplomat off’ with only one pair going through to the next week? In the ultimate final, four pairs will face off against each other and have to avoid a nuclear war, the winning couple heading it off with the most panache; chosen only by the judges?*

        President Obama, Strictly Amateur, right to the end!

      • Cortes says:

        It’s the festive period, so Tin Tin gets into the spirit of things by conjuring up a piece on Obomber’s latest hissy fit which allows anyone who has had to attend interminable meetings to play the classic game of “Bullshit Bingo “:

        https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/30/georgian-mansions-moscow-dachas-and-the-souring-of-us-russian-relations

        • marknesop says:

          “It was also a subtle reminder, for those who were able to decode it, that the FSB – the KGB’s successor – has precise information about the children of US embassy personnel. Russia’s foreign ministry on Friday tartly denied reports that Moscow was to close the Anglo-American school, attended by diplomatic kids, and the offspring of bankers and oil workers.”

          Just when you think Tin-Tin could not be any more of a berk than he already is, he surprises you with a jerky descent to a new level of berkiness. Of course he can ‘decode’ it, him and the FSB being old adversaries. They tried to kill him, you know – but fortunately they foolishly wore their trademark leather jackets, and he was able to give them the slip.

          Vladimir Putin’s KGB career ended when Luke Harding was 23 years old, and likely focused on what most 23-year-old males focus on. But he never forgets to mention Putin’s ‘KGB career’, as if it is all he ever did besides be President, and was his defining experience. He has now been out of the KGB for far longer than he was in it during the entirety of his ‘career’, has been in politics for far longer and has been President of the Russian Federation for nearly as long as he was in the KGB. But to hear Tin-Tin tell it, all he can think about is returning to his wet work and rummaging through his files on dissidents.

          Do you suppose Her Majesty’s Government knows whether Russian diplomats have children accompanying them or not, other family members? I imagine they do, since even in the exhilarating free country of Harding’s birth, you cannot enter as a foreign diplomat and just bring your wife and kiddies along without any papers being filed or permits being issued. But there’s nothing sinister or totalitarian about that, naturally.

          • Jen says:

            I’m surprised Tintin hasn’t yet surrendered his own children and his missus Phoebe Taplin to MI5 or the relevant government department to get the once-over with a Geiger counter or a whole-body MRI scan, to find out where the Rooskies implanted nanochips to control and direct their behaviour.

  15. Moscow Exile says:

    You just couldn’t make such shit up as comes out of Kiev!

    Украина подготовила иск против России в международный суд
    30 декабря 2016, 15:00Текст: Алина Назарова

    The Ukraine has prepared an international lawsuit against Russia
    December 30, 2016, 15: 00 Text: Alina Nazarova

    The Ukraine intends to file an international lawsuit against Russia, which is accused of violating the concluded in 1997 Friendship Treaty, says Deputy Foreign Minister of the Ukraine Vadym Pristayko.

    The diplomat said that this is an issue concerning the so-called big Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Partnership between Russia and the Ukraine, according to which Moscow respects the territorial integrity of the Ukraine and the inviolability of its borders.

    “We have been working on this lawsuit for a year and now the its preparation is over. Because Russia is still not complying with what is in the treaty, we have grounds for taking Russia to court”, Pristayko told the news agency “Ukrinform”.

    The Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Partnership between Russia and the Ukraine was signed on 31 May, 1997 in Kiev. It establishes the principle of strategic partnership, the recognition of the inviolability of existing borders, respect for territorial integrity and mutual commitment not to use its territory to the detriment of each other.

    And insofar as various armed groups, “punishment battalions”, and the Ukrainian army has been waging war against Ukrainian citizens for over 2 years in eastern Ukraine, and insofar as the Ukrainian government has been periodically cutting off energy and water supplies to the Crimea, putting the lives of the citizens of that peninsula in danger, which citizens are being denied by the Ukrainian government their right of determining themselves by whom they should be governed, any court would tell the Yukie bastards in Kiev to fuck off.

    But this won’t happen … because Russia is weak.

    • marknesop says:

      I imagine Russia derives considerable satisfaction from seeing the Ukie ‘government’ posture and squeal and paw the earth, all to no avail. It probably costs money to bring all these silly lawsuits, and this is just as unlikely to succeed as the others.

  16. Moscow Exile says:

    Western lying bastard media digging its own grave without respite:

    Diplomat blasts CNN report on closure of Anglo-American School in Moscow as blatant lie

    Russian Politics & Diplomacy December 30, 14:12 UTC+3

    The CNN earlier reported that Russian authorities have ordered the closing of the Anglo-American School in Moscow as a retaliatory measure after Washington’s new sanctions

    MOSCOW, December 30. /TASS/. Information on the closure of the Anglo-American School in Moscow spread by CNN is completely false, Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, wrote on her Facebook.

    “US officials ‘anonymously informed’ their media that Russia had closed the Anglo-American School in Moscow as a retaliatory measure”, she said. “That’s a lie. Apparently, the White House has completely lost its senses and began inventing sanctions against its own children.”
    “You should not write that ‘Moscow denied…. Or Moscow will not…’. Write as it is: ‘The CNN TV channel and other Western media have again spread false information citing official American sources'”, Zakharova stated.

    The CNN earlier reported that Russian authorities had ordered the closing of the Anglo-American School in Moscow as a retaliatory measure after Washington had imposed new sanctions on Russia.

    On December 29, it became known that Washington had slapped new sanctions on Moscow over its supposed cyberattacks on US institutions. The restrictive measures announced on Thursday apply to some Russian companies, the Federal Security Service and the Russian General Staff’s Main Department and its senior officials. In addition to that, US authorities have declared 35 Russian diplomats persona non grata. Washington also informed Moscow that it would deny Russian personnel access to two recreational compounds in the United States owned by the Russian government.

    Moscow has repeatedly denied any involvement in cyberattacks. Commenting on the new sanctions, Russian Presidential Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said they are a manifestation of aggression.

    [edited —ME]

  17. Warren says:

  18. Cortes says:

    Good news for Finland as one of Putin’s agents is jailed:

    https://www.rt.com/news/372261-finland-police-drug-ring/

  19. Northern Star says:

    January 20 2017….the clown will be hooked off the world stage….

    “These actions are not the sum total of our response to Russia’s aggressive activities,” Obama declared. “We will continue to take a variety of actions at a time and place of our choosing, some of which will not be publicized.” This indicates that secret retaliatory measures, possibly including cyber-warfare actions to disrupt Russia’s economy, finances or infrastructure, are being taken.
    The text of the executive order, as posted on the White House web site, contains vague, sweeping language that has ominous implications for the democratic rights of the American people. Any political activist opposed to the official two-party system could face sanctions or even criminal charges for actions “with the purpose or effect of interfering with or undermining election processes or institutions.”
    http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2016/12/30/hack-d30.html

    “I’m very suspicious. It seems to me very similar to the lead-up to the Iraq War and when they talked about the connection to 9/11, “Well, Saddam was behind 9/11,” which was obviously not true. That wasn’t strong enough, so then they had to add that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction. Eventually they said, “Oh, we’re just going in to ensure democracy in Iraq.” They kept adding things. It was like the kitchen sink of justifications for attacking Iraq. And there’s been just way too many ***Gulf of Tonkins*** and the sinking of the Maine and the Lusitania, on and on and on. Every time we start to see a new war started, you will see these exaggerations and lying into war, and I think that the American people really have to be skeptical. Almost 20 days before a new president takes office that now we have this–”
    ***..as was noted by NS yesterday!!!!!
    http://therealnews.com/t2/story:18034:Retired-FBI-Agent%3A-Russia-Sanctions-Moves-the-US-Closer-to-Another-Cold-War

    • marknesop says:

      A new Cold War would be a dream come true for the Democrats – they would like nothing better than an extended period of uncommunicative detente until the happy day they can get another Democrat in the White House, and return to plotting regime change.

  20. Warren says:

    Published on Dec 30, 2016
    German media have recently been speculating about the alleged cyber threat posed by Russia to Germany’s elections in 2017. The threat has, however, been questioned by one politician, who is demanding proof from the government. Peter Oliver has the story.

    • Northern Star says:

      MP Hunko stands in sharp contradistinction to the legion of spineless female genitalia in American MSM and Congress….

      • Patient Observer says:

        spineless female genitalia yes, I hope so (just kidding).

        Germany is poor sidekick for the US; no distinct personality, no gaudy customs, just parroting away the same nonsense.

    • Special_sauce says:

      Anybody know what proof would look like? Some sort of server log? Can “proof” be forged? We’re not talking about the provenance of ink or paper.

      • kirill says:

        Whatever IP is logged is not guaranteed to have been the origin of the hack. This is why the NSA produces tools that act like real time monitors of hacking activity. Then there is a chance to actually trace the multi-route origin of the packets. Even with the NSA tools it is still not enough to make a legal case that “Putin did it” even if the hackers are physically located in Russia. These hackers can be anyone and you would have to have a spy operation in progress to photograph them. This is way too Hollywood and not realistic.

  21. Northern Star says:

    http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2016/12/28/cras-d28.html
    Mirek • 2 days ago
    “Still early days, as not all flight recorders have been recovered, let alone examined, but there are questions: why did Moscow rush in to declare that the `terrorist option` is off the table? Were there any eyewitness reports? After all, the plane went down less than 2km from shore, with a crowd watching! And thirdly, were there any mobile phone calls from the stricken plane. There seems to be at least, some politics involved.
    Remenber that Ash Carter threatened Russia with `consequences`, and some high US officialls called for the killing of Russians over Aleppo!”

    Unanswered questions….

  22. Warren says:

    Published on Dec 30, 2016
    The United States attempts to secure its national security interests in Syria and Iraq by sustaining conflict rather than pursuing political solutions, says professor Sabah Alnasseri

    • Lyttenburgh says:

      – The fight began c. 2.5 months ago.
      – At first they promised us victory by Novembeer 8th. Then by X-mas. Now – somewhere in 2017.
      – First Iraqi reports talked about their army controlly “most of the city”. Then they corrected themselves to “a quarter of the city”.

      The reality looks like this:

      Peremoga turns into another zrada! Ukrainism is taking over the world! Well, this clearly has only one explanation – PUTIN! Only more sanctions will allowe the Iraqi Army and various (often – antagonisticto each other) militias, Kurds and Turks (ditto) SUDDENLY overcome their differences and take Mosul… someday.

  23. Warren says:

    Published on Dec 30, 2016
    US President Barack Obama on Thursday slapped sanctions on Moscow and gave 35 Russian diplomats just hours to leave the United States over alleged Russian interference in the US election.
    Russia’s foreign minister recommended Moscow does the same, but Russian President Vladimir Putin said “No”.

    Putin wants to know where President-elect Donald Trump stands on the issue.

    US intelligence agencies accuse Russia of cyber attacks in the recent election aimed at helping Trump defeat Hillary Clinton for the presidency.

    Trump has praised Putin’s leadership in the past – so will his first move in the White House be to lift the sanctions?

    Presenter: Richelle Carey

    Guests:

    Thomas Pickering – Former US ambassador to Russia & the UN.

    Mark Sleboda – International relations and security analyst.

    Lilit Gevorgyan – Russia economic analyst at the think tank, IHS Markit.

  24. Moscow Exile says:


    Odesssa, a new mayor is coming to you!

  25. Moscow Exile says:

    By “delay”, Trump means Putin’s holding fire as regards retaliating to soft-arse’s petulant tantrum.

    Only 3 weeks to go and the Obama circus leaves town.

    • Patient Observer says:

      I visited an office today that had an “Obama Countdown Clock” set to reach zero on January 20. Ominously, the clock had stopped working.

  26. Warren says:

    Published on Dec 30, 2016
    The former Soviet Union produced some of the most innovative and daring architecture of the early 20th century.
    Much of it was lost through decades of neglect, but conservationists are now working to restore some of the country’s most avant-garde buildings, including old communist blocks.
    Al Jazeera’s Rory Challands reports from Moscow.

  27. Patient Observer says:

    Any prediction for the coming year? At the risk of achieving a 100% error rate, I offer the following:

    1 – Trump’s inauguration may be delayed due to security concerns but will proceed. His wife’s gown will suffer a wardrobe malfunction to the delight of onlookers;

    2 – Turkey will double-cross Russia on the recently announced Syrian cease fire/peace agreement but ultimately will work with Russia to achieve resolution in which Assad remains in power until fair elections are organized (if he chooses to run, he will win), the Kurds remain stateless, China and Russia receive massive contracts to rebuild Syria financed in part by Syrian oil exports and the US (lead by Trump) do not interfere;

    3 – Saudi Arabia, in a fit of clarity, will work with Russia to stabilize oil prices, stop the Yemen war and seek a balance between Eastern and Western interests;

    4 – The Russian economy will continue to outperform expectations;

    5 – Karl will continue to spew;

    6 – Hilary will announce a surprise diagnoses of Parkinson’s disease;

    7 – The US will continue to create millions of part-time temporary jobs as the entire population becomes Uber drivers and AirBNB entrepreneurs. Living standards continue to plummet but no one will care due to the large scale introduction of VR headgear where we all will live like rock stars;

    8 – George Soros and Zbigniew Brzezinski will continue their increasingly irrelevant existence;
    9 – The Kremlin Stooge will be placed on the coveted subversive web site list started by ??? (forgot already);

    10 – SpaceX will announce more audacious plans as it continues to receive ever increasing government welfare in the form of inflated launch fees. Trump will try to stop the handouts but be accused of being a Russian agent.

    All in all, 2017 should be a good year.

    • Jen says:

      May I offer the following?

      1/ Bill Clinton on death watch

      2/ French presidential election results move EU closer to collapse

      3/ Mikheil Saakashvili extradited to Georgia from Ukraine to stand trial on murder charges relating to carbon monoxide poisoning death of Zurab Zhvania in 2005

      4/ one of the Scandinavian countries (Denmark or Sweden) gives up cash entirely

      5/ Uber objects to driver-less tram experiment in San Francisco

      6/ Keith Richards still alive at the end of 2017

      • Moscow Exile says:

        Nah, you’re all wrong, because I’ve just got word from the Holy Father that next year there is going to be a terrible calamity.

        Blood of St Januarius fails to liquefy

        Get ready for a disastrous 2017!


        Holy shit! Nothing’s happened!

        A 627-year-old “blood miracle” has failed to occur, heralding disaster for 2017

        If you thought that 2016 was bad, you were wrong, and we must prepare for a terrible 2017!

        The failure of the saint’s blood to liquefy has become associated with previous disastrous events

        The blood of St Januarius has failed to liquefy at the expected time, prompting concerns about what it might signify.

        St Januarius was a Bishop of Naples who is believed to have been martyred around the year 305 during the Diocletian persecution.

        His blood is kept in a sealed glass ampoule in Naples Cathedral and traditionally liquefies three times a year: on September 19, December 16 and the Saturday before the first Sunday of May.

        But during Mass at the Royal Chapel at Naples Cathedral on Friday, the Abbot of the Chapel, Monsignor Vincenzo De Gregorio, revealed that the blood had failed to become liquid, according to reports.

        The Abbot asked the faithful to keep praying while waiting, but by 7.15pm, the vial was returned to the shrine, “undoubtedly solid”, as stated by Abbot Vincenzo.


        Holy Macaroni! We’re fucked!

        Before ending the ritual, he said: “We shouldn’t think of tragedies and calamities. We are men of faith and we must keep on praying”.

        As far as many people of Naples are concerned, the blood remaining solid can be a premonition of evil.

        The same things happened in 1980, when a earthquake hit South Italy; 1973, when Naples endured an outbreak of cholera; 1939, when World War II began; 1940, when Italy joined the War and 1943, when Italy was occupied by the Nazis.

        The blood partially liquefied in the presence of the Pope, during his visit to Naples in March 2015.

        And they laugh at me, the fools, when I tell them of Woden and Thor!

        • marknesop says:

          Interestingly, the alleged first association with the number 666 as the ‘mark of the beast’ with the emergence of the Book of Revelations is said to date from the Diocletian persecutions, and to have begun in the form of a letter which was circulated among the faithful at that time. Which has struck some religious scholars as somewhat suspicious, as Roman numerals prevailed at the time and there was no such number as 666. The Arabic numeral system did not emerge until much later, around AD 628, although academics maintain it was in development over several centuries and could have been earlier.. But nothing earlier than that has been found, and the numerals we know developed in North Africa.

        • yalensis says:

          That’s so GROSS!
          If the blood in the ampule is solid, does that mean it is a type of congealed blood pudding? Yuck!

          • Moscow Exile says:

            There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.

            But if you believe in that crap above, you want your bumps feeling.

            I for my part, however, do not find it at all unbelievable that Woden rides around on an eight-legged horse or that Thor trundles across the heavens in a goat cart whilst brandishing his bloody big hammer

            • Jen says:

              No doubt the idea that Sleipnir’s mother was a male god disguised as a mare doesn’t make you blink either.

              • Moscow Exile says:

                Why should it make me blink if those of the one, true and Catholic faith believe, amongst many other things, that J.Christ walked on water, raised the dead, turned water into wine, died and came back to life before levitating into heaven, which is pretty weak when compared to Mohammed’s farewell show, after which, he, allegedly, flew off to heaven on a winged creature, and…. this is the biggie! … his mother got tupped by god and by no other, therefore giving birth to the self same J. Christ, who was, by the way, god as well, and that’s not counting the Holy Ghost, who is also god: J.Christ, the Holy Ghost and god are all one and the same — but different, if you see what I mean?

                In 451 anno Domini, when my forefathers, by the way, believed in Woden and the rest of his chums, the doctrine was laid down that Jesus Christ “was truly God and truly man”, namely “one and the same perfect in Godhead and also perfect in manhood; of a rational soul and body; consubstantial with the Father in Heaven according to the Godhead, and consubstantial with us according to the Manhood; in all things like unto us, without sin; begotten before all ages of the Father according to the Godhead, and in these latter days, for us and for our salvation, born of the Virgin Mary, the Mother of God, according to the Manhood; one and the same Christ, Son, Lord, only begotten, to be acknowledged in two natures, inconfusedly, unchangeably, indivisibly, inseparably; the distinction of natures being by no means taken away by the union, but rather the property of each nature being preserved, and concurring in one Person and one Subsistence, not parted or divided into two persons, but one and the same Son, and only begotten, God the Word, the Lord Jesus Christ; as the prophets from the beginning [have declared] concerning Him, and the Lord Jesus Christ Himself has taught us, and the Creed of the holy Fathers has handed down to us”.

                And if you don’t believe that, well you ain’t no Christian — Catholic, Protestant or Orthodox..

                All that dog’s bollocks above is called, by the way, the doctrine of the dual nature, or technically the hypostatic union.

                I, brute non-believer that I am, tend, however, to believe the following: the two propositions “A is B” and “A is not B” are mutually exclusive, namely that contradictory statements cannot both be true in the same sense at the same time

                I must be pretty dumb for believing that!

                Whatever!

                Woden and the rest of the gang sound much more fun than the Holy Trinity, Jesus, God, all the saints in heaven and so on and so forth.

  28. yalensis says:

    This article in Russian press is saying that Putin’s decision not to expel U.S. diplomats is actually a brilliant way of denying any legitimacy to American President Obama.
    They quote Jill Dougherty from CNN for making this point: that Putin denies legitimacy to Obama and is simply waiting it out for Trump to take office.
    I looked through CNN site, I wanted to find the Jill Doughterty quote. I know it’s there, but I can’t find it, their site is screwed up and hard to search.
    But anyhow, this take on the matter rings true: That Putin is simply spitting in Obama’s face and not even rising to the bait. They are basically saying that Obama doesn’t even exist any more.
    Also it seems like Putin must have had behind-the-scenes conversation and deal with Trump.
    I am guessing Trump said something like: “Just ignore this B.S., and it will all go away in a couple of weeks.”

    The only reall interesting question here, is whether Putin worked this out with Lavrov for maxmum theater, or if the backdoor deal came later, after Lavrov had already made his announcement about te expulsion of the American diplomats.
    If I had to bet money: My intuition tells me that Putin/Lavrov were really going to expel Americans in a tit-for-tat operation, because that’s what Russia always does; but then Trump got on the horn and talked them out of it.
    And this way, both sides get to start with a clean slate, if they can only survive 3 more weeks of the Obama freak show.

    • Patient Observer says:

      FWIW, my take is that Putin and Lavrov played a little good cop/bad cop on their own. Trump was not involved. His comments were simply an honest appreciation of Putin’s handiwork. Putin/Russia continue to redefine how countries conduct themselves on the international stage. Before you know it, a few other countries may try a little honesty and openness.

  29. Lyttenburgh says:

    A) From here:

    “You are an anonymous troll who displays his mendacity with every post (“Are you still insisting that your preference of wine guzzling is more representative of Russia at large or not?” – I absolutely never claimed that. In fact, I said the exact opposite, additing that it happens to be a bad thing).”

    Now, let’s see how AK “absolutely never claimed that”.

    Just one page ago:

    Let’s comprehensively list all the foods and drinks I mentioned:
    […]
    * Massandra Muscat (a 300 ruble Crimean dessert wine)
    * The apparent lack of good cheap dry red wines
    […]
    How very upper tier! /s
    Well for all I know it might well be to a moonshine swilling sovok, I am not judging, but I for one am not Russophobic enough to think that describes the “vast majority of folks.”

    News at 11! Anatoliy Karlin is lying and eating his own shit… again! Also – bear shits in the woods, Pope is still (kinda) Catholic.

    When aptly demonstrated that by employing statistical data, polls and evidence one can serve as “the arbitrer of Russian culinary choices” in a sense, that one is qualified to know what he’s talking about, Anatoly bravely moves goalposts!

    B) “Do you live under a rock or something?”

    Says a person who linked a graph ending at 2002. Yeah, rrrriiiight.

    “You call me the one who is out of touch with Russian realities?”

    Yes, I do. No, appealing to your past glories won’t help. Seeing, as you prefer to be a lazy pseudo researcher who just self-references and reposts old stuff I have some basis to this claim. I provided you with the up to date statistical data. You instead posted moronic things like “Nu-huh! It doesn’t count! We shouldn’t count litres of alcohol consumed – we must count only the average “strongness” of the spirits!”. Because, ah, racially pure science says so?

    Now, do you have a data on samogon consumption in Russia or not? Because *you* were so eager to assume that your interlocutor (or a significant part of Russians) are drinking it regularly.

    If you are talking about this – I’m hardly surprised. First you try to intimidate us by using (again) an “Appeal to the authority” fallacy (a ВШЭ professor… yeah, nothing suspicious here…). Second – key word here is “estimates”. When this report came in 2014 there were already people disagreeing with such conclusions.

    The only thing resembling more or less up-to-data data on samogon consumption among the people of Russia I’d found in one of ФОМ polls way back from 2014.

    That’s right – 2%. An “elite”, of sorts, seeing as there also other famous 2%-enters in Russia!

    Don’t like this poll? Here’s another one. Granted, there samogon consumption is… 6%. But not even close to the “implied” and “estimated” memtic over 9000 ™. And surely not enough to assume left and right that samogon-consumtion is in fact typical for Russians – as you did from the start by accusing *me* of it. Well, strawman gonna straw, and Karlin gonna lie!

    “Слив засчитан.”

    If this was an attempt to show, that you are still “hip” and remember some Russian slang – nah, Tolya. You are clearly rusty. Go and educate yourself, and come back with something more substantial. So far – кг/ам.

    “Please point to where I call the 1990s “blessed” or any other positive adjective, troll.”

    I never said that you called the 90s “blessed”. Calling them “blessed” or “democratic” or “free” is example of typical modern Russian sarcasm and irony. But, because you became for all intends and purposes a foreigner with little in common with your former compatriots, who is not up to date to the current trends – of course you behave like a thin skinned hysteric. Oh, wait – you are a thin skinned hysteric! You behave like that all the time!

    And you didn’t answer my question.

    “Yes, I will probably pay a visit to Jean-Jacques, it is a significant political landmark after all. I will also most likely visit that new NKVD bar. That is because I am neither a liberal nor a Soviet sovok.”

    No, you are part of the Brown masses [nods].

  30. Lyttenburgh says:

    C) From here

    “I do not much care for biographical details, most especially those written by an ideologue with a very clear personal agenda who is given to shamelessly smearing and twisting the words of those whom he sees as “enemies of the people.””

    Like who? Me?! I provided links to his words and facts of bio. I did not “shamelessly smear” or twisted the words of anyone. Anyone is free to look for themselves.

    As for not caring about some sordid facts of some people’s bio – oh, c’mon here! Apparently, you were not so calm or stoic yourself, Anatoly, to pass opportunity to comment on some “attitudes” of a fellow UNZer:

    “Reminder that boy fiddlin’ isn’t just a kebab perversion, it’s also a proud tradition of the British upper class, so please bear in mind that this is part of Derbyshire’s culture and that we should look at it with tolerance and understanding.”

    Well, Tolya – Kholmogorov is not an “amateur” or just a “fiddler” on the Net. He’s a pro. He got underage girl more than a decade his younger pregnant. Surely, you will find it amoral as well? Or, what – for you it’s okay as long as not homosexual action? Please, enLYTTEN us on your attitudes to the paedophilia as well!

    D) From here

    “As I said, I do not owe any answers to an anonymous online troll and aspiring cyber-NKVDist.”

    Poor innocent victim of the bloody Regime AKarlin arrested by Juden-Bolshevik VChK/GPU/NKVD/SportLoto goons:

    True story (c)!

    #New1937

    From our very own UNZ page:

    “AK: User has made legal threats against me, and is consequently completely banned from my blog”

    Anatoly, писечка! I never made “legal threats” (c) against you, you, lying sack of the Brown-stuff! If anything – I encouraged you to exercise your right to the freedom of speech in Russia to the fullest!

    Oh, btw – you said previously that you plan to visit NKVD restraint in Moscow. Seeing how easily you are triggered – don’t forget to bring spare pair of pants with you!

    “(In general, please note that my interactions with you and yalensis here are carried out exclusively for my own personal amusement, most likely because its been a long time since I last participated in flame war).”

    No-no – the pleasure is all mine! So many new facts of your bio, and insight into your mindscape, amazing revelations about your worldview – this is just priceless! Please, AK – go on! I’m sure there is still some things that can surprise people out there concerning some of your… interesting attitudes.

    “Yes pigs are quite highly intelligent – comparable to dogs. Since the degree of consciousness, and by extension the degree of possible suffering, are probably closely correlated to intelligence, it surely seems more ethical to opt more for fowl and fish (or outright vegetarianism, if one is up for it, which I am not).”

    Oh! That’s why you are also such a fan of transhumanism! Want to download your consciousness into an up-lifted pig? Or do you want to one uplifted for you , because you need companionship?

    “I make up my own mind on all the political and philosophical questions I come across – I am literally the last person you could accuse of being brainwashed. But I appreciate that as per usual you are merely projecting.”

    Never said you were “brainwashed”. Who’s projecting now?

  31. Lyttenburgh says:

    E) Culmination of the shit-eating saga of AK

    “And I was a proponent of keeping out criminals, drug dealers, rapists, and some presumably good people well before The Donald made it cool (though yes, in retrospect, the fact that I was still rather cucked moved me to remove that post for being a bit too high energy)”

    From that link to the discussion on KS 4 years ago you called yourself “aspiring sociopath”. Well, apparently, Karlin the Un-Cucked is no longer aspires – he reached his goal! That’s what you talked about “grand plans”?

    “As someone who has admitted to voluntarily doing women’s studies courses in college, i.e. actually paying money to study that pseudo-scientific crap, I can why you would be triggered though.”

    And suddenly I’m no longer surprised why your research methods sucks. Clearly, some irreparable damage had been done.

    “Yet for some reason I have almost completely avoided the widespread scandals and feuds in the Russia watching world and get along just fine with just about everyone apart from an irrelevant Stalinist troll, his SJW bumboy, and a few of the craziest liberasts. Very strange from someone suffering from not just any paranoia but *clinical* paranoia! (SJWs are of course the prime experts on all matters mental health)”

    Examples of AK “getting along well” with people:

    #1

    “Certainly I wouldn’t put it past you to write letters to American universities to “promote” me, though the concept I would care in the least… So please, do write away.”

    #2

    “Then you must also be a masochist for hanging round my blog (until your trolling and insults reached a critical point and I had to ban you).
    Anyhow, this will be my last comment to this thread. Feel free to carry on your little circle jerk with yalensis.”

    Tolya, you are The Elusive Joe of the “Russia watching world” – no one really cares about you, or references you, that’s why there is no “conflict”. No one fucking cares about you.

    Besides – so-called “Russia watching world” is not an organization, or an Areopagus of wise and respected people excellent in their field. There is no “world” – there are individual bloggers, commenters, pundits, researchers and whatnot who might not even here about each other – or care about each other’s opinion.

    You? Judging by the past posts you didn’t really change. Same self absorbed easily triggered narcissistic thin skinned asshole, ready to accuse and diss other people, and turning to khohol’s А нас за що?! defensive tactic whenever someone dares to respond to the high and mighty You. Oh, and strawmannin’ consumate liar as well, whose attitude to the whole wide world is “I’m D’Artagnan, and all of you are just faggots” (c)!

    This whole tread of you going apeshit paranoid demonstrated though, AK, that one slang expression – you showed us all how it look like when “очко играет”!

    • akarlin says:

      So I didn’t get along with not just two but THREE people, that is, YET another anonymous Internet commenter.

      Now that I recall it I banned Averko as well.

      That is now FOUR people in the Kremlin Stooge chapter of the AK Hate Club. I am truly the outcast of outcasts on the blogosphere. (Though I am not really aware of the existence of any other chapters outside the liberal/svidomy-sphere).

      Anyhow I have stuff to do. Have a good New Year.

      • Lyttenburgh says:

        “Anyhow I have stuff to do. Have a good New Year.”

        Yeah-yeah – getting chummy with 2%-ers, all those “people with good faces” probably takes lots of time:

        ^”Best people of This Country” ™

    • yalensis says:

      Just for the record, I didn’t pay any money (at least out of my own pocket) to take that women’s study course. I had a full tuition plus stipend, so in essence I got a free ride.
      I am fully aware how lucky I was to receive a free education, in essence.

      Besides, the women’s study thing was just one class, an elective. I attended in order to meet girls. The lectures were okay, but didn’t turn me into a bourgeois feminist.
      I also took an archery class as an elective, but that didn’t turn me into Robin Hood either.

      • Lyttenburgh says:

        I was actually talking about some mysterious event in AK’s past that made him so unhinged and “triggered” into a mouth-foam rage by the mere metioning of the fact.

        • yalensis says:

          I know. I was just slightly pinged by Karlin’s words, so I wanted to set the record straight, because he seemed so FOAMY about the notion of “ACTUALLY PAYING MONEY” to take such classes – which I didn’t – LOL!

          He also called these courses “pseudo-scientific crap”, which, as far as I know, those courses don’t pretend to be scientific, it’s just some historical monographs that focus on people you otherwise might not get a chance to read about in the standard textbooks. For example, everybody heard about the artist Caravaggio, but very few people heard about the female artist from the same era Artemisia Gentilischi, even though she painted some terrifically good stuff! Like this one, for example:

          Anyhow, aside from all of that, I think it was a ripping good flame war, I much enjoyed it thanks to you, and Happy New Year, Lyttenburgh!

  32. Cortes says:

    b at Moonofalabama posted the following image:

  33. kirill says:

    Click to access is3004_pp007-044_lieberpress.pdf

    The above article appears to have formed a consensus in the US establishment that US has nuclear primacy over Russia. I recommend people read through it since it is not all that technical. Their main premise is that in a total sneak attack on Russia with “stealthy” cruise missiles and B-2s there would be a nullification of Russia’s nuclear arsenal.

    This here is a an example of how far the intellectual rot has infested the elite western mind. These retards did not even consider the fact that a single detected cruise missile over Russian territory would mean automatic launch of all nuclear assets. That is the essence of MAD. Their deep faith in the “invisibility” of US stealth “technology” is breathtaking in its inanity. These morons have not taken into account the full spectrum detection capability of Russian systems, including the use of optical bands. Stealth is a 1960s concept that can only fool 1950s monochrome radars. It can’t fool a single phased array radar. And when you include multiple frequencies from multiple systems you are totally out of luck with your stealth.

    Those B-2s will be detected by Russia from the time they takeoff from their base runways and will be automatically tracked 24/7. To talk about these boondoggles as some sort of primacy asset takes the cake for mentally deficient analysis. Stick with the “stealthy” cruise missiles, at least they are marginally harder to detect.

    Since 2006 when this pap was smeared onto the minds of gullible US deciders, Russia has fully rebuilt its early warning radar systems. But based on modernized low power and high gain phased arrays. And these systems are being adjusted to detect cruise missiles.

    https://sputniknews.com/russia/201508191025927540-russia-nuclear-early-warning-system-development/

    • Patient Observer says:

      I agree. The report used data from around 2000 for important conclusions (and even that data seemed suspect). The report echoed the meme that the Russian navy is turning into iron oxide at the piers and the rest of its military is similarly dilapidated. Breakthrough weapons systems such the Armata tank and related vehicles, the T-50 stealth fighter, new ballistic missile subs andnew land-based ICBMs render such conclusions as pure nonsense. Needless to say, Russia’s performance in the Syrian conflict

      I could not wade through the entire report but if it claims that US stealth aircraft and cruise missiles are can overfly Russian territory by the hundreds undetected then it transcends what that fantasy writer Tom Clancy would have claimed in his most unhinged stories.

      The report in question seems more of a bedtime story for fearful neocons and neoliberals.

      • Patient Observer says:

        … sorry about the occasional bad grammar but I think the message is clear enough.

        • kirill says:

          It is always striking to me how these intellectual giants don’t consider that Russian military planners have actually considered their scenario and dozens of other variants and in very great detail. I think this sort of “reasoning” comes from the minds of prejudiced individuals who casually dismiss the IQ of their opponent. This is a long standing western pathology when it comes to Russia. The same strategic error was made by Napoleon and Hitler. They grossly underestimated Russia on a whim. The authors of this joke of a report clearly suffer from the same racism.

          • Cortes says:

            There must be adults in the USA who don’t take seriously the rarara approach of the neocons and “the crazies in the basement ” (c) GHW Bush. Why on earth would anyone with a modicum of common sense underestimate a potential adversary? Armed with weapons even half as fearsome as the RF allegedly has? Hubris seems inadequate to explain such a mindset.

            • Moscow Exile says:

              “Why on earth would anyone with a modicum of common sense underestimate a potential adversary? ”

              Beause in the West most have been conditioned to think that way in that they have long believed their propaganda to be the truth.

              There was even a Soviet funny as regards this matter:

              What’s the difference between a Russian reading “Pravda” and an American reading the “New York Times”?

              The Russian knows he is reading propaganda.

              Take, for example, the much loved Western meme “All Russian warships are rust tubs”.

              When the Russian warship “Admiral Kuznetsov” belched smoke when sailing through the English Channel, the world press had a field day: when the USN vessel Zumwalt sufffered serious mechanical failure in the Panama Canal, the reaction off the world press was minimal.

              Whenever a Russia military aircraft crashes, the Western banderlog whoop and scream in ecstasy, as though such unfortunate accidents never occur with Western military aviation.

              Yet on the other hand, the Western lie machine drones on and on over the imminent Russian military threat to freedom and democracy worldwide.

              This threat is, presumably being wielded by “rust tubs” and warplanes that crash all the time.

              And as regards Russian soldiery, well everyone knows that they are poorly fed, low paid, badly trained murderous drunken rapist dullards.

    • Northern Star says:

      These vermin are arguing for the mass murder of tens of millions….
      it’s that simple..as is the solution to the threat they and like-minded vermin pose to humanity

  34. Moscow Exile says:

  35. marknesop says:

    Ukraine and its porcine president continue to jack up the tension, in hopes that they can start a regional war which will widen to pull in the west – they have nothing to lose, now, as the ship of state sinks alongside its berth.

    Ukraine’s Cabinet of Ministers on Dec. 28 amended the rules for aircraft alert forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in peacetime in resolution No. 1012 and allowed the military to open fire on the aircraft after the intent-to-fire message. The corresponding decision was published by the government’s press service on Dec. 29 evening.

    While we’re talking about Banderhole, its insane-asylum government has banned literature ‘glorifying the aggressor state’, and mandates that a ‘group of experts’ will decide which Russian books are acceptable. Are you listening, Venediktov? There’s your market. The west must be extremely chuffed at this example of freedom, I’d be so proud if I were responsible for bringing about the democratic transformation..

  36. marknesop says:

    USAID cuts off funding to the customs reform project in Odessa. Western agencies are unplugging from the Ukraine experiment, and now that the disconnection has started it will likely accelerate as former backers start to worry about getting burned in a rush for the exits.

  37. Moscow Exile says:

    To return to the debate about artistic freedom in Russia:

    Прогрессивный театральный режиссёр, которого никто не понимает …

    The progressive theatre director whom nobody understands …

    Vladimir Gurfinkel, chief director of the Perm State Academic Theatre “Theatre-Theatre”.

    V. Gurfinkel: “Restraining oneself because one thinks that someone will not like something means not living according to artistic laws. This is because the more progressive an idea is, the fewer are the number of people who can perceive it”.

    See: «Зрители не дали разрушить театр»: Владимир Гурфинкель подвел итоги високосного года

    An audience is not allowed to destroy a theatre: Vladimir Grufinkel summarizes the leap year.

    • marknesop says:

      I can see his point, but the statement that if you restrain yourself from doing something just because someone might be offended by it, you are not living by artistic law cries out for a rebuttal. First, there is no such thing as ‘artistic law’, or at least nothing which is recognized in courts of human law, and if there were there would inevitably and instantly be many occasions in which the two came into direct conflict. His statement’s logical corollary is that if you know something will offend people, but you feel it is of artistic value, then you must do it or be in violation of the law of artistic freedom.

      I read once of a model who wore a dress made entirely of raw meat. It was meant to be some sort of statement, and therefore artistic, and it did offend some people, perhaps a few were even shocked. But that’s not the kind of performance which infuriates people to where they want to kill you, and you can even sort of get it; it’s wrong to kill sentient beings for their meat, the whole industry of raising animals solely to eat them is terrible. You can sympathize with it to a point while continuing to violate it in principle by eating meat.

      Things like Charlie Hebdo’s ‘cartoons’ must be seen as having questionable artistic value, and it’s hard to see how mocking the violent death of others while you continue to live is ‘progressive’. I understand that a cartoon does not have to be funny – it serves its purpose if it makes you think, even for a second or two. But a cartoon that satirizes how the Russia orchestra members must have screamed as they knew they were plunging to their deaths serves no such purpose. It is not going to bring about any social change, and merely panders to exultation and hate in some and fury in others. But according to Gurfinkel’s artistic law, if you are thinking about it, you must not allow yourself to be held back by the rage and grief it will inspire in some. I wonder if someone did a magazine cover featuring his recently-dead mother which read, “Thank God that wrinkled old Jew has finally popped her clogs” if he would agree that it had to be done in order to satisfy artistic law.

      • Lyttenburgh says:

        “I read once of a model who wore a dress made entirely of raw meat. It was meant to be some sort of statement, and therefore artistic, and it did offend some people, perhaps a few were even shocked.”

        IIRC it was Lady Gaga… But what else can you expect from her?

        As for the “controversy” about Art and Freedom of speech. Its easy, really. Freedom of Speech, this highly valued pillar of any Free Society and Liberalism ™ does not exist in the pure form. It’s always limited in one way or another. Those who proclaim that Freedom Of Speach exists in their society/country, while it is ruthlessly oppressed in other country/society are dishonest.

        Limits of the Freedom of Speech are always regulated in accordance with the ruling ideology and so-called “values” of any given society/country. That’s it. Let’s not pretend that this is different. There are “Acceptable Targets” and then there are “Sacred Cows” as defined by the ideological tenets and “values”.

        As for the Art – it is defined by the Money. Yeah, so plebeian! Who pays the dough orders the tune, and all that jazz. V. Gurfinkel is the chief director of the *State* Theatre. He is paid money by the State. He, in his capacity as the chief director, works FOR the State. Better for him to realize these facts – and feed his obviously malnourished actresses. I mean – look at them!

        And, most of all – you don’t bite the hand that feeds you. And this hand belong to the State – and to the People. If you are collaborating with Yeltsin Center – well, why are you looking so surprised at the aftermath? Oh, and tone down the arrogance:

        “– Огорчает, что общественность Перми словно разделилась на два лагеря?

        – Мир всегда делился на тех, кто наделен возможностью творить, и тех, кто лишен способности к творчеству. В мире всегда будут завидовать успешным, грамотным и талантливым. Я не виноват в том, что не все наделены этими качествами. Зачем же нам по этому поводу скорбеть?”

        Again – kreakls and people with good faces vs bydlo and biomass. But why is he lying? He claims that evul Ministry of Culture wanted to “destroy the theatre” (by long established tradition – no proofs here). The Ministry only fired the previous artistic director – Boris Milgram. 2 weeks later these jackbooted goons restored him to his august rank. Tsk! How our Totalitarian Regime is pussyfooting around dem kreakls!

        • Patient Observer says:

          We need starving artists who put the purity of their inspiration ahead of money. Only in death should they be recognized (or ignored). Otherwise, its just artist schlock catering to the market. Not saying that artistic schlock is bad, just recognize it for what it is. (Preceding said with some humor).

        • marknesop says:

          In fact, the meat dress precedes Lady Gaga by quite some time; she was still in podguzhnik when Canadian artist Jana Sterbak (the name is not very common, and almost certainly Czech in origin) created the meat dress for Montreal’s Galerie Rene Blouin in 1987. It was supposed to symbolize vanity and bodily decomposition; the silliness of vanity in the frame of implacable death. Although it had actually been worn by a model, when it was displayed it was on a mannequin, a dressmaker’s form, with just a picture of the model wearing it – apparently the law of artistry which says if you think it, you must do it, no matter who it might offend, had not yet blossomed to its current maturity.

          Lady Gaga did reprise the meat dress, but decades later. The meat thing is a sensitive issue, especially in Canada, where the west (the prairies and points west, to be more exact), is cattle – and consequently meat – country. In 1990, country-ish singer KD Lang endorsed an animal-right group’s campaign against meat (she is, of course, a vegetarian herself, and did so as a matter of conscience), and before the television spot even aired (it was previewed on “Entertainment Tonight”) more than 3 dozen radio stations dropped her from their playlists. Speaking for myself, although I am a dedicated omnivore, I forgave her immediately because of her staggering talent; here she is doing “Crying” with the late Roy Orbison, who obviously was not dead then. When she pours it on at the end, it still makes the hair stand up on the back of my neck, even though Roy Orbison’s music was my parents’ generation.

          The whole world and everything in it is nuance, really – when the above events were current, I would have been on the side of the meat industry, and told KD Lang to take her cow-lovin’ ass somewhere else, because I liked to eat meat. Nowadays I would take the opposite position, and would be amenable to suggestions on how I could eat less meat but still enjoy it, such as in Asian cookery where the meat is often greatly outnumbered by vegetables. I’d be prepared to meet halfway, I guess is what I’m saying. In the matter of cartoonists who think it is comical to make fun of accidental and violent death, I am decidedly opposed, and the next time somebody mows down a bunch of Charlie Hebdo’s intellectuals, I will call it justice served. That they also made great sport of 9-11 merely showcases what degenerates they and their admirers are.

          • Cortes says:

            My good friends from your neck of the woods are vegetarian. Despite their brainiac status I’ve yet to get an answer as how exactly “herbivores” like cattle, sheep and goats filter out all the animals living on the grasses they’re chomping. The house I shared with Mrs C for 25+ years backs onto fields and anytime I took the pooch out for a walk there in summer months my footwear and often my trousers were covered with slugs and other small animals after a long walk. So: is there an invisible screen used by “herbivores ” or is much of the chat just sentimental twaddle?

            • marknesop says:

              Well, the obvious answer to that is you are supposed to wash your fruits and vegetables before you eat them. I almost never do, but I subscribe to the school that says if you live like you’re in a hospital or a radioactive-isotope lab, you have no natural resistance and you catch every bug that’s going around. So a little grit and teeny bugs don’t bother me, and if it falls on the floor and nobody’s looking – and it’s something good that fell – I eat it anyway.

              I have no doubt Anatoly is correct about pigs’ intelligence; they are very smart animals, and I imagine he’s also correct that they’re smarter than most dogs. But I would eat Stephen Hawking if he tasted like bacon. Sorry, but there it is – the intellectual threshold just doesn’t mean the same thing to me. There’s even an element of danger about it – someday a pig smarter than I am may smite me on the way home from the store, and I may end up in the oven myself (I cook bacon in the oven rather than the frying pan, so it doesn’t curl up). Poetic justice.

      • Jen says:

        Vladimir Gurfinkel’s problem is that he seems to hold the artistic “act” in greater esteem than what it is supposed to achieve. The irony is that in the past people engaging what we call “performance art” did so to make a point about issues in society, culture or politics that everybody takes for granted or can’t see because it’s so ubiquitous. Very often performance artists risked their health and even their lives in engaging in certain acts (such as being shot in the arm, in the case of Chris Burden) in criticising aspects of modern life. The idea of restraining themselves simply because someone might be upset didn’t occur to them; if they thought that people would be offended, they would have rethought the work and done it a different way to make the same point.

        Also upholding the notion of “progress”, whatever it is for Gurfinkel, simply for its own sake or to look “cool” to others (because the great unwashed don’t understand what “progress” is) is one definition of artistic hubris and self-indulgence.

    • yalensis says:

      What is he putting on there? Camus’ “Caligula”?
      Or maybe an avant-garde production of “The Student Prince” ?

      • Moscow Exile says:

        Коммуниканты, old boy.

        It’s not a toga he’s wearing, but a Russian banya robe.

        Спектакль «Коммуниканты» рассказывает зрителям о политиках – таких, какими они являются в обычной жизни, а не показывают себя с трибун. В центре пьесы – бывший мэр сибирского городка, ныне дорвавшийся до думского кресла. Он отдыхает в бане в компании девиц легкого поведения, которые, как оказывается впоследствии, далеко не так глупы, как кажется… Мы увидим и других персонажей современной действительности – гастарбайтера и милиционера, которые играют далеко не последнюю роль в спектакле.

        The play “The Communicant” tells the audience about politicians — such as they are in everyday life, and not as they present themselves from podia. In the centre of the play is a former mayor of a Siberian town, who has now greedily set his sights on the duma seats. He relaxes in a [Russian] bath in the company of girls of easy virtue, who, as it turns out later, are as not as stupid as they seem. We shall see other characters of contemporary reality — migrant workers and a policeman, who play a significant role in the play.

        If you want a ticket and to fly out to Perm to watch it, check out this site: Купить билеты на Коммуникантов

  38. Moscow Exile says:

    They will help us abroad. The West is with us! The West is with us!

    • marknesop says:

      It must be love.

      We’re living the same life;
      there’s nothing really happening back here:
      I’m still at the office,
      and days turn into months turn into years….

    • yalensis says:

      There is undoubtedly some risk factor in Porky taking McCain and the other American senators out into the Donbass war zone. The might try a false flag, get ’em killed, and pretend it was the rebels. To start a war, obviously, and get NATO involved before Trump can take office.

      Recall how Saakashvili attempted something similar when he took Kaczynski on a field trip to the South Ossetia front line, and then shooting broke out. Kaczynski almost soiled his pants, but Saak made sure that his own physical courage and aplomb was captured on video. “Oh, I’m so brave, I barely even notice these bullets flying around me!”

      Nobody was fooled though, because everyone knows that Saak is a coward; therefore, it could not have been a real event. Yawn…

  39. Moscow Exile says:

    New Year in the Russian far east already:

    Above is Anadyr on the north-eastern tip of Chukotka. You can see Sarah Pallin’s house from there, I think.

    And New Year has already come and gone in New Zealand and Australia, whereas in Moscow it’s only 15:30, December 31, 2016 as I write, whilst in Anadyr it is now 00:35, Sunday, January 1, 2017.

    • marknesop says:

      What’s in the boxes that are falling on Ukraine? Promises? Visa-free travel passes? It can’t be bullshit, or they’d fall straight down.

    • Lyttenburgh says:

      You know that his issupposed peremoga contains zrada? According to the New Thinking ™ of the post Euro-Maidan Ukraine Ded Moroz (pictured to the left) is a legacy of the Occupational Regime and must be Decommunized. True Racially pure Ukrs get their подарункi from святiй Миколай.

      Artist must be totally lustrated as separ and sovok!

  40. et Al says:

    Happy New Year in advance to all Kremlin Dude & Dudesses, lurkers and all. May 2017 be less bat shit than 2016! I doubt it though…

  41. Moscow Exile says:

    Although midnight, 31 December, 2016, is still 6 hours away from the time as I now write in Darkest Mordor, the Dark Lord has already addressed at midnight December 31, 2016 / January 1, 2017, those condemned to eke out a miserable existence in the Far East, where there is little else but horrendous “gulags” and the temperature is minus 50C / minus 58F on a “good” day this time of year:

    The tyrant thanked the opressed citizens of Russia for their labours towards the good of the country and identified the key events that have happened in the past year and touched upon the lives of Russian citizens.

    He said that, of course, in 2016, there had been difficulties, but they had only brought us together (Russians, that is, but not I with them! I am perforce in exile, in this hell hole of a so-called country!) and had shown the world that Russia is a friendly country, preferring cooperation to aggression. Because of the obstacles that they more often than not had been trying artificially to create in the West, Russia had been able to gather provisions for moving forward. “We have worked well and we have succeeded”, said the President and thanked all Russians “for their victories and achievements, for their understanding, trust and genuinely heartfelt concern about Russia.”

    Also Vladimir Putin in his congratulatory message noted that Russian citizens are all inhabitants of a huge, unique and beautiful country who share a commitment to the best. This is what gives them the strength to overcome difficulties, he said, to win and to help others. A striking example was the aid to Syria; when almost all the world powers had turned away, Russia carried out military air support and numerous deliveries of humanitarian aid.

    In 2017, Russia is expecting to reach new heights, Putin noted, because in the past year a strong foundation had been laid for this.

    The Evil One closed by saying:

    Peace and prosperity of our common, great Motherland! To Russia happiness, health and prosperity!“.

    Source: Президент РФ выступил с новогодним обращением

    The President of Russia has made his New Year address

    • Moscow Exile says:

      Anyway, how’s this for an address to the nation?

      First, the background:

      The 71-year-old actress Helen Mirren, ever more famous in recent years for her portrayal of the British head of state on stage in London’s West End, popped into The Graham Norton Show (no idea who he is) the other evening with her “Collateral Beauty” co-star Will Smith in order to promote that film .

      As Dame Helen was “the nearest thing to royalty” on Norton’s sofa, the host could not help roping her into giving “an inspirational Christmas message”.

      This is what she said:

    • marknesop says:

      Inspiring. I wonder how Bammy will editorialize this year of Washington failure. They do say he’s always been a stirring speaker. I’m sure he can make visions of sugarplums dance in their heads.

      • Moscow Exile says:

        Here’s what Obama will do when he exits his office:

        He’s not a real grown up: he’s a spoilt brat, a big kid who loves himself.

        Well, could you do it, Barry — you know, that which your were always asking the folk if “we” could do it?

        Like fuck you could, Barry!

        • Patient Observer says:

          You know Obama is done when a front page story in our small town newspaper reads:

          Russia, brushing off Obama, looks to friendlier Trump

          True, the deplorables are in a majority ’round here, but the utter disdain for Obama is still surprising.

  42. Moscow Exile says:


    Yay!

    Coming up soon — Russian New Year grub!

    We’ll be having pork and chicken baked spuds (my speciality) and other stuff as well.

    Oh yeah! And cakes and other such goodies.

    Only children’s champage, though, and juice.

  43. Moscow Exile says:

    Poroshenko and McCain visit a Donetsk Province Ukrainian army command post, New Year’s Eve, December 31st, 2016:

    Posted just under an hour ago.

    Peace on earth and good will to all men and the rest of such crap!

    See: ,a href=”https://russian.rt.com/ussr/news/346809-poroshenko-makkein-komandnyi-punkt”>Порошенко и Маккейн посетили командный пункт в районе Широкино

    Poroshenko and McCain have visited a command post in the area of Shirokino
    December 31, 2016, 18:20

    The President of the Ukraine, Petro Poroshenko, together with an American delegation led by Senator John McCain, arrived at a command post on the demarcation line in the area of Shirokino.

    It is noted that Poroshenko and McCain congratulated Ukrainian servicemen on the New Year.

    For getting their arses kicked again last weeek?

    For using field artillery to bombard civilian areas?

    The village of Shirokine is situated on the Sea of Azov shore east of Mariupol.

    The village became a battleground in 2014–15 during a war between separatists affiliated with the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Ukrainian government.

    Prior to the war, the village was situated in Novoazovsk Raion. This was changed on 9 December 2014, when the Ukrainian parliament voted to change the boundaries of the Raion, so as to allow Ukrainian-controlled territories to be separated from DPR-controlled territories. The village and its neighbours were thus placed into an expanded Volnovakha Raion.

    All civilians were evacuated from the village in February 2015, with up to 80% of the village’s houses damaged beyond repair by July of that year.

    By the end of February 2016 Ukrainian troops took the village under their control as pro-Russian forces withdrew from the settlement — Wiki

    • Drutten says:

      The ukies are in good company. These McCain visits have become a phenomenon in itself, and if things pan out the way they usually do after McCain has dropped by then the ukies should be shaking in their boots.

      McCain with jihadis in Syria:

      That soon went all the way to hell.

      McCain with Fatah Younis in Libya (just post-Ghaddafi):

      That too went to hell.

      McCain drops by for a selfie with the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt (just post-Mubarak):

      That… Unsurprisingly, went to hell as well.

      • yalensis says:

        Thanks for the memories, Drutten! McCain truly is the kiss of death.
        I can’t help but notice, in that last photo, McCain is accompanied by his catamite, Joe Lieberman , ex-Senator from Connecticut and former Vice Presidential candidate from the Israel-First party!

        Here is what Glenn Greenwald has to say about this creep:
        Lieberman has been a major opponent of the whistle-blowing website WikiLeaks. His staff “made inquiries” of Amazon.com and other internet companies such as PayPal, Visa, and Mastercard which resulted in them suspending service to WikiLeaks. Journalist Glenn Greenwald called Lieberman’s actions “one of the most pernicious acts by a U.S. Senator in quite some time,” and accused Lieberman of “emulat[ing] Chinese dictators” by “abusing his position as Homeland Security Chairman to thuggishly dictate to private companies which websites they should and should not host – and, more important, what you can and cannot read on the Internet.”

    • marknesop says:

      Mmmm, yes, and Lindsey Graham, too – it must have been awe-inspiring for the simple Ukrainian brownjobs to be in the presence of that fierce American warrior. Lindsey Graham did actually serve in the military – he was a lawyer, reaching the rank of Colonel, so he could probably give them a few tips about close combat. It must have been a great comfort to the residents of Shirokine to be once again enfolded in the loving embrace of Mother Ukraine after 80% of the homes were leveled.

      It will be interesting to see what 2017 holds for Ukraine, but it is hard to escape the vision of a dead husk simply hanging on now that Russia has successfully circumvented it for gas transit using only existing resources. If some disaster were to befall Nord Stream II it would have little effect, and it is plain to see Nord Stream itself could always have been running at capacity – it was European restrictions on Opal which capped it at 50%, and not low demand. If ever again Ukraine manages to interrupt the flow of gas to Europe, it will be Europe’s fault, and that is now clear to all.

    • Special_sauce says:

      McCain’s avuncular gestures are creepy AF.

  44. Patient Observer says:

    I’ve wondered from time to time how Russia has achieved so much with what seemed minimal allocated resources. The military situation in the Donbas always seemed extremely precarious yet it worked out entirely to Russia/Donbas’s advantage (minimal overt Russian involvement and full utilization of local resources (human and material)).

    The same can be said of Syria where many highly qualified experts doubted that the relatively small Russian military contingent could have a major impact and would end up in a quagmire. Yet, again, the Russian involvement was finely calibrated to achieve the goals of stabilizing Syria with minimal causalities or costs.

    Clarity of analysis, vast experience and freedom from ideology and group-think all must have played a role in such success. I have also wondered if the Russians, having the most advanced minds around in mathematics and software may have another resource – a comprehensive model of military situations that not only include military capabilities, parametes of weapons, dispositions ad logistics but also human factors (bravery, cowardice, panic, improvisation during the fog of war, etc.).

    https://www.rt.com/news/372375-russian-military-supercomputer-pentagon/

    A “colossally powerful” supercomputer installed at Russia’s military headquarters helps the country’s armed forces tackle emerging threats by analyzing previous conflicts, such as the Yugoslavian war and the like, Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said.

    The supercomputer is a key part of the headquarters’ IT infrastructure and is so powerful that the military uses less than half of its capacity, Shoigu told Rossiya 24 TV channel, …

    “It has open architecture – you can add or remove specific elements, build up, increase and expand its capacities, it has plenty of them,” the minister said.

    The center’s supercomputer was designed to predict the development of current or future wars by analyzing the current security environment and drawing conclusions from past conflicts. It not only stores data on all major wars and conflicts, but also helps predict upcoming ones, Shoigu explained.

    The US undoubtedly is attempting something similar but, like other major government IT projects in the US, it is probably a failure in capability and costs. Here is a $500 million example:

    http://www.infoworld.com/article/2672020/application-development/anatomy-of-an-it-disaster–how-the-fbi-blew-it.html

    • kirill says:

      These sorts of articles make me laugh. The limit is not the size of the machine but the formulation of the model. For example, we have no model for advanced organisms such as mice and humans. We can’t even fully model a single cell. We are lucky that we have a relatively simple partial differential system for fluid dynamics which consists of continuity and Newton’s law of motion (F=ma), the so-called Navier-Stokes equations. But complex chemical reaction systems, which is what organisms are, involve just too much detail to be coarse grained on a grid. We can simulate large scale circulation structures in the atmosphere, but we do not have the computing power to model every molecule.

      One of the criticisms of climate models is that they parameterize sub-grid scale processes (e.g. cloud and aerosol microphysics). At face value this is a legitimate concern, but at least we can develop plausible parameterizations. For systems like the metabolism we don’t know what to parameterize.

      I do not see how a war dynamics model would be anything other than empirical and have a distinct flavour of garbage in = garbage out. They can gather field data and come up with all sorts of tunable knobs to produce a model, but I would not consider such a model to be really objective. It would reflect whatever understanding was imparted to it by its designers. And the more ad hoc knobs it has the less real predictive value it has.

      The Donbas is an example of a motivated local resistance (the breakaway republic army) can do against a demoralized army sent on a punitive operation. You should see the rotten food they feed the Kiev conscripts. That is enough for a rebellion in the ranks. I think the situation in the Donbas has nothing to do with a war dynamics model run on a supercomputer. But it does reflect the correct decision to aid the rebels with equipment against the Kiev regime. I am glad Putin did not bend over and fellate Uncle Scumbag in the name of stability or some other BS. Uncle Scumbag never plays fair and only understands the language of force.

      Syria is not some simulation either. The Russian air force tipped the balance by actually hitting the terrorists where it hurt: their pocketbooks. Russia was also able to engage real ground-level intel and carry out precision bombing. This was very effective and I do not see this being the result of some run on a supercomputer. It is the result of some basic awareness and job competence.

      • Patient Observer says:

        While I agree with your observations, computers can model real systems to a point sufficient to improve the success of judgement calls which ultimately must be made. In a limited scenario of a battle, computers can, with reliable intelligence on enemy force dispositions, at least put constraints how how much force the enemy can bring to a given location (and also show the degree of depleted forces in doing so). Computer can beast humans in chess, Go and other complex games. It would be reasonable to conclude that properly designed and tested software can augment the decision-making process in military operations as well.

        Only peripherally related, I was a big scoffer on the usefulness of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) in designing fluid machines. After all, the equations describing fluid motion have no solution except in highly simplified scenarios (inviscid flow, flow between parallel plates, etc.). Yet with proper turbulence models, good meshing, etc. very useful results are obtained that are often accurately validated on the test stand. CFD has helped us immensely in improving efficiency of fluid machines.

        An exact model is not needed to produce useful results if the limits of such analyses are understood. I think that the Russians would understand this in any modeling that they would do. I’m no thinking of something like the Colossus – The Forbin project, which, by the way, was an entertaining book and movie:

        • kirill says:

          I am not talking about exact models. I am talking about having a usable model in the first place. In many ways an army is a simple organism and soldier scale interactions have to be modeled. I don’t see how a block scale chess-like aggregation of this system would work. There are lots of games that are all super-simplified “battle field simulations”. But if you want a quantification of actual battle field dynamics a whole different level of “game” is needed. Having a computer does not facilitate development of models. Models have to be based on understanding.

          Since I use big iron systems for a living I am aware of the value of supercomputers. But the line of reasoning pushed in the cited articles was just too silly based on my experience.

          BTW, the reason that the US military labs have huge supercomputers is because they simulate nuclear explosions and allow for bomb development without field testing. Nuclear detonations are fluid dynamics problems and clearly they have enough modeling basis to do such numerical work. I am sure they accumulated the necessary empirical data over decades of real world testing so could parameterize the microphysics well enough. The whole trick of nuclear bombs is to keep the plasma contained for a period of time (very short by human standards but long by nuclear chemistry standards) that allows more energy to be liberated and to produce a high yield explosion. Simulating this problem does not require every atom to be tracked.

          • marknesop says:

            Another factor you must take into account is ideology that will not allow a predictive model which says the nation will be defeated. I couldn’t say how realistic the Russian leadership is about its chances in various situations, but the USA officially denies any outcome except victory. I have often cited the example of the Millennium Challenge 2002 exercises, which were America’s first large-scale battle scenarios which combined practical asset dispositions with computer modeling. The leader of the ‘Red Force’, Marine Lieutenant-General (Rtd) Paul van Riper, put the majority of the participating USN units on the bottom in almost less time than it takes to say it, using unconventional tactics. The response of the ‘Blue Force’ (always the Good Guyz) was to ‘refloat’ all the sunken units, make all the casualties alive again and re-run the exercise. Naturally Blue Forces won, because the unconventional tactics by their very nature would not work if they were anticipated and preparations were made to counteract them – their success absolutely depends on blissful ignorance and lofty arrogance. It is a valid point that if the exercise coordinators simply stopped the simulation when Red Force inflicted its crippling blow, millions in training value would have been wasted; it was important to consolidate the lessons immediately to see if countermeasures would work. But there is a near-infinite variety of unconventional tactics, and I wonder what lesson the USA took away – the stinging repudiation of its confidence, or Blue Force giving the Reds a sound thumping in the re-run?

        • yalensis says:

          I used to be a scoffer on the usefulness of machine translations of human language, such as Google Translate.
          But then I started to realize that it was better than nothing.

          And just to prove a point: Here is how Google translated my above utterance into French:

          J’avais l’habitude de me moquer de l’utilité des traductions automatiques de langage humain, comme Google Translate.
          Mais j’ai commencé à me rendre compte que c’était mieux que rien.

      • marknesop says:

        I would agree with that; it’s not so much garbage in as it is a lack of anything substantial, and there are plenty of examples in war in which the data are deliberately skewed – when the enemy is anticipating and prepared for an attack, for example, but affects to know nothing so that the element of surprise appears to be a factor but really is not. There are so many variables – fog confuses infrared radars, high winds affect the operation of all but the biggest drones, and so on. You simply cannot plan for everything, and there are so many unseen factors which could substantially affect the outcome that such modeling with current inputs is all but useless. If Russia had backed down and withdrawn when Erdogan’s government shot down their bomber, the jihadis would be in power in Syria now.

    • Jen says:

      I should think that compared to the Pentagon, the Russian military has clear objectives (self-defence being one) and has reoriented its organisational hierarchies and structures so as to achieve those objectives. This means doing more with what limited resources it has, using them in more general rather than specific ways, and adopting a more improvisatory, situational approach rather than expecting every incident to conform to predetermined textbook scenarios.

      One could argue that having an unlimited budget harms the US Department of Defense more than knowing how much it’s able to spend each year. I suspect of course that much of what the DoD receives goes straight into people’s deep pockets but it’s likely also that a lot of money is wasted on schemes and projects that have long outlived their value or usefulness, and many people are employed in areas that should have been closed down and those people transferred to other projects. The US obsession with IT and other high-tech gizmos, mini-improvements and micro-innovations does not help either. The way in which the DoD and other US agencies constantly repeat the same mistakes, whether in Iraq, Libya, Syria and other countries, or are nearly always showing their hand in incidents to the extent that the public can predict what’s going to happen next, indicates that these people are incapable of the kind of lateral thinking that the Russian military might be adopting. In this, Putin himself is setting an example as shown by the way he has trolled the Obama government over its dismissal of 35 Russian diplomats.

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